Impeccable-Vine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

390

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% 0% $-0

Politics

24% 50% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	32	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	02-18 01:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	12	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	07-17 01:36
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	6	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 07:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-30 02:33
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:26
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	07-21 02:15
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-12 04:09
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:12
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:42
townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	08-01 07:39
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 01:04
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:40:15	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa408e2…
08-01 07:39:06	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6b4eef…
08-01 07:20:20	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe98ff5…
08-01 07:16:45	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd84f7b…
07-31 02:27:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x903bb2…
07-31 02:27:17	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x93cb59…
07-31 02:19:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x61282c…
07-31 02:18:32	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1623e5…
07-30 02:34:12	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x692ca8…
07-30 02:33:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2faa84…
07-30 02:02:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9eb4b6…
07-30 02:00:02	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa565b2…
07-28 02:16:58	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x474eee…
07-28 02:01:45	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x632cb8…
07-25 08:55:19	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf08804…
07-25 08:38:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7c408c…
07-23 02:44:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f920b…
07-23 02:03:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8dde32…
07-21 02:16:42	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb5d5a5…
07-21 02:15:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x073833…
07-21 02:02:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5aaea4…
07-21 02:01:43	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5d78c…
07-20 04:48:57	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf50fdc…
07-20 04:47:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe1452b…
07-20 03:49:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4a989f…
07-20 03:48:45	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4392f1…
07-18 01:38:34	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87e0fb…
07-18 01:37:25	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2368b9…
07-18 01:17:49	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x256876…
07-18 01:17:01	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x01be88…
07-17 01:36:38	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23b0e8…
07-17 01:36:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xffdc34…
07-17 01:27:56	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19a0ec…
07-17 01:26:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x167c40…
07-16 01:11:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f2e5f…
07-16 01:10:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c966b…
07-16 01:04:32	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50b36d…
07-16 01:03:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e02b3…
07-15 02:20:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1c65cf…
07-15 02:01:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4aba4…
07-14 01:31:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa4fe87…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69cd24…
07-14 01:17:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x313f22…
07-14 01:15:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d56f9…
07-13 03:13:34	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7adcb1…
07-13 02:56:23	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b877f…
07-11 02:58:53	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe96d7a…
07-11 02:37:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8086f5…
07-10 02:08:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeb25a3…
07-10 01:46:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e85bf…
07-09 01:13:32	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x908bae…
07-09 01:02:08	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76ef5a…
07-08 01:55:01	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f0525…
07-08 01:38:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd73aa8…
07-07 01:38:10	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xefe67d…
07-07 01:25:23	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38624f…
07-06 02:39:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd7eb8a…
07-06 02:24:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8ca392…
07-04 01:43:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf10d9…
07-04 01:43:26	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3df468…
07-04 01:22:31	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b5561…
07-04 01:20:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb2e78…
07-03 02:25:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x502385…
07-03 02:25:23	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99cb42…
07-03 02:18:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85b5f8…
07-03 02:17:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86d351…
07-02 02:33:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7787…
07-02 02:32:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ad2ed…
07-02 02:28:01	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde245c…
07-02 02:26:37	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c1b0f…
07-01 01:10:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed5a37…
07-01 01:10:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0971e7…
07-01 01:01:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf08c31…
07-01 01:00:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d6c5d…
06-30 02:17:32	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb2af09…
06-30 02:17:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb89e2a…
06-30 02:00:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad4e80…
06-30 01:58:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5da039…
06-27 01:56:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x385ee0…
06-27 01:48:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90a15d…
06-26 10:23:20	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb76160…
06-26 10:22:59	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1bc910…
06-26 10:17:55	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8b791…
06-26 10:16:28	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05627b…
06-25 03:49:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2cee96…
06-25 03:35:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe500e9…
06-23 09:10:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b9b56…
06-23 09:10:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc0861…
06-23 09:06:44	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a7607…
06-23 09:06:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8de190…
06-22 07:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa64c54…
06-22 07:17:02	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7bc25f…
06-22 07:08:16	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54782a…
06-22 07:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b6ab0…
06-21 09:54:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x13911b…
06-21 09:54:16	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf22b15…
06-21 09:46:22	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9445ec…
06-21 09:44:05	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7447be…
06-18 09:28:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd0cb38…
06-18 09:18:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c261d…