Purple-Yarn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.3%

Resolved

Trades

15,098

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 12:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

56% 33% $-50

Politics

24% 33% $-8

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-9

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 155 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	24	$1.0K	5,318	5,318	+0	open	—	05-17 01:10
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	84	$990	38,932	35,942	+2,990	open	—	03-15 21:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	72	$471	12,118	17,183	-5,064	open	—	03-01 01:31
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	29	$432	10,245	10,245	+0	open	—	03-29 20:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	49	$369	35,000	35,000	+0	open	—	05-29 22:15
SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026?	27	$291	7,570	7,575	-5	open	—	05-30 08:38
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	55	$284	29,280	6,613	+22,667	open	—	06-14 13:27
Will Howard Lutnick be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	62	$284	1,199	869	+331	open	—	03-27 07:37
saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	34	$282	2,598	2,467	+131	open	—	06-25 18:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	37	$281	40,083	30,000	+10,083	open	—	06-17 11:43
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$253	4,022	3,409	+613	open	—	01-29 22:19
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	31	$252	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-29 19:49
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$249	5,046	5,046	+0	open	—	03-21 15:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$242	5,512	5,000	+512	open	—	06-08 07:27
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	18	$237	2,019	2,019	+0	open	—	06-09 06:49
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?	15	$232	2,206	2,719	-513	open	—	06-25 19:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	20	$225	19,602	19,602	+0	open	—	06-17 09:04
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	15	$205	8,162	7,918	+243	open	—	01-31 20:06
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	11	$197	895	895	+0	open	—	03-29 22:01
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	11	$192	413	413	+0	open	—	02-28 08:25
Will Doug Burgum be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	61	$189	1,814	1,814	+0	open	—	03-22 17:43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	41	$186	2,712	2,712	+0	open	—	04-29 22:22
world cup fastest goal record broken 20260609182449163	19	$183	3,703	3,703	+0	open	—	06-29 20:58
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	78	$179	12,394	12,394	+0	open	—	03-13 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$175	614	614	+0	open	—	05-28 06:19
will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by june 30	20	$173	726	726	+0	open	—	06-18 02:50
will jd vance attend nato summit	24	$172	2,228	1,808	+420	open	—	07-02 11:56
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$172	300	300	+0	open	—	05-16 21:17
Will T1 make a roster change before July?	7	$164	997	1,002	-5	open	—	05-31 18:22
will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	31	$156	1,843	998	+845	open	—	06-08 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:56:57	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x63c18d…
08-10 12:55:40	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	9¢	$10	0x2e0ab8…
08-10 12:55:33	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	9¢	$12	0xde1894…
08-10 12:36:22	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0xd0f454…
08-10 12:35:37	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf11383…
08-10 12:35:34	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	10¢	$18	0x4e15c2…
08-10 11:07:27	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xfbb5b0…
08-10 11:07:22	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x5e7a04…
08-10 11:07:16	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x10a9d3…
08-10 11:07:15	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x31c2ac…
08-10 11:07:12	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x27345f…
08-10 11:07:09	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x72d9ff…
08-10 11:07:06	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x0ec448…
08-10 11:02:52	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdc49aa…
08-10 11:02:10	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	5¢	$3	0xc7a860…
08-10 11:00:51	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	606	5¢	$28	0x12b2c4…
08-10 11:00:30	Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x01499b…
08-10 10:59:48	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$8	0x07d86b…
08-10 10:58:58	Multipli.fi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$10	0xbae2e1…
08-10 10:57:33	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	579	2¢	$9	0x7b35d7…
08-10 10:29:39	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	No	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0x2d540b…
08-10 10:27:54	tread fdv above 400m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x1bdfa0…
08-10 10:27:30	tread fdv above 400m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0xceb48f…
08-09 20:02:03	Will Oro launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0x396142…
08-09 20:01:54	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	SELL	133	5¢	$7	0x71676c…
08-09 20:01:46	Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xd0862e…
08-09 20:00:52	Yo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x05a87d…
08-09 19:40:57	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	Yes	SELL	74	7¢	$5	0x9e7974…
08-09 19:40:46	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x8aaec9…
08-09 19:40:37	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0xe277da…
