Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?
open
Total volume
$199
Trades
38
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$2,605
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-25 21:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $49 | $47 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $5 | $38 | $33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $7 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $50 | $46 |
| unranked | 3 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | +33 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-21 23:06 |
| Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 23:06 |
| Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-25 21:48 |
| Buttery-Brushing 0x0f6f…d78b | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 16:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 21:48:10 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4de64c… |
| 06-25 21:48:10 | Silent-Rowboat 0x2b62…438c | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4de64c… |
| 06-21 23:06:44 | Both-Adult 0x695a…6ee6 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x3946ee… |
| 06-21 23:06:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x3946ee… |
| 06-21 23:06:29 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2d9fd6… |
| 06-21 23:06:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x5d5518… |
| 06-21 23:06:29 | Minty-Scalp 0x11b9…d361 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0x5d5518… |
| 06-21 23:06:29 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2d9fd6… |
| 06-19 07:01:19 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x332906… |
| 06-19 07:01:19 | First-Sphere 0x8454…331a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x332906… |
| 06-19 06:44:25 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc1c123… |
| 06-19 06:44:25 | Afraid-Preparation 0xcd8f…1f24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc1c123… |
| 06-18 04:36:25 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | No | SELL | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x612b80… |
| 06-18 04:36:25 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x612b80… |
| 06-18 00:29:37 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2dc14d… |
| 06-18 00:29:37 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2dc14d… |
| 06-18 00:29:37 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2dc14d… |
| 06-17 22:09:31 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcf2782… |
| 06-17 22:09:31 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xcf2782… |
| 06-17 21:17:25 | (anonymous) 0x9e6e…9f98 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x92e6c8… |
| 06-17 21:17:25 | Forthright-Extremist 0xde64…a821 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x92e6c8… |
| 06-17 21:17:25 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x92e6c8… |
| 06-17 16:05:31 | Buttery-Brushing 0x0f6f…d78b | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x8f38de… |
| 06-17 16:05:31 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8f38de… |
| 06-04 10:49:25 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x75c580… |
| 06-04 10:49:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x75c580… |
| 06-04 10:35:48 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0x8322ea… |
| 06-04 10:35:48 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x8322ea… |
| 06-04 10:35:48 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8322ea… |
| 06-04 10:35:27 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc2ed4b… |
| 06-04 10:35:27 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc2ed4b… |
| 06-04 10:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xe3af8b… |
| 06-04 10:25:30 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xe3af8b… |
| 06-04 10:10:16 | (anonymous) 0x37c3…752a | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc5648b… |
| 06-04 10:10:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xc5648b… |
| 06-04 09:42:03 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xcb96a4… |
| 06-04 09:42:03 | Cloudy-Downfall 0x9b20…1a40 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcb96a4… |
| 06-04 09:42:03 | Even-Survey 0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcb96a4… |