Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$8,947
$30 in 24h
Trades
229
Unique wallets
78
Liquidity
$4,132
Latest YES mid
70¢
Latest NO mid
30¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-21 11:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+22.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1.3K
vs crowd: 78% YES on $5.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $2.9K | $173 | +$2.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $298 | $634 | $336 |
| 🐟 Fish | 21 | $529 | $242 | +$287 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $376 | $118 | +$258 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $1.3K | — | +$1.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $43 | $211 | $168 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $103 | $276 | $173 |
| Median | 8 | $35 | $36 | $1 |
| Below median | 10 | $85 | $53 | +$33 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $37 | $10 | +$27 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 9 | $1.1K | $181 | +$953 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $680 | $144 | +$536 |
| unranked | 27 | $647 | $256 | +$391 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | +1,179 | $272 | $272 | 2 | 07-20 13:22 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +704 | $604 | $1,136 | 4 | 06-21 11:50 |
| Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | +596 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 07-20 23:32 |
| Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | +304 | $114 | $2,555 | 9 | 07-15 21:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x67fa…e90f | Yes | +260 | $226 | $226 | 1 | 05-30 03:58 |
| Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | +200 | $166 | $166 | 3 | 07-20 23:32 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +200 | $155 | $188 | 7 | 07-20 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x4d95…ba23 | Yes | +190 | $165 | $165 | 3 | 06-19 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5735…239d | Yes | +100 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 06-27 22:42 |
| Glass-Jellyfish 0x052c…e1a0 | Yes | +66 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 05-28 05:40 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +61 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 07-21 11:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +40 | $35 | $35 | 2 | 06-04 21:22 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-20 23:32 |
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | No | +26 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-01 21:06 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 22:21 |
| Near-Creature 0xd83e…c0b5 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-20 23:52 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-20 23:52 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 11:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 11:49 |
| Stingy-Incompetence 0x01af…d6fb | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 21:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 18:57 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +6 | $3 | $46 | 5 | 06-24 12:15 |
| Present-Lava 0x3e16…5026 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 19:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 11:52:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 31 | 38¢ | $12 | 0x9df808… |
| 07-21 11:52:34 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 91 | 37¢ | $34 | 0x9df808… |
| 07-21 11:52:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 63¢ | $38 | 0x9df808… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0x324982… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x69354f… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 62¢ | $55 | 0x324982… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 30 | 39¢ | $12 | 0x324982… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | Pricey-Tofu 0x6c65…3e45 | No | SELL | 127 | 38¢ | $49 | 0x324982… |
| 07-21 11:49:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x69354f… |
| 07-20 23:52:10 | Near-Creature 0xd83e…c0b5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0x4f0b8c… |
| 07-20 23:52:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | No | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x4f0b8c… |
| 07-20 23:32:36 | Subdued-Revenant 0xcf07…c770 | No | BUY | 596 | 23¢ | $136 | 0x0544a4… |
| 07-20 23:32:36 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 78¢ | $74 | 0x0544a4… |
| 07-20 23:32:36 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 371 | 23¢ | $85 | 0x0544a4… |
| 07-20 23:32:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 77¢ | $77 | 0x0544a4… |
| 07-20 23:32:36 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0x0544a4… |
| 07-20 17:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xd49b73… |
| 07-20 17:02:43 | (anonymous) 0x8f89…2f10 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xd49b73… |
| 07-20 17:02:43 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0xd49b73… |
| 07-20 13:22:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xafa527… |
| 07-20 13:22:10 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 79¢ | $32 | 0xafa527… |
| 07-20 13:22:06 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x8a64a5… |
| 07-20 13:22:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x8a64a5… |
| 07-20 13:22:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xef71ab… |
| 07-20 13:22:06 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0xef71ab… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | Glamorous-Visor 0x7d26…a7d1 | No | BUY | 279 | 20¢ | $56 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | (anonymous) 0x8f89…2f10 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 80¢ | $120 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-20 13:22:04 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 80¢ | $32 | 0x6bf73a… |
| 07-15 21:43:43 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x1b7dfd… |
| 07-15 21:43:43 | Buoyant-Molasses 0xc6ba…b46d | No | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x1b7dfd… |
| 07-12 12:57:11 | Jolly-Salt 0x0684…ba27 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 82¢ | $50 | 0x61fb60… |
