Buttery-Brushing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$853

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

2,296

Trades

5,903

lifetime

Volume

$108.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$296

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-26 03:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 87% -$290

Other

18% 69% -$276

Politics

8% 70% -$227

Tech

1% 75% -$40

Sports

0% 30% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+183	$150	97¢	$177	+$27	10-06 14:45
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+61	$46	96¢	$59	+$13	10-22 04:22
Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+27	$23	81¢	$22	-$1	10-06 15:06
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-21	-$18	99¢	$-21	-$3	09-07 09:20
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	+34	$28	52¢	$17	-$10	10-26 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	40	$3.1K	2,052	2,352	-300	Yes	-$75	03-30 07:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$2.3K	1,463	1,463	+0	No	+$7	03-31 12:09
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	13	$1.3K	981	981	+0	No	-$208	05-04 03:55
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?	19	$1.2K	700	550	+150	Yes	+$28	05-25 15:43
dota2 pari sar1 2026 04 23	20	$1.1K	802	802	+0	PARIVISION	-$96	04-23 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 05:50 UTC	3	$806	407	407	+0	Up	+$0	04-01 05:55
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$765	484	484	+0	Yes	-$69	06-15 19:45
dota2 ts8 ngx 2026 04 08 game2	9	$741	495	495	+0	Nigma Galaxy	$0	04-08 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:45 UTC	3	$736	396	371	+26	Up	-$1	03-31 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:45 UTC	4	$732	371	371	+0	Down	+$3	03-31 17:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	4	$726	371	363	+8	Up	-$7	03-31 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:05 UTC	4	$711	360	359	+0	Down	+$2	03-31 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 16:40 UTC	2	$699	352	351	+0	Up	+$3	03-31 16:44
lol nip ig1 2026 04 08	8	$662	424	424	+0	Invictus Gaming	$0	04-08 11:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:45 UTC	9	$559	333	298	+36	Up	+$0	03-28 07:50
dota2 og rnx 2026 04 13	7	$517	250	500	-250	REKONIX	+$172	04-13 08:30
cs2 navi prv 2026 03 28	8	$515	500	500	+0	Natus Vincere	+$5	03-28 16:59
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?	13	$512	277	277	+0	No	+$16	06-30 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:50 UTC	7	$508	336	245	+91	Up	-$23	03-28 07:55
lol dk hle1 2026 04 08	8	$501	436	436	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	$0	04-08 09:29
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	8	$481	245	245	+0	Yes	+$6	05-26 10:29
cs2 tri9 ruby1 2026 04 08	12	$457	500	500	+0	Tricked	-$28	04-08 12:07
will tamilaga vettri kazhagam tvk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	10	$457	289	289	+0	Yes	+$53	05-04 06:03
spx opens up or down on march 31 2026	6	$449	200	350	-150	Up	-$25	03-31 04:42
spx up or down on april 2 2026	11	$430	450	450	+0	Up	+$1	04-02 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 07:20 UTC	7	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	04-20 07:24
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$395	400	400	+0	Yes	-$4	04-13 05:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:10 UTC	5	$394	536	528	+8	Up	-$69	03-28 08:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$393	421	421	+0	Yes	-$13	04-01 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:05 UTC	7	$391	1,164	1,157	+6	Down	-$19	03-28 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 03:05:23	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x1c0c9f…
10-26 03:02:57	Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x4c3839…
10-22 04:22:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x2ba870…
10-22 04:22:11	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	69¢	$22	0x23cb36…
10-16 07:31:55	Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xb422a9…
10-16 07:31:28	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x11f959…
10-10 13:44:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xa08fa1…
10-06 15:06:30	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x114067…
10-06 14:45:50	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xacaed4…
10-06 14:45:06	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	82¢	$150	0x7d3265…
09-07 09:20:18	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xc9ded5…
09-07 09:20:13	Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x89b946…
09-07 09:20:09	Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$17	0x1094a6…
09-07 09:20:03	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x1b9ac1…
09-07 09:19:57	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$24	0x86b2b7…
09-07 09:19:49	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	32	77¢	$25	0xfeab63…
09-07 09:19:43	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	176	81¢	$142	0x20852b…
09-07 03:51:48	Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x3f1d09…
09-04 16:25:51	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x11f26a…
09-04 16:03:28	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0x0b77a6…
09-04 15:45:27	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1908d4…
09-04 14:28:52	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x24a74f…
09-04 13:46:10	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x4c7f79…
09-04 13:44:16	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	80	30¢	$24	0x2bfba3…
09-04 13:42:12	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	SELL	16	67¢	$11	0xe3149d…
09-04 12:31:09	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x023fef…
09-04 12:17:31	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x26f0c3…
09-04 12:08:34	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xee8da9…
