Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$112
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$74
5 positions
First seen
2026-07-14
last 07-14 00:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
82%
Politics
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +1,544 $37 $32 $-5 07-14 00:29
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +337 $20 $18 $-2 07-14 00:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +53 $10 22¢ $11 +$1 07-14 00:21
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +120 $10 $8 $-2 07-14 00:26
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +28 $5 15¢ $4 $-1 07-14 00:27