Impeccable-Vine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

489 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$487 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-01 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

65% 14% -$5

Politics

24% 18% $0

Crypto

8% 10% -$1

Tech

3% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	32	$33	27	27	+0	No	-$1	02-18 01:05
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	14	$14	7	7	-0	open	—	07-17 01:36
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	6	+0	No	$0	02-13 00:59
Trump out as President by June 30?	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	06-13 07:41
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-11 02:58
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	8	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	07-16 01:11
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 07:46
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	07-30 02:33
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 07:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-21 02:15
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-23 09:10
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 02:44
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-10 08:53
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-05 07:46
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	6	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-11 02:59
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 01:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$0	01-20 09:26
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-21 06:50
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 04:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-12 04:09
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-29 08:20
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	06-08 07:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-23 01:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 01:10
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-06 07:37
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-13 03:22
jd vance out as vp by june 15	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 09:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 07:40:15	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa408e2…
08-01 07:39:06	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x6b4eef…
08-01 07:20:20	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe98ff5…
08-01 07:16:45	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd84f7b…
07-31 02:27:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x903bb2…
07-31 02:27:17	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x93cb59…
07-31 02:19:21	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x61282c…
07-31 02:18:32	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1623e5…
07-30 02:34:12	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x692ca8…
07-30 02:33:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2faa84…
07-30 02:02:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9eb4b6…
07-30 02:00:02	townsquare fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260720191919478	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa565b2…
07-28 02:17:51	Will Ty Dillon win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd9c94e…
07-28 02:16:58	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x474eee…
07-28 02:02:34	Will Ty Dillon win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x82e870…
07-28 02:01:45	will russia enter ternuvate again by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x632cb8…
07-25 08:56:00	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd3955a…
07-25 08:55:19	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf08804…
07-25 08:39:45	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4d268…
07-25 08:38:54	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7c408c…
07-23 02:44:45	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8a05d5…
07-23 02:44:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1f920b…
07-23 02:08:45	Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4af600…
07-23 02:03:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8dde32…
07-21 02:16:42	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb5d5a5…
07-21 02:15:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x073833…
07-21 02:02:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5aaea4…
07-21 02:01:43	will actually be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260715171600427	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5d78c…
07-20 04:48:57	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf50fdc…
07-20 04:47:40	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe1452b…
07-20 03:49:25	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4a989f…
07-20 03:48:45	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4392f1…
07-18 01:38:34	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87e0fb…
07-18 01:37:25	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2368b9…
07-18 01:17:49	will xrp reach 1pt6 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x256876…
07-18 01:17:01	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x01be88…
07-17 01:36:38	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x23b0e8…
07-17 01:36:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xffdc34…
07-17 01:27:56	will xrp reach 2pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19a0ec…
07-17 01:26:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x167c40…
07-16 01:11:17	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f2e5f…
07-16 01:10:38	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6c966b…
07-16 01:04:32	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50b36d…
07-16 01:03:17	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4e02b3…
07-15 02:20:23	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x14417e…
07-15 02:20:05	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1c65cf…
07-15 02:02:46	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa7ce17…
07-15 02:01:46	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf4aba4…
07-14 01:31:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa4fe87…
07-14 01:31:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x69cd24…
07-14 01:17:44	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x313f22…
07-14 01:15:32	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d56f9…
07-13 03:14:01	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x57bce4…
07-13 03:13:34	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7adcb1…
07-13 02:56:23	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b877f…
07-13 02:55:37	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x970a90…
07-11 02:59:22	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x07fd77…
07-11 02:58:53	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe96d7a…
07-11 02:39:56	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4541c…
07-11 02:37:55	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8086f5…
07-10 02:09:14	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb388f2…
07-10 02:08:29	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeb25a3…
07-10 01:47:50	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x07ad99…
07-10 01:46:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e85bf…
07-09 01:14:25	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x11dba5…
07-09 01:13:32	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x908bae…
07-09 01:04:02	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd957ab…
07-09 01:02:08	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x76ef5a…
07-08 01:56:46	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x24e634…
07-08 01:55:01	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f0525…
07-08 01:39:44	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbb624b…
07-08 01:38:25	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd73aa8…
07-07 01:38:10	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xefe67d…
07-07 01:37:34	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x744524…
07-07 01:26:10	Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfaa76…
07-07 01:25:23	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38624f…
07-06 02:40:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe954e4…
07-06 02:39:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd7eb8a…
07-06 02:24:55	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8ca392…
07-06 02:23:02	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1ad39…
07-04 01:43:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcf10d9…
07-04 01:43:26	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3df468…
07-04 01:22:31	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1b5561…
07-04 01:20:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb2e78…
07-03 02:25:46	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x502385…
07-03 02:25:23	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x99cb42…
07-03 02:18:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85b5f8…
07-03 02:17:14	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86d351…
07-02 02:33:16	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6c7787…
07-02 02:32:55	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1ad2ed…
07-02 02:28:01	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde245c…
07-02 02:26:37	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9c1b0f…
07-01 01:10:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed5a37…
07-01 01:10:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0971e7…
07-01 01:01:41	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf08c31…
07-01 01:00:22	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d6c5d…
06-30 02:17:32	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb2af09…
06-30 02:17:19	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb89e2a…
06-30 02:00:38	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xad4e80…
06-30 01:58:40	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5da039…