Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
+$80
Hit rate
17.3%
Resolved
16
Trades
14,638
lifetime
Volume
$39.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$242
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
56% 33% $-50
Politics
25% 33% $-8
Crypto
8%
Sports
7% 0% $-9
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? Yes +645 $-6 $21 +$27 07-15 23:08
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? Yes +577 $24 $20 $-3 07-20 18:42
Will Jalen Carter be traded? Yes -171 $-14 10¢ $-17 $-3 07-02 07:45
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? Yes +309 $13 $13 +$0 07-12 08:10
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +237 $14 $12 $-2 07-17 00:20
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? Yes +29 $-2 40¢ $11 +$13 06-14 19:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +200 $5 $11 +$6 07-17 13:29
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026? Yes +173 $11 $10 $-1 07-20 09:59
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? Yes +173 $8 $10 +$2 07-13 10:59
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? Yes +252 $9 $10 +$1 07-19 04:11
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +149 $10 $10 $-0 07-20 14:46
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +152 $11 $9 $-2 07-20 13:37
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +220 $-3 $8 +$10 07-13 21:30
Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -200 $-8 $-7 +$1 06-08 09:44
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +217 $6 $7 +$1 07-20 02:58
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +432 $7 $6 $-1 07-17 08:14
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +190 $7 $6 $-1 07-20 07:31
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +135 $-1 $6 +$7 07-17 17:58
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +107 $7 $6 $-1 07-13 10:36
Relay FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? Yes +139 $4 $5 +$1 07-20 14:44
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +90 $4 $5 +$0 07-20 11:03
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes -100 $-4 $-4 $-0 07-04 10:11
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -80 $-6 $-4 +$2 05-28 20:44
Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +112 $6 $4 $-2 07-17 08:36
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +150 $0 $4 +$3 07-20 09:13
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No -100 $-6 $-3 +$3 06-12 04:17
Aligned FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +63 $3 $3 $-0 07-20 08:14
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +149 $4 $3 $-1 07-17 03:54
Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026? Yes +58 $-16 $3 +$19 07-08 15:28
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +36 $4 $3 $-1 07-13 10:39