Virtuous-Exhibit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$405

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

134

Trades

867

lifetime

Volume

$59.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$1.05K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-04 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

87% 68% +$1,918

Politics

11% 67% +$56

Tech

2% 50% +$264

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	-1,584	-$901	36¢	$-578	+$323	05-19 07:35
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	-410	-$299	62¢	$-254	+$45	08-07 14:25
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	-229	-$211	94¢	$-216	-$5	08-07 14:26
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	+0	-$42	97¢	$0	+$42	09-03 09:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	11	$4.1K	2,164	2,164	+0	open	—	07-27 05:59
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	14	$2.8K	1,471	1,471	+0	No	+$9	06-22 04:36
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	3	$2.4K	1,211	1,211	+0	No	+$11	06-21 20:37
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	17	$2.3K	2,257	306	+1,951	No	+$131	06-07 18:27
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	23	$2.3K	1,851	1,851	+0	open	—	07-29 10:54
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	18	$1.8K	1,321	1,321	+0	No	+$334	06-29 08:26
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	21	$1.7K	980	980	+0	open	—	09-03 09:20
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	11	$1.7K	947	947	+0	open	—	08-03 14:24
ebola case in the us by june 30	28	$1.7K	1,614	315	+1,299	No	+$142	07-01 08:47
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	11	$1.5K	1,248	1,248	+0	Yes	+$44	06-08 17:58
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	26	$1.4K	1,687	1,015	+672	No	-$654	06-23 19:48
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	3	$1.2K	616	616	+0	No	+$13	06-21 18:08
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	5	$1.2K	689	589	+100	No	+$8	05-17 07:40
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	11	$1.1K	902	902	+0	Yes	+$219	06-15 05:12
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	27	$1.1K	944	944	+0	Yes	-$51	06-19 07:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$1.0K	639	638	+1	No	+$64	04-23 08:23
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	3	$995	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$5	05-29 00:02
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	9	$901	0	1,584	-1,584	open	—	05-19 07:35
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	24	$898	598	598	+0	open	—	09-23 17:49
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	9	$781	1,009	450	+559	No	-$78	07-04 21:29
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	6	$708	967	215	+752	Yes	+$211	06-27 13:37
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	5	$701	846	0	+846	Yes	+$145	06-29 19:43
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	5	$686	482	482	+0	Yes	+$132	05-07 04:40
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	73	$678	503	368	+135	No	+$193	06-27 03:53
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	6	$676	787	300	+487	No	-$436	06-26 11:38
Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	4	$662	400	400	+0	No	-$14	07-04 06:03
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	9	$629	647	0	+647	No	+$18	05-31 00:22
Obama arrested before 2027?	3	$625	336	336	+0	open	—	07-15 18:27
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	15	$568	471	471	+0	Yes	+$195	05-23 06:00
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	2	$565	392	392	+0	No	+$165	04-29 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 06:33:40	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x17d16f…
09-29 14:25:24	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	54	83¢	$45	0xccd1c0…
09-29 06:33:30	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x061000…
09-23 17:49:56	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x28e327…
09-13 12:19:31	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x7e930b…
09-07 09:10:09	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x25f22e…
09-03 23:05:28	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9f5174…
09-03 09:20:39	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	822	90¢	$740	0x9aabe5…
09-01 11:49:27	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0xbd33dd…
09-01 09:31:43	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	110	80¢	$88	0x6c609a…
09-01 09:27:16	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	105	80¢	$84	0x896225…
09-01 09:22:15	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x573ca0…
08-28 12:21:42	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	53	80¢	$42	0x6925fb…
08-27 13:23:36	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0xde70de…
08-27 01:30:24	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x61257e…
08-25 12:28:22	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x924831…
08-25 12:26:03	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x6eb950…
08-25 11:35:49	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	29	80¢	$23	0x4f6695…
08-25 11:35:46	Will Kenya have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xe1e85c…
08-25 11:32:12	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	33	80¢	$26	0x32e686…
08-24 07:22:06	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	120	80¢	$96	0xe439bd…
08-23 08:27:07	Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0x0148a9…
08-16 20:33:58	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xf55f0d…
08-07 14:26:07	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	180	92¢	$166	0xa5a681…
08-07 14:25:19	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	361	73¢	$264	0xe93c3b…
08-07 14:24:06	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x556e7e…
08-07 12:38:55	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x7d71b6…
08-06 22:39:06	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$8	0xa1277c…
08-06 22:39:06	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x42729d…