09-04 12:05:07	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x197c09…
09-04 07:14:04	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x4a76e6…
09-04 06:52:52	Over $5M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0x34abcc…
09-04 06:30:00	Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x0e1ec3…
09-04 02:08:19	Over $5M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xebdaf0…
09-04 02:08:01	Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x36fab1…
09-04 02:05:40	Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x5aab59…
09-02 09:38:06	Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe55698…
09-02 09:37:48	Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xbeaf57…
09-02 09:37:36	Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xd6d4d1…
09-02 09:37:00	Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x6c7800…
09-02 09:36:46	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x00a75b…
09-02 09:36:15	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	63¢	$20	0xe4539a…
08-27 18:20:19	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0xf24b0f…
08-26 11:51:36	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	133	9¢	$12	0xc52b5d…
08-26 11:32:43	Rockstar confirms GTA VI gameplay leaked?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd61db3…
08-26 11:31:58	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x2f03bc…
08-26 11:30:00	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe9042e…
08-26 11:29:43	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7fc290…
08-26 11:29:28	Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$59	0xe56495…
08-17 18:49:22	Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdb350b…
08-11 18:14:31	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xb1056f…
08-07 17:49:24	will multiplifi launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xc57190…
08-07 17:49:06	will multiplifi launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x624cd8…
08-06 08:01:50	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf05d3d…
08-06 08:01:39	Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8e0dd1…
08-06 08:01:06	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x34800b…
08-06 08:00:48	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1accbc…
07-31 14:03:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x784c6b…
07-31 13:57:51	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff0a74…
07-31 13:57:38	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x02caba…
07-31 13:52:53	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb48d55…
07-31 13:52:23	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x49205c…
07-31 13:51:54	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xee7d68…
07-31 13:51:29	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7b702d…
07-31 11:04:09	GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x48834b…
07-30 13:32:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	137	90¢	$123	0x3c3334…
07-30 03:36:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	74	89¢	$66	0xc2b827…
07-28 04:33:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x80a04f…
07-28 04:33:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x109aa8…
07-27 14:01:27	crint nam3 npl2 2026 07 27	Nepal	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5b021…
07-26 18:40:43	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 21 27	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x457d39…
07-26 13:09:46	crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	India	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9bc50a…
07-25 09:12:10	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x1d2e20…
07-25 09:10:04	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by december 31 20260720180245758	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x72f8f6…
07-19 22:01:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xad0a17…
07-19 21:51:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf2919e…
07-19 21:49:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x59db4e…
07-19 21:44:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xe9182c…
07-19 21:40:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdc2083…
07-19 21:38:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe9b94a…
07-19 21:21:21	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0xd8876b…
07-19 21:17:12	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x64be07…
07-19 21:12:03	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x4fdfc0…
07-19 21:06:42	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xae1845…
07-19 21:05:33	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe63a7e…
07-19 21:05:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0b2318…
07-19 21:04:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0xedc2a6…
07-19 21:04:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0x51cf25…
07-19 21:02:52	Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?	No	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x381f91…
07-19 21:02:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x734184…
07-19 21:00:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	85	14¢	$12	0xd93c6b…
07-19 20:55:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	SELL	138	8¢	$11	0x0c5b1e…
07-19 20:12:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x2fd856…
07-19 20:11:55	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba4884…
07-19 20:10:21	Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x637582…
07-19 19:57:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x13b113…
07-19 19:56:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd5dc40…
07-19 19:56:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd4db84…
07-19 19:54:46	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x338784…
07-19 19:53:19	Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x34523a…
07-19 19:37:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdce398…