Realized P&L
-$253
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
1,246
Trades
20,042
lifetime
Volume
$17.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 10-31 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
41% 21% -$260
Sports
32% 28% +$45
Politics
14% 15% -$9
Crypto
11% 17% -$21
Tech
2% 20% -$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 703 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +6 $4 97¢ $6 +$2 09-13 12:53
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +28 $4 15¢ $4 +$0 10-31 13:54
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +9 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 10-31 18:26
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? Yes +261 $1 1¢ $4 +$3 10-26 07:55
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +3 $0 90¢ $3 +$3 08-09 04:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 06-05 19:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 -$3 66¢ $2 +$6 09-21 08:39
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $2 -$1 08-10 01:00
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2 $0 81¢ $1 +$2 06-19 05:48
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 07-17 20:56
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes +4 $2 23¢ $1 -$1 08-28 21:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$1 88¢ $1 +$1 08-10 16:52
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 06-14 11:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +3 $1 15¢ $0 -$1 06-11 17:43
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-06 22:59
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan +2 $0 15¢ $0 +$0 06-06 07:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-09 15:13
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +28 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-30 15:52
Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +60 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-23 23:36
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +0 $1 93¢ $0 $0 06-11 14:08
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 -$1 99¢ $0 +$1 10-09 15:30
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-21 18:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $0 16¢ $0 $0 06-06 14:14
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +0 $0 92¢ $0 +$0 09-20 07:50
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +2 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-07 04:48
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 75¢ $0 $0 06-14 02:20
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-19 22:48
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 $0 06-08 22:52
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +1 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 06-13 15:41
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 70¢ $0 $0 06-17 00:24