Academic-Forecast 0x031415…d92f6d
new
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Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
10 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$15 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$16
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 05:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79% — —
Other
21% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 05-13 05:32
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? No -3 $-3 86¢ $-3 $-0 05-13 05:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -3 $-2 78¢ $-3 $-0 05-12 04:05
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes -258 $-1 1¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 22:42
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $1 36¢ $1 +$0 05-12 06:41
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 05-12 21:52
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 05-12 04:18
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? No -1 $-0 68¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 16:57
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes -34 $-1 2¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 08:30