First-Sphere 0x8454f3…92331a
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$89.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$12.5K
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
2,500
Trades
21,474
lifetime
Volume
$15.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$733
Open exposure
$38.2K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-29 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 203 days
Categories
Other
52% 79% -$34,332
Politics
38% 68% -$58,785
Sports
5% 75% -$5,382
Crypto
3% 74% +$6,199
Tech
2% 63% +$3,233
Pop-Culture
0% 33% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -9,018 -$7,295 94¢ $-8522 -$1,227 05-20 15:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,000 -$9,670 82¢ $-8250 +$1,420 08-31 05:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8,411 -$7,434 86¢ $-7191 +$243 08-31 05:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3,000 -$2,521 85¢ $-2562 -$41 09-18 17:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +5,000 $4,225 43¢ $2.2K -$2,057 08-17 07:08
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -1,898 -$1,727 94¢ $-1784 -$57 10-29 17:55
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1,622 -$1,509 97¢ $-1581 -$72 09-15 02:05
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No +6,002 $4,902 22¢ $1.4K -$3,551 04-30 15:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +7,453 $5,476 18¢ $1.3K -$4,134 05-20 01:14
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +8,719 $2,078 15¢ $1.3K -$814 08-12 11:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +2,000 $82 57¢ $1.1K +$1,051 08-07 08:27
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -800 -$724 96¢ $-765 -$41 05-06 13:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +2,027 $374 5¢ $93 -$281 05-21 02:02
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,000 $360 3¢ $82 -$277 09-29 10:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +50 $42 95¢ $48 +$6 05-19 14:05
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +44 $40 96¢ $42 +$3 05-30 23:50
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes +3,020 $362 1¢ $30 -$332 08-27 02:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +32 $20 84¢ $26 +$6 05-03 01:42
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? No +298 $286 2¢ $7 -$279 06-02 22:31
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +49 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 06-21 23:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 05-20 01:02
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +0 $2,043 40¢ $0 -$2,043 10-08 19:23