Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$1,988
$30 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$4,132
Latest YES mid
88¢
Latest NO mid
12¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-04 21:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $382 | $3 | +$380 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $94 | $14 | +$80 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $361 | — | +$361 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $111 | $3 | +$108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $27 | — | +$27 |
| Median | 5 | $17 | $1 | +$16 |
| Below median | 1 | $59 | — | +$59 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $36 | $3 | +$33 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $155 | $3 | +$152 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $382 | $7 | +$376 |
| unranked | 4 | $272 | $2 | +$269 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x67fa…e90f | Yes | +260 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 05-30 03:58 |
| Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | +100 | $88 | $88 | 1 | 05-30 03:58 |
| Glass-Jellyfish 0x052c…e1a0 | Yes | +66 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-28 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-04 21:22 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-27 23:51 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 21:06 |
| Stingy-Incompetence 0x01af…d6fb | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 21:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 21:22:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x84ffd1… |
| 06-04 21:22:25 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x84ffd1… |
| 06-04 21:20:21 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xcfd29d… |
| 06-04 21:20:21 | Best-Offense 0x58bb…a539 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xcfd29d… |
| 06-04 21:20:16 | Best-Offense 0x58bb…a539 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 88¢ | $11 | 0x6d341d… |
| 06-04 21:20:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x6d341d… |
| 06-04 21:20:16 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0x6d341d… |
| 06-04 21:19:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0x9bbb4b… |
| 06-04 21:19:16 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 89¢ | $42 | 0x9bbb4b… |
| 06-04 21:18:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 90¢ | $42 | 0x157799… |
| 06-04 21:18:25 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x157799… |
| 06-04 21:18:25 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 90¢ | $108 | 0x157799… |
| 06-04 21:18:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 33 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x157799… |
| 06-01 21:07:11 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x86d779… |
| 06-01 21:07:11 | Stingy-Incompetence 0x01af…d6fb | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x86d779… |
| 06-01 21:06:40 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | BUY | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xb1a7e2… |
| 06-01 21:06:40 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | No | SELL | 26 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xb1a7e2… |
| 06-01 21:01:25 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc299e8… |
| 06-01 21:01:25 | Flashy-Constellation 0x1075…19c1 | No | BUY | 26 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xc299e8… |
| 06-01 11:47:01 | All-Hearthside 0x0775…bf06 | No | SELL | 67 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xd96750… |
| 06-01 11:47:01 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 67 | 10¢ | $7 | 0xd96750… |
| 05-30 03:58:48 | (anonymous) 0x67fa…e90f | Yes | BUY | 260 | 87¢ | $226 | 0x0b5768… |
| 05-30 03:58:48 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x0b5768… |
| 05-30 03:58:48 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x0b5768… |
| 05-30 03:58:48 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 400 | 87¢ | $349 | 0x0b5768… |
| 05-29 01:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 19 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x326a57… |
| 05-29 01:15:30 | Big-Hearted-Development 0x087b…5334 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x326a57… |
| 05-28 18:07:18 | Petty-Steppingstone 0x0676…e3c8 | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeb1c0f… |
| 05-28 18:07:18 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xeb1c0f… |
| 05-28 18:06:17 | Petty-Steppingstone 0x0676…e3c8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x96a19a… |
| 05-28 18:06:17 | Big-Hearted-Development 0x087b…5334 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x96a19a… |
| 05-28 18:06:17 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x96a19a… |
| 05-28 17:23:04 | Petty-Steppingstone 0x0676…e3c8 | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x8796a1… |
| 05-28 17:23:04 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x8796a1… |
| 05-28 17:22:46 | Petty-Steppingstone 0x0676…e3c8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf90b1c… |
| 05-28 17:22:46 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf90b1c… |
| 05-28 09:53:26 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xc1dbc7… |
| 05-28 09:53:26 | Limp-Crinoline 0x5f32…1293 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xc1dbc7… |
| 05-28 09:48:30 | (anonymous) 0x8b60…88f7 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xb7ebf4… |
| 05-28 09:48:30 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xb7ebf4… |
| 05-28 08:53:24 | Empty-Quinoa 0x225a…fcd8 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xaac9d7… |
| 05-28 08:53:24 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0xaac9d7… |
| 05-28 05:40:02 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | SELL | 66 | 90¢ | $59 | 0xac48c0… |
| 05-28 05:40:02 | Glass-Jellyfish 0x052c…e1a0 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 90¢ | $59 | 0xac48c0… |
| 05-28 04:51:49 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x0dd311… |
| 05-28 04:51:49 | Empty-Quinoa 0x225a…fcd8 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 89¢ | $17 | 0x0dd311… |
| 05-27 23:51:38 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x64040f… |
| 05-27 23:51:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x64040f… |
| 05-27 23:51:20 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | SELL | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xb66f9e… |
| 05-27 23:51:20 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $180 | 0xb66f9e… |