Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,231
$24 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,081
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-13 21:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $7
vs crowd: 24% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $49 | $63 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $35 | $33 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $18 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $421 | $63 | +$358 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $38 | $56 | $18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $9 | $5 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $11 | $8 |
| Below median | 4 | $408 | $7 | +$401 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $12 | $34 | $22 |
| unranked | 8 | $24 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | +1,374 | $349 | $439 | 5 | 06-02 19:22 |
| Crushing-Spree 0xdc75…e4bc | No | +1,000 | $840 | $840 | 2 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | +577 | $493 | $493 | 5 | 06-02 21:16 |
| Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | +163 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 18:42 |
| Fatal-Birdwatcher 0xb124…6cda | No | +144 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +130 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-02 18:13 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +102 | $34 | $34 | 3 | 06-02 18:28 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +66 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 20:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +63 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +41 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 06-12 14:00 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 09:20 |
| Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 14:00 |
| Stained-Cynic 0xf2f6…5817 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 20:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1a1…57f4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Clueless-Market 0x22a2…d9a2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 19:09 |
| This-Sleeping 0x189c…ca58 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 21:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 21:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xa8c2…6361 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x1a6ac6… |
| 06-13 21:29:04 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x1a6ac6… |
| 06-12 14:00:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xcdebf0… |
| 06-12 14:00:45 | Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xcdebf0… |
| 06-12 14:00:45 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xcdebf0… |
| 06-12 14:00:45 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcdebf0… |
| 06-12 09:20:37 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x346c23… |
| 06-12 09:20:37 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x346c23… |
| 06-12 09:20:37 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x346c23… |
| 06-12 09:20:37 | (anonymous) 0xe3ae…217a | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x346c23… |
| 06-11 09:43:45 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x6f0c7e… |
| 06-11 09:43:45 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6f0c7e… |
| 06-03 15:25:24 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | SELL | 44 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1b3658… |
| 06-03 15:25:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 44 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1b3658… |
| 06-03 02:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | BUY | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x62dc57… |
| 06-03 02:37:22 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x62dc57… |
| 06-03 02:37:22 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | BUY | 9 | 92¢ | $8 | 0x62dc57… |
| 06-02 21:16:58 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x3e4f65… |
| 06-02 21:16:58 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x3e4f65… |
| 06-02 21:16:58 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 77 | 89¢ | $68 | 0x3e4f65… |
| 06-02 20:54:01 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 144 | 83¢ | $120 | 0xf53d54… |
| 06-02 20:54:01 | Zigzag-Octet 0x1c00…7af4 | No | SELL | 144 | 83¢ | $120 | 0xf53d54… |
| 06-02 20:53:59 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 86 | 82¢ | $71 | 0xa4fe74… |
| 06-02 20:53:59 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 18¢ | $12 | 0xa4fe74… |
| 06-02 20:53:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa4fe74… |
| 06-02 20:53:59 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 14 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xa4fe74… |
| 06-02 19:22:17 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | SELL | 20 | 73¢ | $15 | 0x599c99… |
| 06-02 19:22:17 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 27¢ | $5 | 0x599c99… |
| 06-02 19:09:06 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | SELL | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xeb07f5… |
| 06-02 19:09:06 | Clueless-Market 0x22a2…d9a2 | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $2 | 0xeb07f5… |
| 06-02 18:28:02 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 38¢ | $40 | 0xb14689… |
| 06-02 18:28:02 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xb14689… |
| 06-02 18:28:02 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xb14689… |
| 06-02 18:28:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 38¢ | $31 | 0xb14689… |
| 06-02 18:16:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x8d5af0… |
| 06-02 18:16:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x8d5af0… |
| 06-02 18:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 74¢ | $96 | 0x4d074e… |
| 06-02 18:13:20 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 130 | 26¢ | $34 | 0x4d074e… |
| 06-02 18:12:35 | This-Sleeping 0x189c…ca58 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x495843… |
| 06-02 18:12:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x495843… |
| 06-02 18:12:31 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa3e93e… |
| 06-02 18:12:31 | (anonymous) 0xa8c2…6361 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xa3e93e… |
| 06-02 18:12:30 | (anonymous) 0xa1a1…57f4 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x17c179… |
| 06-02 18:12:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x17c179… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | Stained-Cynic 0xf2f6…5817 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | Gracious-Cayenne 0x582a…7bb2 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | Basic-Stitcher 0x52fd…2ab7 | No | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | Crushing-Spree 0xdc75…e4bc | No | BUY | 81 | 84¢ | $68 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 272 | 47¢ | $128 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:28 | Fatal-Birdwatcher 0xb124…6cda | No | BUY | 144 | 37¢ | $53 | 0x434069… |
| 06-02 18:12:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 88¢ | $6 | 0x145114… |
| 06-02 18:12:19 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 173 | 87¢ | $150 | 0x145114… |
| 06-02 18:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | BUY | 1,098 | 16¢ | $170 | 0x145114… |
| 06-02 18:12:19 | Crushing-Spree 0xdc75…e4bc | No | BUY | 919 | 84¢ | $772 | 0x145114… |
| 06-02 09:41:10 | (anonymous) 0x3349…2afe | Yes | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb84423… |
| 06-02 09:41:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb84423… |
| 06-01 18:42:59 | Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | BUY | 163 | 12¢ | $20 | 0xfa7a23… |
| 06-01 18:42:59 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 97 | 87¢ | $84 | 0xfa7a23… |
| 06-01 18:42:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 56 | 89¢ | $50 | 0xfa7a23… |
| 06-01 18:42:59 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfa7a23… |
| 06-01 16:53:37 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfe19ee… |
| 06-01 16:53:37 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfe19ee… |