Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
open
Total volume
$3,666
$24 in 24h
Trades
246
Unique wallets
73
Liquidity
$2,081
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-27 04:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-23.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $7
vs crowd: 23% YES on $3.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $70 | $380 | $310 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $23 | $310 | $288 |
| 🐟 Fish | 19 | $29 | $1.6K | $1.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 39 | $617 | $156 | +$460 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $63 | $293 | $230 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $24 | $98 | $74 |
| Median | 19 | $13 | $48 | $35 |
| Below median | 6 | $408 | $281 | +$126 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $14 | $46 | $32 |
| unranked | 27 | $205 | $1.7K | $1.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | +1,354 | $345 | $443 | 6 | 07-06 18:27 |
| Crushing-Spree 0xdc75…e4bc | No | +1,106 | $926 | $926 | 3 | 07-11 11:20 |
| Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | +689 | $586 | $586 | 7 | 06-25 21:51 |
| Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | +492 | $126 | $136 | 8 | 07-11 11:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +323 | $273 | $314 | 8 | 07-27 04:29 |
| Buoyant-Ice 0x30a7…02fa | No | +311 | $261 | $261 | 4 | 07-11 21:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +224 | $46 | $63 | 8 | 07-17 08:36 |
| Fatal-Birdwatcher 0xb124…6cda | No | +144 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +142 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-03 19:30 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +130 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-02 18:13 |
| Second-Domain 0x682d…4cd6 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 01:27 |
| Low-Mythology 0x0a25…52c1 | Yes | +74 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-06 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x1aeb…0189 | Yes | +67 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 08:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xeecc…06cd | Yes | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 18:16 |
| Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xba14…62b6 | Yes | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-29 00:52 |
| Deep-Director 0x8f9f…36e1 | Yes | +31 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-12 14:00 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $21 | $129 | 8 | 07-27 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xc66f…abcc | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-14 00:27 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 07-24 14:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 07-27 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x191d…ac20 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-11 21:24 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-25 21:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 07-09 17:10 |
| Torn-Sleuth 0xc5a9…0c9a | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-29 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-22 03:22 |
| Stained-Cynic 0xf2f6…5817 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x62ca…6951 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbed5…0483 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-27 04:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd69e…498f | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-22 11:10 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 04:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1a1…57f4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-06 11:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-18 18:16 |
| Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | +4 | $-1 | $4 | 6 | 07-20 20:31 |
| Clueless-Market 0x22a2…d9a2 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 19:09 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +2 | $-2 | $9 | 5 | 06-25 08:02 |
| This-Sleeping 0x189c…ca58 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-02 18:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 04:29:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xa15804… |
| 07-27 04:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xa15804… |
| 07-27 04:29:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xa15804… |
| 07-27 04:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | SELL | 60 | 82¢ | $49 | 0xa15804… |
| 07-27 04:29:00 | (anonymous) 0xbed5…0483 | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xa15804… |
| 07-24 14:48:31 | (anonymous) 0xaced…7e29 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb0fc86… |
| 07-24 14:48:31 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb0fc86… |
| 07-22 11:10:16 | (anonymous) 0xd69e…498f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x25780b… |
| 07-22 11:10:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x25780b… |
| 07-22 03:22:30 | Slimy-Dawn 0x69b3…14f8 | No | SELL | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x0c2713… |
| 07-22 03:22:30 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0c2713… |
| 07-22 03:22:30 | (anonymous) 0x9a9e…c6e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x0c2713… |
| 07-21 02:00:06 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe64428… |
| 07-21 02:00:06 | Slimy-Dawn 0x69b3…14f8 | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0xe64428… |
| 07-20 20:31:28 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd1291f… |
| 07-20 20:31:28 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xd1291f… |
| 07-20 04:48:58 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc89968… |
| 07-20 04:48:58 | Taut-Familiar 0xdec8…4eec | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xc89968… |
| 07-20 04:48:57 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf50fdc… |
| 07-20 04:48:57 | Impeccable-Vine 0x9539…da53 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xf50fdc… |
| 07-20 04:48:55 | Virtual-Cormorant 0x5131…ab2f | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x512474… |
| 07-20 04:48:55 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x512474… |
| 07-20 04:48:54 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x97f208… |
| 07-20 04:48:54 | Rectangular-Diesel 0x14e9…80c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x97f208… |
