Realized P&L
-$1.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$255
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
36
Trades
19,592
lifetime
Volume
$15.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$766
Open exposure
$16.7K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-21 11:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
52% 30% $-2,091
Politics
39% 83% +$1,572
Crypto
3% 100% +$0
Sports
3% 50% $-613
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,000 $-8,600 72¢ $-7250 +$1,350 07-18 07:24
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -5,817 $-5,023 96¢ $-5575 $-552 06-04 02:16
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +3,500 $3,138 78¢ $2.7K $-394 06-21 09:40
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +704 $604 66¢ $468 $-135 06-21 11:50
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +318 $297 92¢ $292 $-5 06-19 03:06
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? No +239 $230 99¢ $237 +$6 06-07 19:39
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch? No +53 $46 74¢ $40 $-6 06-16 08:26
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +388 $43 $16 $-26 06-19 05:28
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +26 $3 34¢ $9 +$6 06-01 21:06
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +33 $2 24¢ $8 +$6 06-21 23:06
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +49 $7 16¢ $8 +$0 06-18 14:32
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -20 $-11 32¢ $-6 +$5 07-02 00:13
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +49 $1 $2 +$0 06-21 23:06