Realized P&L
-$161
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved
54
Trades
1,691
lifetime
Volume
$31.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$213
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
55% 59% $-139
Politics
23% 67% $-40
Sports
15% 86% +$18
Tech
5%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -80 $-67 72¢ $-57 +$10 07-08 21:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +50 $44 92¢ $46 +$1 07-02 21:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-40 90¢ $-36 +$4 07-19 22:22
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $26 57¢ $28 +$2 07-01 12:06
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -30 $-26 86¢ $-26 $-0 07-19 22:21
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$1 06-29 00:52
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +50 $11 13¢ $6 $-4 06-01 22:07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 44¢ $4 $-0 07-08 01:30