Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
13,049
lifetime
Volume
$32.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$287
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 04:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
59% 33% $-50
Politics
26% 33% $-8
Crypto
7%
Sports
5% 0% $-9
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +175 $5 18¢ $32 +$27 06-02 18:22
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-37 $-22 +$15 05-31 23:07
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes -303 $-27 $-22 +$6 05-30 12:25
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes -454 $-16 $-17 $-2 06-02 18:05
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +967 $37 $16 $-21 06-07 11:48
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +444 $15 $13 $-2 06-09 06:12
McDonald's CEO out by June 30? Yes +592 $16 $12 $-4 06-08 16:08
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +970 $22 $9 $-13 06-06 12:46
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +473 $13 $9 $-4 06-02 16:13
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes -100 $-9 $-8 +$0 06-07 06:41
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes -95 $-6 $-8 $-2 06-02 05:39
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? Yes -671 $-3 $-8 $-5 06-08 08:48
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -200 $-8 $-8 +$0 06-08 09:44
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026? Yes +182 $3 $8 +$4 06-08 12:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes -362 $-8 $-7 +$1 05-29 07:37
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes -569 $-8 $-7 +$0 06-02 18:21
Amouranth divorced by June 30? Yes +163 $8 $7 $-0 06-03 07:15
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +116 $6 $7 +$1 06-04 04:39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? Yes +317 $19 $7 $-12 06-08 19:32
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +147 $0 $7 +$7 06-02 18:58
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? Yes -200 $-7 $-7 +$0 06-08 09:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +512 $-8 $6 +$15 06-08 07:27
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026? No -100 $-4 $-6 $-2 05-31 03:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -102 $-5 $-5 $-0 06-08 09:42
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +104 $6 $5 $-1 06-02 18:51
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? Yes -759 $-7 $-5 +$2 05-29 16:53
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-6 $-5 +$2 05-28 20:44
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes -170 $-4 $-4 $-1 06-08 10:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +97 $5 $4 $-1 06-01 18:44
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +184 $-56 $4 +$60 06-03 23:11