Torn-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,774

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

57% 59% $-139

Politics

22% 67% $-40

Sports

14% 86% +$18

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel on march 10	56	$1.4K	1,223	584	+639	open	—	03-16 13:17
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	14	$1.1K	900	500	+400	open	—	07-07 11:19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	7	$649	444	224	+220	open	—	02-09 11:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$625	374	274	+100	open	—	02-09 07:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva	28	$501	559	0	+559	Coco Gauff	+$59	05-12 19:25
Will Vitality qualify to IEM Atlanta 2026 Playoffs?	3	$444	260	200	+60	open	—	05-13 22:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	6	$405	205	205	+0	open	—	04-25 11:04
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$398	400	0	+400	open	—	01-01 09:43
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	3	$378	380	0	+380	open	—	03-18 14:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	8	$362	419	0	+419	Zachary Svajda	$-362	05-06 12:23
atp tiafoe mensik 2026 03 23	16	$362	394	274	+120	open	—	03-23 21:31
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	12	$329	370	0	+370	open	—	07-03 16:26
wta radivoj charaev 2026 03 23	3	$291	336	0	+336	open	—	03-23 13:38
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score	11	$288	453	70	+383	open	—	06-02 17:16
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	5	$283	144	144	+0	open	—	05-19 23:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$268	400	0	+400	open	—	06-01 15:49
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	6	$268	209	109	+100	open	—	04-25 11:05
Netanyahu out by May 31?	4	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	05-07 19:43
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	4	$251	130	130	+0	open	—	06-13 19:21
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	5	$244	120	130	-10	open	—	03-29 16:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	6	$242	125	125	+0	open	—	03-23 21:30
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?	5	$236	117	127	-10	No	+$5	05-07 20:54
Will Rayo Vallecano reach the UEFA Conference League final?	3	$225	226	0	+226	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$219	232	180	+52	open	—	08-10 22:32
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$217	225	5	+220	open	—	05-17 10:20
Will SC Freiburg qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	5	$215	116	116	+0	open	—	05-20 19:49
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	6	$211	200	250	-50	open	—	07-31 10:45
will javokhir sindarov win the 2026 fide candidates tournament	3	$205	155	60	+95	open	—	04-11 10:17
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	12	$201	223	0	+223	open	—	03-30 19:57
Hertha BSC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5	1	$200	213	0	+213	Under	+$13	05-10 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 05:47:04	wta svitoli swiatek 2026 08 12	Elina Svitolina	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x04b79f…
08-10 22:32:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	38	54¢	$20	0xfe8541…
08-10 21:43:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x3d1376…
08-10 21:43:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x39a75f…
08-10 21:38:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x400e38…
08-10 21:38:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	57	54¢	$31	0x5d2500…
08-10 18:32:18	wta bencic gauff 2026 08 11	Coco Gauff	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x846c4c…
08-10 16:21:30	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x78d6eb…
08-10 16:08:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	46	69¢	$31	0x0d4279…
08-10 15:56:21	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xb992b1…
08-10 15:19:54	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$10	0x2ea6a2…
08-10 14:42:24	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964 932 684 491	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xff9a04…
08-10 14:10:46	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xdcc0e4…
08-10 13:58:28	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x2b8753…
08-10 13:46:33	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x98c214…
08-10 13:31:22	atp brancac jianu 2026 08 10	Raul Brancaccio	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xba9665…
08-10 08:41:04	wta osaka rybakin 2026 08 11	Naomi Osaka	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x8f5dd5…
08-09 20:04:07	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Thiago Agustin Tirante	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x32bc41…
08-09 20:02:45	atp tien tirante 2026 08 10	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0x6096b2…
08-09 12:41:33	wta alexand svitoli 2026 08 11	Elina Svitolina	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x0e2131…
08-08 11:32:48	atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0xf84ff3…
08-08 11:28:24	atp erhard schwaer 2026 08 08	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x6155b4…
08-08 11:09:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x755698…
08-08 11:08:46	wta fernand osaka 2026 08 09 set handicap away 1pt5	Fernandez	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xfcc193…
08-08 11:08:31	wta fernand osaka 2026 08 09	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xa9551b…
08-08 09:24:52	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x06913c…
08-07 20:25:10	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xe6af9b…
08-07 20:25:09	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0xb5e01f…
08-07 20:24:37	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0xbaafbc…
08-07 18:52:04	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x673a40…
