Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$61
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
13,943
lifetime
Volume
$37.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$287
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
57% 33% $-50
Politics
26% 33% $-8
Sports
7% 0% $-9
Crypto
6%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +51 $3 97¢ $49 +$46 06-14 20:59
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes -519 $-26 $-35 $-9 06-23 13:30
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes +215 $1 11¢ $23 +$22 06-30 17:12
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +381 $13 $15 +$2 06-30 17:01
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? Yes +204 $13 $13 $-0 06-22 20:12
Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +521 $-15 $12 +$27 06-26 09:58
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +255 $14 $12 $-1 06-30 17:00
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +210 $15 $12 $-3 06-30 17:01
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? Yes +143 $6 $9 +$3 06-29 14:47
Will Feid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +529 $15 $8 $-6 06-24 15:57
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -200 $-8 $-8 +$1 06-08 09:44
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +105 $8 $7 $-1 06-25 16:44
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +159 $9 $7 $-2 06-25 19:40
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +267 $17 $7 $-11 06-22 08:10
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes -100 $-9 $-6 +$2 06-07 06:41
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes -102 $-5 $-6 $-1 06-08 09:42
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes -182 $-9 $-6 +$3 06-11 10:23
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +100 $6 $6 $-0 06-30 16:58
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-6 $-5 +$1 05-28 20:44
Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +372 $10 $5 $-5 06-30 11:51
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +167 $5 $5 +$0 06-24 19:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +97 $5 $4 $-1 06-01 18:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -2,000 $-37 $-4 +$33 05-31 23:07
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? Yes -569 $-8 $-4 +$4 06-02 18:21
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +1,838 $30 $4 $-26 06-10 19:16
Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +94 $6 $4 $-2 06-23 06:32
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +213 $5 $4 $-2 06-29 22:54
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes +80 $1 $3 +$3 06-25 19:21
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +1,054 $19 $3 $-16 06-11 16:06
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026? No -100 $-4 $-3 +$1 05-31 03:30