Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,675
$126 in 24h
Trades
94
Unique wallets
41
Liquidity
$842
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-16 03:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $478
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $4 | $544 | $540 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $10 | $1 | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $4 | $1000 | $996 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $15 | $50 | $35 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $478 | $478 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $3 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $37 | $34 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
| Below median | 3 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 23 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +1,034 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 06-06 14:58 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +501 | $478 | $478 | 5 | 06-05 13:02 |
| Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | +414 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +157 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 04:50 |
| Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | +113 | $3 | $3 | 8 | 06-06 17:16 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +36 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-16 03:41 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 06-01 04:50 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +29 | $27 | $48 | 3 | 06-02 14:38 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +22 | $-1 | $8 | 15 | 06-13 15:08 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 06-01 16:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xef28…e07e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-05 06:13 |
| Gifted-Million 0x1dee…0013 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-05 07:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xffc1…1504 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-04 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe749…12bf | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 03:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 03:42:33 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd10066… |
| 06-16 03:42:33 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd10066… |
| 06-16 03:41:30 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf93a89… |
| 06-16 03:41:30 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf93a89… |
| 06-13 18:38:28 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9f6fbe… |
| 06-13 18:38:28 | (anonymous) 0x14af…0b97 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9f6fbe… |
| 06-13 15:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x14af…0b97 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbb24fe… |
| 06-13 15:08:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbb24fe… |
| 06-12 17:42:37 | Good-Natured-Time 0xe328…9f4a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xf193f7… |
| 06-12 17:42:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf193f7… |
| 06-12 17:25:16 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xe9f5f8… |
| 06-12 17:25:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe9f5f8… |
| 06-09 19:42:21 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x608fb3… |
| 06-09 19:42:21 | Exemplary-Ship 0xe9b7…8030 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x608fb3… |
| 06-09 10:17:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7f1ed2… |
| 06-09 10:17:24 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 96¢ | $0 | 0x7f1ed2… |
| 06-08 09:34:40 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d8bd5… |
| 06-08 09:34:40 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d8bd5… |
| 06-08 09:34:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d8bd5… |
| 06-06 17:16:31 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x87a740… |
| 06-06 17:16:31 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x87a740… |
| 06-06 17:16:30 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6122c5… |
| 06-06 17:16:30 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6122c5… |
| 06-06 17:15:30 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e6654… |
| 06-06 17:15:30 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56243c… |
| 06-06 17:15:30 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3e6654… |
| 06-06 17:15:30 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x56243c… |
| 06-06 17:14:21 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa5c580… |
| 06-06 17:14:21 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa5c580… |
| 06-06 17:14:12 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x672327… |
| 06-06 17:14:12 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x672327… |
| 06-06 17:13:48 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x64d219… |
| 06-06 17:13:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x64d219… |
| 06-06 17:13:48 | Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x64d219… |
| 06-06 17:12:52 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf467ec… |
| 06-06 17:12:52 | Quixotic-Feed 0x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf467ec… |
| 06-06 14:59:15 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x05c581… |
| 06-06 14:59:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x05c581… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e67…ff08 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x7d9d…08ae | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x338e…4be4 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x5e45…1aa4 | No | SELL | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 1,034 | 97¢ | $1,000 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | Glass-Format 0x6887…13f4 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…d2a1 | No | SELL | 48 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x131b…1ede | No | SELL | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x1128…6266 | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x837b…80e9 | No | SELL | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…c464 | No | SELL | 46 | 96¢ | $44 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | Yes | BUY | 414 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x8a55…0b10 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0x569e…f662 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-06 14:58:43 | (anonymous) 0xa7f9…e20e | No | SELL | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x7477ad… |
| 06-05 13:02:33 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x06ad93… |
| 06-05 13:02:33 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $17 | 0x06ad93… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3f1050… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x3f1050… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x3f1050… |
| 06-05 07:21:10 | Gifted-Million 0x1dee…0013 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9c8a16… |
| 06-05 07:21:10 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9c8a16… |
| 06-05 06:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa6478e… |
| 06-05 06:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xef28…e07e | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xa6478e… |
| 06-04 17:47:19 | Salty-Lipid-Kneejerk 0x78ff…4801 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7842a2… |
| 06-04 17:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7842a2… |
| 06-04 17:47:19 | (anonymous) 0xbd9b…d2a1 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x7842a2… |
| 06-04 07:17:43 | (anonymous) 0xffc1…1504 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x72b6a9… |
| 06-04 07:17:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x72b6a9… |
| 06-04 07:04:22 | (anonymous) 0x6c26…e40a | No | SELL | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x371dbe… |
| 06-04 07:04:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x371dbe… |
| 06-04 03:23:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x53affe… |
| 06-04 03:23:46 | (anonymous) 0xe749…12bf | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x53affe… |
| 06-03 14:38:16 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 400 | 96¢ | $382 | 0x3c0d6a… |
| 06-03 14:38:16 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $382 | 0x3c0d6a… |
| 06-02 14:38:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x8548f0… |
| 06-02 14:38:04 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x8548f0… |
| 06-02 14:38:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x8548f0… |
| 06-01 16:03:09 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xec90ae… |
| 06-01 16:03:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xec90ae… |
| 06-01 16:03:09 | Salty-Lipid-Kneejerk 0x78ff…4801 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xec90ae… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 54 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 04:50:18 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xedbb81… |
| 06-01 01:35:53 | Remorseful-Meaning 0x9d80…07a3 | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $32 | 0x2a8154… |
| 06-01 01:35:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x2a8154… |
| 06-01 01:35:53 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2a8154… |
| 05-31 10:53:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x789eb1… |
| 05-31 10:53:49 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x789eb1… |
| 05-31 04:12:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x263be7… |
| 05-31 04:12:10 | Remorseful-Meaning 0x9d80…07a3 | No | BUY | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x263be7… |
| 05-31 04:12:10 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x263be7… |