Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
164
lifetime
Volume
$10.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$1.63K
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 06-09 21:31
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77%
Politics
19%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No +577 $493 90¢ $516 +$23 06-02 21:16
Will Santander fail by June 30, 2026? No +300 $286 96¢ $290 +$4 06-09 21:31
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +318 $275 88¢ $279 +$4 06-06 12:08
Obama arrested before 2027? No +236 $213 93¢ $219 +$7 05-29 15:00
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +144 $129 92¢ $131 +$2 06-06 21:29
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +102 $91 90¢ $92 +$2 05-29 22:52
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +721 $86 $47 $-39 06-02 08:47
Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon? No +40 $39 99¢ $39 +$1 06-08 14:24
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? No -21 $-17 76¢ $-16 +$1 06-02 20:11
Will BMO fail by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 $-0 06-09 03:39