Rectangular-Diesel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

133

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$460

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

63% 16% -$4

Politics

24% 14% $0

Crypto

9% 0% $0

Tech

3% 25% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	24	$25	24	24	+0	No	-$1	02-10 01:53
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	14	$14	7	7	-0	open	—	07-17 01:35
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	-0	No	$0	06-13 07:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-21 02:15
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-30 02:33
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 07:46
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-23 09:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-10 08:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 07:45
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 02:59
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 02:08
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-21 06:50
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 04:24
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-30 03:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:09
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-06 07:37
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 02:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:24
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	07-15 02:20
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	01-15 09:41
townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 07:39
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	05-16 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:40:03	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa0ed51…
08-01 07:39:36	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x89e2b8…
08-01 07:20:15	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96048f…
08-01 07:16:44	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x81f06a…
07-31 02:27:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3a4039…
07-31 02:27:15	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4532c2…
07-31 02:19:20	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x29f233…
07-31 02:18:30	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd48a84…
07-30 02:34:12	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1376cf…
07-30 02:33:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x47ff43…
07-30 02:02:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x196a59…
07-30 01:59:59	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3fd161…
07-28 02:17:49	Will Ty Dillon win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x200a97…
07-28 02:16:51	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2e3dee…
07-28 02:02:31	Will Ty Dillon win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x255a07…
07-28 02:01:45	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2baeee…
07-25 08:55:58	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xad01b7…
07-25 08:55:16	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xec5315…
07-25 08:39:43	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b0c91…
07-25 08:38:42	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c9bc4…
07-23 02:44:43	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x657067…
07-23 02:44:15	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc36e4b…
07-23 02:08:34	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c83c3…
07-23 02:03:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x18b232…
07-21 02:16:39	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x534773…
07-21 02:15:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x4edd80…
07-21 02:02:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14ce93…
07-21 02:01:37	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcb2c12…
07-20 04:48:54	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x97f208…
07-20 04:47:31	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0e5e5b…
07-20 03:49:30	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b929c…
07-20 03:48:31	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x984312…
07-18 01:38:31	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x666ee9…
07-18 01:37:22	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x43f99e…
07-18 01:17:45	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72b3fd…
07-18 01:16:54	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x012929…
07-17 01:36:33	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcd5de…
07-17 01:35:54	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0eda5…
07-17 01:27:51	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeacaa1…
07-17 01:26:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xecef11…
07-16 01:11:16	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb901b5…
07-16 01:10:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71a418…
07-16 01:03:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd99bd…
07-16 01:03:14	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb41c03…
07-15 02:20:23	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc013b3…
07-15 02:19:59	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x281647…
07-15 02:02:44	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8c23ec…
07-15 02:01:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd056a…
07-14 01:31:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x553e06…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc1392e…
07-14 01:17:38	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x873742…
07-14 01:14:19	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x703e23…
07-13 03:13:58	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0b8791…
07-13 03:13:31	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdf74a6…
07-13 02:56:20	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14d846…
07-13 02:55:34	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6281a4…
07-11 02:59:19	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x30fa0e…
07-11 02:58:50	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeacf93…
07-11 02:39:50	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7e62e…
07-11 02:37:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x89be3e…
07-10 02:09:05	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeafe4f…
07-10 02:08:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x00ffe5…
07-10 01:47:41	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf1280a…
07-10 01:46:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6239f0…
07-09 01:14:19	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9840a2…
07-09 01:13:29	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe14320…
07-09 01:03:56	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa31e0a…
07-09 01:02:02	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf12783…
07-08 01:56:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3daa97…
07-08 01:54:52	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x017152…
07-08 01:39:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd3c54…
07-08 01:38:22	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2177bf…
07-07 01:38:02	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xceb937…
07-07 01:37:26	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe38e03…
07-07 01:26:04	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb3c7b…
07-07 01:25:19	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x305e31…
07-06 02:40:35	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x046dda…
07-06 02:39:50	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0d1184…
07-06 02:24:52	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x76ddd9…
07-06 02:22:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac290f…
07-04 01:37:01	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4cc009…
07-04 01:36:43	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb3f919…
07-04 01:22:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da356…
07-04 01:20:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5c31f0…
07-03 02:25:43	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc53af4…
07-03 02:25:19	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa3c3ed…
07-03 02:17:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x25b5a6…
07-03 02:17:11	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0b47b5…
07-02 02:33:14	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x030aec…
07-02 02:32:52	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0ee40c…
07-02 02:27:56	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b9d71…
07-02 02:26:34	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9ba28…
07-01 01:10:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x384fa1…
07-01 01:09:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2dd99c…
07-01 01:01:35	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x827fe9…
07-01 01:00:20	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6f9661…
06-30 02:17:02	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe38fe8…
06-30 02:16:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x111953…
06-30 02:00:26	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd8212e…
06-30 01:58:31	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6be31c…