Academic-Forecast 0x031415…d92f6d
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
840
lifetime
Volume
$1.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$102
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 07-02 03:16
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Tech
35% — —
Other
17% — —
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -317 $-60 14¢ $-43 +$17 06-13 04:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +91 $19 16¢ $14 $-5 06-29 16:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-9 94¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 09:40
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? No +13 $8 76¢ $10 +$2 07-02 11:29
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 76¢ $6 +$1 05-28 18:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -56 $-8 10¢ $-5 +$3 05-31 02:38
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +16 $2 16¢ $3 +$0 07-02 11:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +9 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 07-02 10:27
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +9 $2 23¢ $2 $-0 06-26 13:06
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +27 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 07-01 01:27
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No -5 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 07-02 11:39
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +10 $-1 11¢ $1 +$2 07-02 11:36
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 07-02 03:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 24¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 10:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -11 $0 6¢ $-1 $-1 06-14 06:59
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +6 $2 4¢ $0 $-1 06-16 06:40
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 $-1 06-24 10:21
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes -5 $-0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 10:41
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -1 $0 12¢ $-0 $-0 06-17 14:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $-0 06-03 18:41
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30? Yes -5 $1 1¢ $-0 $-1 07-02 11:01
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 $1 6¢ $0 $-1 06-08 00:20