Impeccable-Vine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 50% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 08:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	32	$33	27	27	+0	open	—	02-18 01:05
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	6	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-13 07:41
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	06-27 01:56
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:46
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 01:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:26
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:50
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	-0	open	—	06-16 08:43
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-12 04:09
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 01:35
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-04 09:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:12
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-15 09:42
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 01:04
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:22
will bomb be said 100 times during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	3	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	06-15 08:58
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 09:09
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 04:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 01:43:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf10d9…
07-04 01:43:26	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3df468…
07-04 01:22:31	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b5561…
07-04 01:20:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb2e78…
07-03 02:25:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x502385…
07-03 02:25:23	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99cb42…
07-03 02:18:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85b5f8…
07-03 02:17:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86d351…
07-02 02:33:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7787…
07-02 02:32:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ad2ed…
07-02 02:28:01	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde245c…
07-02 02:26:37	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c1b0f…
07-01 01:10:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed5a37…
07-01 01:10:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0971e7…
07-01 01:01:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf08c31…
07-01 01:00:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d6c5d…
06-30 02:17:32	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb2af09…
06-30 02:17:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb89e2a…
06-30 02:00:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad4e80…
06-30 01:58:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5da039…
06-27 01:56:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x385ee0…
06-27 01:48:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90a15d…
06-26 10:23:20	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb76160…
06-26 10:22:59	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1bc910…
06-26 10:17:55	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd8b791…
06-26 10:16:28	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x05627b…
06-25 03:49:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2cee96…
06-25 03:35:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe500e9…
06-23 09:10:38	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b9b56…
06-23 09:10:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbc0861…
06-23 09:06:44	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8a7607…
06-23 09:06:01	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8de190…
06-22 07:17:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa64c54…
06-22 07:17:02	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7bc25f…
06-22 07:08:16	will pakistan recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54782a…
06-22 07:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9b6ab0…
06-21 09:54:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x13911b…
06-21 09:54:16	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf22b15…
06-21 09:46:22	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9445ec…
06-21 09:44:05	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7447be…
06-18 09:28:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd0cb38…
06-18 09:18:32	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c261d…
06-17 08:00:44	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x484de0…
06-17 07:59:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x45723e…
06-17 07:52:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd84939…
06-17 07:51:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66068e…
06-16 08:44:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xde3a4f…
06-16 08:43:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x84013b…
06-16 08:39:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3096ca…
06-16 08:38:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c6e10…
06-15 08:59:22	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5592b…
06-15 08:58:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb6cecc…
06-15 08:48:24	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33921a…
06-13 07:41:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf3e4f8…
06-13 07:33:03	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0b00d…
06-12 08:46:18	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe46fb5…
06-12 08:32:15	us x china tariff agreement by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x927536…
06-11 08:45:09	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1e1a72…
06-11 08:30:57	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x684015…
06-10 08:54:42	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc85f4f…
06-10 08:53:51	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d3b73…
06-10 08:41:25	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1febb3…
06-10 08:40:33	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7902d4…
06-09 08:04:07	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd6c77a…
06-09 08:02:45	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1f87fe…
06-09 07:57:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x494b30…
06-09 07:55:34	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x39853d…
06-08 07:29:13	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1d8410…
06-08 07:20:58	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1633e…
06-06 07:37:48	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x395bab…
06-06 07:37:16	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0a000c…
06-06 07:18:21	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7107b5…
06-06 07:17:37	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcd9fe6…
06-06 07:15:34	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x402724…
06-06 07:14:12	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c8380…
06-05 07:46:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe48efd…
06-05 07:33:43	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x57dee2…
06-04 09:24:51	jd vance out as vp by june 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d0f4f…
06-04 09:24:31	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe12877…
06-04 09:18:39	jd vance out as vp by june 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44b8f4…
06-04 09:16:09	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1fe7b…
06-03 08:24:55	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb11399…
06-03 08:23:54	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc8dbe3…
06-03 08:22:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x511bf5…
06-03 08:21:08	Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f6469…
06-02 07:18:49	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb8368f…
06-02 07:17:11	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ae52f…
06-02 07:03:39	JD Vance out as VP by June 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5202fc…
06-02 07:02:22	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ff250…
06-01 09:13:15	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe5c461…
06-01 09:12:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0317ac…
06-01 08:53:04	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e5c61…
06-01 08:51:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x617a16…
05-30 03:02:23	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe5e7f7…
05-30 02:56:17	Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2201e1…
05-29 08:22:04	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf31b7c…
05-29 08:20:29	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14ecee…
05-29 08:07:52	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9c9e4…
05-29 08:04:55	Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c6aa8…
05-28 08:50:52	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x71fad0…