| 07-12 12:57:11 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 60 | 18¢ | $11 | 0x61fb60… |
| 07-11 13:36:13 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x1a15b1… |
| 07-11 13:36:13 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x1a15b1… |
| 07-11 13:01:46 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x7d7ed1… |
| 07-11 13:01:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7d7ed1… |
| 07-08 13:05:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x2b82e9… |
| 07-08 13:05:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x2b82e9… |
| 07-08 13:05:55 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | SELL | 200 | 16¢ | $33 | 0x2b82e9… |
| 07-08 13:05:55 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 139 | 84¢ | $117 | 0x2b82e9… |
| 07-08 01:57:02 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x0614ba… |
| 07-08 01:57:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 82¢ | $9 | 0x0614ba… |
| 07-07 14:58:14 | (anonymous) 0x34b0…3c56 | No | SELL | 926 | 16¢ | $149 | 0x50d5af… |
| 07-07 14:58:14 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 54 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x50d5af… |
| 07-07 14:58:14 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 872 | 84¢ | $733 | 0x50d5af… |
| 07-07 08:31:17 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xf9679f… |
| 07-07 08:31:17 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xf9679f… |
| 07-07 08:31:17 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xf9679f… |
| 07-07 07:04:52 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | SELL | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x4de858… |
| 07-07 07:04:52 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 15 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x4de858… |
| 07-07 06:49:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x218838… |
| 07-07 06:49:02 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | SELL | 35 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x218838… |
| 07-07 06:49:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 30 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x218838… |
| 07-06 11:08:16 | (anonymous) 0x30a1…8b76 | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe26a1… |
| 07-06 11:08:16 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbe26a1… |
| 07-05 20:45:34 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x101521… |
| 07-05 20:45:34 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x101521… |
| 07-03 15:45:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0xa803fb… |
| 07-03 15:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xa803fb… |
| 07-03 15:45:26 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa803fb… |
| 07-03 05:42:41 | Sticky-Advocate 0x75cc…51a3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xe23899… |
| 07-03 05:42:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xe23899… |
| 07-03 04:58:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0x135e24… |
| 07-03 04:58:46 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x135e24… |
| 07-03 04:58:46 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 24 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x135e24… |
| 07-03 04:58:44 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 78¢ | $39 | 0x85fb67… |
| 07-03 04:58:44 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x85fb67… |
| 07-03 04:58:44 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x85fb67… |
| 07-02 06:48:20 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x58be85… |
| 07-02 06:48:20 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x58be85… |
| 07-02 06:48:14 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x94d2d0… |
| 07-02 06:48:14 | Odd-Relish 0xe2b4…3c5a | No | BUY | 70 | 20¢ | $14 | 0x94d2d0… |
| 07-02 06:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x94d2d0… |
| 07-02 06:48:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 80¢ | $40 | 0x94d2d0… |
| 06-30 08:02:43 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x4579be… |
| 06-30 08:02:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x4579be… |
| 06-27 22:42:28 | Pretty-Saxophone 0xe7fe…24e5 | No | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0xc7a796… |
| 06-27 22:42:28 | (anonymous) 0x5735…239d | Yes | BUY | 100 | 83¢ | $83 | 0xc7a796… |
| 06-26 07:55:20 | Self-Reliant-Flavor 0xc662…0927 | No | SELL | 30 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x2b118c… |
| 06-26 07:55:20 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x2b118c… |
| 06-26 03:06:47 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x36b5ca… |
| 06-26 03:06:47 | (anonymous) 0x30a1…8b76 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x36b5ca… |
| 06-25 15:01:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xaf4324… |
| 06-25 15:01:56 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xaf4324… |
| 06-24 12:15:59 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0xb11a39… |
| 06-24 12:15:59 | (anonymous) 0x0c47…37e8 | No | SELL | 20 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xb11a39… |
| 06-24 12:15:28 | Tame-Freelance 0x993f…3ee3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x80222d… |
| 06-24 12:15:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 100 | 16¢ | $16 | 0x80222d… |
| 06-23 23:51:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x1a0e62… |
| 06-23 23:51:52 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 26 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x1a0e62… |
| 06-23 23:51:46 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 150 | 17¢ | $26 | 0x62a318… |
| 06-23 23:51:46 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 26 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x62a318… |
| 06-23 23:51:46 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 100 | 17¢ | $17 | 0x62a318… |
| 06-23 23:51:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x62a318… |
| 06-23 22:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xe518…f0fc | No | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xfade44… |
| 06-23 22:21:46 | (anonymous) 0xa74b…3241 | No | SELL | 42 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xfade44… |