08-07 17:25:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf3995b…
08-07 13:15:12	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4304a5…
08-07 13:14:04	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xfe418b…
08-07 00:29:35	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa31d92…
08-06 21:37:03	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	60	74¢	$45	0x2e92cb…
08-06 21:36:36	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xd9b481…
08-06 20:56:41	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x9345d6…
08-06 18:47:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x49d9fc…
08-06 18:33:23	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$7	0x8139a9…
08-06 18:14:53	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x9d1605…
08-06 18:13:38	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf914be…
08-06 18:12:35	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x9827e5…
08-06 18:12:32	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x10582d…
08-06 18:10:17	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x87d221…
08-06 10:29:17	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4b81b5…
08-06 07:09:47	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0cead7…
08-05 14:32:50	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfd8879…
08-05 14:27:23	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1480 by december 31 2026 20260804194832577	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x6a5d65…
08-05 14:17:56	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x189bf6…
08-05 14:02:59	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x0beb8c…
08-05 09:27:17	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x5aaa93…
08-04 20:27:44	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xabba83…
08-04 19:46:33	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x92ad28…
08-04 18:36:56	atp svajda shapova 2026 08 03	Zachary Svajda	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x883b65…
08-02 20:19:29	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe61740…
08-02 08:46:39	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x304061…
08-01 15:38:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	99	53¢	$53	0xc6037e…
08-01 13:38:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x83ce97…
08-01 13:35:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	101	53¢	$53	0xaae736…
07-31 17:19:35	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3857c1…
07-31 16:00:06	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by july 31 2026 20260727160618746	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x88ac61…
07-31 11:26:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2fdffe…
07-31 11:14:54	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7cec76…
07-31 10:56:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xef8ed9…
07-31 10:45:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x3ec02a…
07-31 10:38:12	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xadae41…
07-31 09:43:18	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	SELL	250	27¢	$67	0xd609b8…
07-30 09:02:41	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by july 31 2026 20260727160618746	No	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xf83291…
07-29 09:19:06	ukraine strikes another vessel in the black sea by july 31 2026 20260727160618746	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7d5739…
07-29 08:30:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x18571c…
07-26 14:51:31	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	86	59¢	$51	0xfabeca…
07-26 14:50:34	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xaf9511…
07-26 14:43:36	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x837288…
07-26 14:29:39	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x66052b…
07-26 14:24:45	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x3b8d33…
07-26 14:23:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc82184…
07-26 14:14:03	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x9a9d6e…
07-25 19:35:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x6797ef…
07-25 19:32:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xedfe1a…
07-21 15:24:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xdd32ce…
07-21 15:20:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x7b21fc…
07-20 17:37:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x7c3535…
07-20 17:18:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x9ea8f2…
07-20 17:05:34	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcd82ab…
07-20 15:43:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0xa07361…
07-20 15:39:33	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xbc19bd…
07-20 11:44:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb6cbd6…
07-20 11:39:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	695	1¢	$5	0x7a9af1…
07-19 23:12:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe1d19d…
07-19 23:12:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa56385…
07-19 23:12:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x934b4d…
07-19 23:12:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1a8a1a…
07-19 23:12:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9f18bf…
07-19 23:11:52	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xcbdb78…
07-19 23:09:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x3fe307…
07-19 23:09:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfe1be4…
07-19 23:09:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0a44f4…
07-19 23:07:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x521c98…
07-19 22:54:39	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x71ba1c…
07-19 22:52:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf705b9…