First-Sphere 0x8454f3…92331a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.12K
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
36
Trades
19,359
lifetime
Volume
$15.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$774
Open exposure
$31.4K
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-30 18:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
52% 30% $-2,091
Politics
39% 83% +$1,572
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Sports
3% 50% $-613
Tech
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -13,000 $-10,790 86¢ $-11115 $-325 06-07 20:09
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -5,817 $-5,023 92¢ $-5337 $-314 06-04 02:16
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +4,087 $3,029 100¢ $4.1K +$1,052 06-08 01:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +3,000 $2,952 100¢ $3.0K +$43 06-22 22:04
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +3,500 $3,138 84¢ $2.9K $-208 06-21 09:40
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -2,500 $-2,495 100¢ $-2496 $-1 06-27 22:59
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +704 $604 82¢ $581 $-23 06-21 11:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +424 $233 100¢ $424 +$191 06-28 05:43
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +318 $297 94¢ $297 $-0 06-19 03:06
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? No +239 $230 99¢ $236 +$5 06-07 19:39
Will The MongolZ make a roster change before July? No +300 $285 70¢ $209 $-76 06-21 23:47
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +881 $223 22¢ $198 $-25 06-13 08:54
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +483 $213 36¢ $176 $-36 06-17 21:04
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +2,000 $134 5¢ $109 $-25 06-25 00:46
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch? No +53 $46 74¢ $40 $-6 06-16 08:26
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +15,795 $1,381 0¢ $39 $-1,341 06-19 06:23
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +36 $35 100¢ $36 +$1 06-12 16:21
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +388 $43 4¢ $17 $-26 06-19 05:28
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +218 $4 4¢ $9 +$5 06-02 18:04
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +346 $7 3¢ $9 +$2 06-02 18:03
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +109 $11 8¢ $8 $-3 06-13 17:10
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +33 $2 25¢ $8 +$6 06-21 23:06
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +49 $7 11¢ $5 $-2 06-18 14:32
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +26 $3 18¢ $5 +$2 06-01 21:06
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +3,000 $15 0¢ $4 $-10 06-22 08:03
Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +154 $8 2¢ $4 $-4 06-02 18:05
Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +40 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 06-02 16:04
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +49 $1 3¢ $1 $-0 06-21 23:06
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-02 16:24