Academic-Forecast 0x031415…d92f6d
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,403
lifetime
Volume
$5.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$265
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-23
last 07-23 06:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
49% — —
Politics
37% — —
Other
13% — —
Sports
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -311 $-63 30¢ $-92 $-28 07-18 18:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +284 $42 26¢ $72 +$31 07-18 17:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +270 $54 24¢ $63 +$9 07-13 22:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -11 $-9 94¢ $-10 $-1 06-01 09:40
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 05-28 18:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +120 $7 4¢ $5 $-2 07-14 08:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -56 $-8 10¢ $-5 +$3 05-31 02:38
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +6 $3 55¢ $3 $-0 07-22 02:13
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +62 $3 5¢ $3 $-0 07-23 08:50
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 07-23 08:49
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? Yes +4 $-1 16¢ $1 +$1 07-20 20:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 10:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -11 $0 6¢ $-1 $-1 06-14 06:59
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 11¢ $-1 $-0 07-03 19:28
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? No -5 $-1 6¢ $-0 +$1 07-02 11:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 11¢ $-0 +$0 07-22 03:55
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? Yes -5 $-0 4¢ $-0 +$0 05-28 10:41
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-03 18:41
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 5¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 09:01
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 16¢ $0 +$0 07-22 03:53
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +0 $1 9¢ $0 $-1 06-08 00:20