| 07-20 04:48:51 | Gleaming-Reporter 0xdcca…5d53 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6301ec… |
| 07-20 04:48:51 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6301ec… |
| 07-20 03:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4392f1… |
| 07-20 03:48:45 | Impeccable-Vine 0x9539…da53 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4392f1… |
| 07-20 03:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x352d5a… |
| 07-20 03:48:40 | Taut-Familiar 0xdec8…4eec | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x352d5a… |
| 07-20 03:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x984312… |
| 07-20 03:48:31 | Rectangular-Diesel 0x14e9…80c0 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x984312… |
| 07-20 03:48:30 | Virtual-Cormorant 0x5131…ab2f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb39419… |
| 07-20 03:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb39419… |
| 07-20 03:48:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x6adb95… |
| 07-20 03:48:27 | Gleaming-Reporter 0xdcca…5d53 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x6adb95… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf40d4e… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xeecc…06cd | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xf40d4e… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xf40d4e… |
| 07-18 18:16:07 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0xf40d4e… |
| 07-17 08:36:30 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | Yes | SELL | 110 | 6¢ | $7 | 0xa2c3be… |
| 07-17 08:36:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xa2c3be… |
| 07-17 08:36:30 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xa2c3be… |
| 07-17 08:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe9920e… |
| 07-17 08:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xc465…185c | Yes | BUY | 110 | 18¢ | $20 | 0xe9920e… |
| 07-17 08:36:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 82¢ | $20 | 0xe9920e… |
| 07-17 08:36:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 78 | 82¢ | $63 | 0xe9920e… |
| 07-14 00:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x351217… |
| 07-14 00:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x351217… |
| 07-14 00:27:22 | (anonymous) 0xc66f…abcc | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x351217… |
| 07-11 21:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0x8334d1… |
| 07-11 21:24:46 | (anonymous) 0x191d…ac20 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8334d1… |
| 07-11 21:24:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x8334d1… |
| 07-11 21:24:46 | Buoyant-Ice 0x30a7…02fa | No | BUY | 72 | 88¢ | $63 | 0x8334d1… |
| 07-11 21:24:46 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8334d1… |
| 07-11 13:00:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xce04f5… |
| 07-11 13:00:11 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xce04f5… |
| 07-11 11:20:29 | Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | BUY | 106 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x4a04d0… |
| 07-11 11:20:29 | Crushing-Spree 0xdc75…e4bc | No | BUY | 106 | 81¢ | $86 | 0x4a04d0… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | BUY | 111 | 18¢ | $20 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 12 | 82¢ | $10 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-09 17:10:58 | (anonymous) 0x9ce0…eea7 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x8e45bc… |
| 07-08 01:30:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xcc84c7… |
| 07-08 01:30:49 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xcc84c7… |
| 07-08 01:30:19 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xa53027… |
| 07-08 01:30:19 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xa53027… |
| 07-08 01:30:17 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc0f89d… |
| 07-08 01:30:17 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xc0f89d… |
| 07-08 01:30:16 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7a5c11… |
| 07-08 01:30:16 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x7a5c11… |
| 07-08 01:30:14 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdfdc92… |
| 07-08 01:30:14 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xdfdc92… |
| 07-08 01:30:11 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0d4e3c… |
| 07-08 01:30:11 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x0d4e3c… |
| 07-08 01:07:43 | Deserted-Alley 0xbf6f…be8e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b1e1e… |
| 07-08 01:07:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0b1e1e… |
| 07-08 01:07:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x20096d… |
| 07-08 01:07:40 | Likely-Mama 0x2f0d…7ca3 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x20096d… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xaec300… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5315d0… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Polished-Scheme 0xb62e…f989 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x58224a… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x58224a… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Tidy-Leverage 0x6b92…d7b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xaec300… |
| 07-08 01:07:38 | Studious-Whelp 0x4956…2a4d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5315d0… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | Discrete-Flung 0x5745…aa5e | Yes | BUY | 274 | 18¢ | $50 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 72 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 106 | 82¢ | $87 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 18¢ | $12 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 18:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x455c…e548 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x900846… |
| 07-06 12:44:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36d30a… |
| 07-06 12:44:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36d30a… |
| 07-06 11:53:26 | Low-Mythology 0x0a25…52c1 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x8de1f9… |
| 07-06 11:53:26 | Quarterly-Everyone 0x923c…fa1d | Yes | SELL | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8de1f9… |
| 07-06 11:53:26 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x8de1f9… |