08-06 22:39:05	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	25	73¢	$18	0x49501f…
08-06 08:18:14	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xb1c093…
08-06 07:10:44	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf520a7…
08-06 07:10:44	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x9bda2e…
08-06 01:05:53	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x66db82…
08-05 13:18:18	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x93f47c…
08-04 06:28:06	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	296	80¢	$237	0x416f58…
08-04 06:20:29	will canada have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x585835…
08-03 14:24:56	Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?	No	SELL	947	92¢	$872	0xba2f09…
08-03 08:25:03	will rwanda have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	107	70¢	$75	0x3de019…
08-03 07:21:57	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	SELL	210	89¢	$188	0xffbe9b…
08-03 07:15:54	will china have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	6	80¢	$4	0x4af808…
08-03 07:13:48	will rwanda have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	22	70¢	$16	0x072c92…
07-29 10:54:18	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	803	75¢	$602	0x009e51…
07-27 05:59:24	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1,672	97¢	$1,626	0x5afbb9…
07-26 15:49:12	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xeea1ad…
07-25 17:06:09	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	743	75¢	$557	0xb5ffc4…
07-22 09:08:13	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x316430…
07-22 08:55:19	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x78115f…
07-22 08:52:36	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	25	75¢	$19	0xa3460a…
07-22 08:50:21	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	96	75¢	$72	0xe2a7e8…
07-22 08:28:30	will the united states have an ebola case in 2026	No	SELL	134	75¢	$100	0x03f1e9…
07-21 20:09:16	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	SELL	102	94¢	$96	0xb12044…
07-15 18:27:11	Obama arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	336	96¢	$323	0x796da2…
07-15 10:07:29	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	492	97¢	$478	0x2bc748…
07-10 14:32:20	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	SELL	177	72¢	$128	0xa24ea3…
07-07 21:02:35	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	97	57¢	$55	0x4ee25c…
07-07 20:50:13	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$33	0x8bf746…
07-06 22:05:14	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xf94d78…
07-06 05:49:11	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0x627b27…
07-05 18:02:44	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb899cf…
07-05 16:29:17	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x50e971…
07-04 21:29:08	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf20178…
07-04 13:26:35	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	198	20¢	$40	0x5aed3f…
07-04 11:27:23	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x7560cb…
07-04 09:41:29	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x4dd062…
07-04 06:03:26	Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	SELL	146	81¢	$118	0x5e7294…
07-04 06:02:58	Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	SELL	254	81¢	$206	0x07246f…
07-03 22:34:19	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0x27b0a1…
07-03 19:48:43	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x3392e1…
07-03 15:35:41	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xf783b3…
07-03 14:49:38	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xdd033f…
07-03 09:46:49	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0208da…
07-03 09:43:34	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$110	0xc9c5b3…
07-03 06:00:23	Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x0a6372…
07-01 21:46:38	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdc83ee…
07-01 21:46:31	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	389	81¢	$315	0x9637f0…
07-01 21:42:29	Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x2a3f4c…
07-01 21:32:08	Will there be more than 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xad8df3…
07-01 19:53:49	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	SELL	450	16¢	$72	0xe2610d…
07-01 08:47:11	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x350f67…
06-30 23:25:46	Will there be exactly 14 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7b76ec…
06-30 22:41:05	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa21b77…
06-30 15:55:46	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x31dbcb…
06-30 11:33:37	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xd9b5a1…
06-30 11:28:01	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0xef7066…
06-29 20:46:02	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4724ce…
06-29 20:45:28	ebola case in the us by june 30	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x0c5bcb…
06-29 19:44:13	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8eea1d…
06-29 19:43:52	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	330	98¢	$323	0x2fcde7…
06-29 15:32:49	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x273bc5…
06-29 12:18:37	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	Yes	BUY	45	39¢	$17	0x20af07…
06-29 08:26:29	Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0x6319aa…
06-29 08:26:29	Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$314	0x4e6156…
06-28 21:00:44	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x06e2a0…
06-28 16:22:17	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x030cf9…
06-27 13:37:56	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x7eb805…
06-27 13:37:44	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	281	71¢	$199	0xd5d784…
06-27 13:37:29	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	216	75¢	$162	0x743973…
06-27 13:37:22	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xbf7c32…
06-27 13:36:40	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	No	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0x674064…