Realized P&L
+$2.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
2,248
Trades
23,441
lifetime
Volume
$78.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$270
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 23:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 262 days
Categories
Other
57% 43% +$2,510
Politics
27% 45% +$426
Crypto
7% 29% -$333
Sports
5% 55% +$164
Tech
3% 56% +$101
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 231 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,517 $77 2¢ $86 +$9 10-25 19:51
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +5,267 $47 1¢ $29 -$18 10-18 18:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +10,468 $77 0¢ $21 -$56 10-11 22:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? Yes +19,693 $32 0¢ $20 -$12 09-23 12:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,343 -$33 1¢ $17 +$50 10-29 17:44
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? Yes +1,415 $18 1¢ $16 -$2 10-28 07:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +1,295 $6 1¢ $11 +$5 10-05 07:10
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? Yes +545 $11 2¢ $9 -$2 09-30 13:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes -103 -$7 8¢ $-9 -$1 05-25 18:25
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +3,060 $22 0¢ $8 -$15 09-16 04:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +7,256 $17 0¢ $7 -$10 08-25 13:32
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? Yes +4,397 $12 0¢ $7 -$5 10-11 22:21
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +300 $34 2¢ $6 -$28 10-28 22:38
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? Yes +2,175 $38 0¢ $5 -$33 08-17 07:51
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes -175 -$174 3¢ $-5 +$169 05-27 17:30
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +160 -$4 2¢ $3 +$7 10-13 18:17
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +2,576 -$30 0¢ $3 +$33 09-27 10:18
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +360 $1 1¢ $3 +$1 09-06 11:16
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -106 -$4 2¢ $-2 +$2 05-16 09:24
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes -752 -$38 0¢ $-1 +$36 04-28 13:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +619 -$14 0¢ $1 +$15 10-11 22:20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -139 -$8 0¢ $-1 +$8 05-20 16:25
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes -249 -$12 0¢ $-1 +$11 04-28 16:43
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -200 -$5 0¢ $-0 +$5 04-29 06:19
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +322 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-28 21:44
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes -80 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-29 06:26