Rectangular-Diesel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$345

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-25 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-0

Politics

26% 0% $-0

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	24	$25	24	24	+0	open	—	02-10 01:53
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 01:35
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	06-13 07:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	01-31 02:08
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-21 02:15
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-16 08:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:24
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 03:01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:09
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:41
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	01-07 08:24
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-27 02:24
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 01:49
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 03:03
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 04:11
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:55:16	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xec5315…
07-25 08:38:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c9bc4…
07-23 02:44:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc36e4b…
07-23 02:03:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x18b232…
07-21 02:16:39	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x534773…
07-21 02:15:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4edd80…
07-21 02:02:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14ce93…
07-21 02:01:37	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb2c12…
07-20 04:48:54	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97f208…
07-20 04:47:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0e5e5b…
07-20 03:49:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b929c…
07-20 03:48:31	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x984312…
07-18 01:38:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x666ee9…
07-18 01:37:22	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x43f99e…
07-18 01:17:45	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72b3fd…
07-18 01:16:54	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x012929…
07-17 01:36:33	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcd5de…
07-17 01:35:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0eda5…
07-17 01:27:51	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeacaa1…
07-17 01:26:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xecef11…
07-16 01:11:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb901b5…
07-16 01:10:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71a418…
07-16 01:03:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd99bd…
07-16 01:03:14	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb41c03…
07-15 02:19:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x281647…
07-15 02:01:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd056a…
07-14 01:31:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x553e06…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc1392e…
07-14 01:17:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x873742…
07-14 01:14:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x703e23…
07-13 03:13:31	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf74a6…
07-13 02:56:20	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14d846…
07-11 02:58:50	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeacf93…
07-11 02:37:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89be3e…
07-10 02:08:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x00ffe5…
07-10 01:46:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6239f0…
07-09 01:13:29	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe14320…
07-09 01:02:02	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf12783…
07-08 01:54:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x017152…
07-08 01:38:22	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2177bf…
07-07 01:38:02	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xceb937…
07-07 01:25:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x305e31…
07-06 02:39:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d1184…
07-06 02:24:52	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76ddd9…
07-04 01:37:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4cc009…
07-04 01:36:43	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb3f919…
07-04 01:22:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da356…
07-04 01:20:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5c31f0…
07-03 02:25:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc53af4…
07-03 02:25:19	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3c3ed…
07-03 02:17:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x25b5a6…
07-03 02:17:11	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b47b5…
07-02 02:33:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x030aec…
07-02 02:32:52	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0ee40c…
07-02 02:27:56	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b9d71…
07-02 02:26:34	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9ba28…
07-01 01:10:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x384fa1…
07-01 01:09:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2dd99c…
07-01 01:01:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x827fe9…
07-01 01:00:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f9661…
06-30 02:17:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe38fe8…
06-30 02:16:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x111953…
06-30 02:00:26	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd8212e…
06-30 01:58:31	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6be31c…
06-27 01:56:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd09990…
06-27 01:48:02	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2aacad…
06-26 10:12:47	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c9759…
06-26 10:05:20	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab8cad…
06-25 03:49:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3cef94…
06-25 03:35:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25975f…
06-23 09:10:37	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbfc681…
06-23 09:10:11	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1f1f9…
06-23 09:06:41	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95160b…
06-23 09:05:56	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb562a5…
06-22 07:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9866fb…
06-22 07:16:56	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x55a915…
06-22 07:08:08	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x46f560…
06-22 06:59:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b8fcd…
06-21 09:54:29	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcb6c4d…
06-21 09:54:14	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x60ec76…
06-21 09:46:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8dffcc…
06-21 09:44:04	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9ba16…
06-18 09:28:02	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x58dc7e…
06-18 09:18:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0c7c68…
06-17 08:00:41	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0418ff…
06-17 07:59:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7c0df8…
06-17 07:52:14	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x366bb1…
06-17 07:50:59	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc9e4ac…
06-16 08:44:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3e15f2…
06-16 08:43:33	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4a2601…
06-16 08:39:34	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7776cb…
06-16 08:38:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4917c8…
06-15 08:59:22	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe5bc8…
06-15 08:58:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x21a143…
06-15 08:48:21	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d80e4…
06-13 07:41:04	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4f0488…
06-13 07:32:58	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7eb052…
06-12 08:45:54	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x49e2eb…
06-12 08:32:13	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3778a9…
06-11 08:45:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x84a6f7…