Stained-Cynic 0xf2f6af…cd5817
whale hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$637.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.81K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
540
Trades
26,255
lifetime
Volume
$9.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$373
Open exposure
$150.8K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-25 22:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
44% 61% +$328,231
Other
38% 49% +$194,865
Crypto
12% 92% +$104,008
Sports
6% 47% +$10,417
Tech
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 458 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +24,999 $18,249 74¢ $18.4K +$125 10-19 06:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +23,135 $16,815 74¢ $17.0K +$189 10-19 20:48
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +23,952 $14,569 66¢ $15.9K +$1,359 10-21 09:58
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,000 $16,800 73¢ $14.6K -$2,200 10-19 13:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -15,000 -$12,450 94¢ $-14175 -$1,725 05-10 10:56
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +17,983 $12,162 72¢ $12.9K +$786 10-06 20:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +12,224 $11,491 96¢ $11.8K +$281 08-05 14:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +10,616 $5,397 80¢ $8.4K +$3,043 09-08 19:59
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,070 $7,543 72¢ $7.9K +$371 10-06 20:14
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10,938 $6,891 66¢ $7.3K +$383 10-13 19:09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +32,946 $16,738 20¢ $6.8K -$9,984 09-16 19:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5,788 $2,926 68¢ $3.9K +$980 10-13 19:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -11,888 -$3,923 26¢ $-3150 +$773 05-27 17:43
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +2,540 $1,583 95¢ $2.4K +$830 06-29 22:10
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1,966 $1,534 96¢ $1.9K +$352 08-23 14:02
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes -1,095 -$555 90¢ $-986 -$430 06-12 13:43
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +8,105 $4,322 10¢ $810 -$3,512 07-17 11:43
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +1,000 $660 74¢ $735 +$75 09-01 23:53
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +634 $444 97¢ $612 +$169 06-07 23:49
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No -1,009 -$525 56¢ $-570 -$45 08-17 04:50
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -1,453 -$334 36¢ $-523 -$189 09-28 16:01
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -18,778 -$644 0¢ $-28 +$616 06-04 12:58
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $60 56¢ $0 -$60 08-15 07:18