08-09 19:40:21	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xdf3e36…
08-09 19:40:07	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0xf0a384…
08-09 19:39:58	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0x1aa835…
08-09 19:39:46	Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x3b66fe…
08-09 03:06:39	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xb3bc07…
08-09 03:02:49	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8bcafc…
08-08 21:27:33	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xaf819a…
08-08 20:56:24	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x7fc0d5…
08-08 12:32:10	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xb593f2…
08-08 11:33:19	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x582e4e…
08-08 05:16:27	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x84294b…
08-08 01:05:37	will revoluts valuation hit low 70b by december 31 20260701011444458	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf5225d…
08-07 20:25:03	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe13e72…
08-07 19:44:37	Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x1b08f3…
08-07 19:43:34	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	SELL	766	2¢	$15	0xbc23f1…
08-07 15:25:15	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	Yes	SELL	77	8¢	$6	0x00cbba…
08-07 15:22:09	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xe54655…
08-07 15:21:51	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf63b92…
08-07 15:21:46	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x003f8f…
08-07 12:05:33	will townsquare launch a token by november 30 2026 20260720193329912	No	SELL	115	8¢	$9	0x76150a…
08-07 09:26:15	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x8a61f1…
08-07 05:23:51	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xf272fe…
08-07 02:08:42	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xec0012…
08-07 00:38:47	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbceed9…
08-07 00:03:03	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xd5ea17…
08-06 20:46:11	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x842340…
08-06 20:45:36	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x9dc22f…
08-06 14:01:32	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xebefb5…
08-06 14:00:24	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x38e6b1…
08-06 13:28:21	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb86976…
08-06 13:21:59	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x737df2…
08-06 11:53:33	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb780ed…
08-06 11:53:29	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x99a4da…
08-06 10:16:08	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb98446…
08-06 09:57:42	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x27e75b…
08-06 09:56:08	italy senate approves nuclear power bill by august 31	Yes	BUY	858	2¢	$16	0x602ce9…
08-06 09:51:18	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x6b243d…
08-06 08:39:57	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x36678c…
08-06 08:20:29	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb68482…
08-06 08:19:48	will rho labs launch a token by september 30 2026 20260708174513381	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xaf0406…
08-06 08:17:26	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x6065f5…
08-06 08:17:21	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x6014d0…
08-06 08:17:17	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x3d1ab4…
08-06 08:17:14	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0x364ce1…
08-06 08:17:09	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x677891…
08-06 08:17:06	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xbed4ce…
08-06 08:11:56	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x1fec37…
08-06 08:11:09	Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0x121b72…
08-06 08:09:59	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x7d4021…
08-06 08:09:17	Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xce00e1…
08-06 08:08:00	Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$7	0x66c15c…
08-06 08:07:20	will databricks valuation hit high 180b by december 31	No	BUY	64	6¢	$4	0x2f943a…
08-06 07:21:26	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb30f59…
08-06 06:30:47	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	SELL	83	3¢	$3	0xfff793…
08-06 06:02:20	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x5af97c…
08-06 03:43:30	townsquare fdv above 500m one day after launch 20260720191919479	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0xe7fbac…
08-06 03:20:14	will arch network launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x60d59b…
08-05 20:03:59	Fuse FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x102d2a…
08-05 18:28:33	Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	126	8¢	$10	0xa1543d…
08-05 18:27:56	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	SELL	250	4¢	$9	0xb551b8…
08-05 11:47:26	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x441b32…
08-05 11:47:18	Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0xf6498f…
08-05 02:41:33	will hurupay launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xe6792e…
08-04 22:12:32	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x870989…
08-04 22:12:15	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xc33acf…
08-04 21:43:17	Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	7¢	$10	0x55d643…
08-04 21:13:33	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xb4f233…
08-04 21:12:36	Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x9f349d…
08-04 20:38:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0xf73a9c…
08-04 18:41:39	will cambria launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	176	5¢	$9	0x4ac1a9…