Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$184

Unrealized P&L

-$143

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$868

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$343

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 08-06 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

100% 6% -$180

Politics

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-333	-$295	98¢	$-328	-$33	07-29 18:47
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	+432	$60	2¢	$10	-$50	08-06 04:36
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Yes	+200	$15	1¢	$3	-$12	08-06 04:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+333	$30	1¢	$2	-$28	07-29 18:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	+158	$20	1¢	$1	-$19	08-06 04:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$295	0	333	-333	open	—	07-29 18:47
US recession by end of 2026?	4	$60	432	0	+432	open	—	08-06 04:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$52	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$12	06-17 05:01
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	3	$40	393	0	+393	open	—	08-06 04:33
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	2	$30	333	0	+333	open	—	07-29 18:51
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	3	$25	710	0	+710	open	—	07-29 18:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$25	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$15	06-17 05:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$21	130	0	+130	No	-$21	04-23 16:17
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	2	$20	158	0	+158	open	—	08-06 04:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	2,222	0	+2,222	No	-$20	06-01 04:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$20	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$20	06-01 04:53
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	2	$15	200	0	+200	open	—	08-06 04:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$13	667	667	+0	No	-$7	06-17 05:01
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$12	447	0	+447	No	-$12	04-20 14:45
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	1	$10	1,714	0	+1,714	No	-$10	04-23 16:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$10	04-19 10:36
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	1	$10	280	0	+280	Yes	-$10	04-19 10:40
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	1	$10	119	0	+119	Yes	+$109	04-19 10:43
Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	1	$10	545	0	+545	No	-$10	06-01 04:49
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	1	$10	836	0	+836	No	-$10	04-23 16:21
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	1,386	0	+1,386	No	-$10	04-19 10:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	1	$10	714	0	+714	No	-$10	06-01 05:10
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	1	$10	322	0	+322	No	-$10	04-19 10:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	3,333	0	+3,333	No	-$10	04-19 10:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$10	04-19 10:36
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	1	$10	257	0	+257	No	-$10	04-19 10:41
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	1	$10	526	0	+526	No	-$10	04-19 10:39
will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	1	$10	1,710	0	+1,710	No	-$10	04-19 10:41
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	1	$10	180	0	+180	No	-$10	04-19 10:43
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	67	0	+67	No	-$10	07-29 18:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 04:36:05	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xce0610…
08-06 04:33:47	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x375298…
08-06 04:33:42	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0xe41568…
08-06 04:33:41	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x974323…
07-29 18:56:33	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x80d1e5…
07-29 18:56:08	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0x77b281…
07-29 18:56:02	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xf8a222…
07-29 18:55:41	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x4fb492…
07-29 18:54:14	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xe21b24…
07-29 18:54:08	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x9d2c8d…
07-29 18:54:00	Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x76c0ec…
07-29 18:53:57	Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xc9bb1d…
07-29 18:51:32	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xeef7ce…
07-29 18:47:54	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	88¢	$295	0xc03649…
06-23 13:10:49	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3b961e…
06-23 07:17:07	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	10¢	$10	0x4c9d07…
06-23 07:17:02	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x0d83ef…
06-23 07:16:47	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xe22736…
06-17 05:01:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$32	0x58badb…
06-17 05:01:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$3	0x31c5a2…
06-17 05:01:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0x9c514d…
06-01 05:10:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x2ae032…
06-01 05:10:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xfc5689…
06-01 05:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0xb0b551…
06-01 05:08:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x1a092f…
06-01 04:55:21	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x2430fd…
06-01 04:53:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$20	0x0abe68…
06-01 04:53:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,222	1¢	$20	0xcb849e…
06-01 04:50:24	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xa6145f…
06-01 04:50:18	Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0xedbb81…
06-01 04:49:57	Fed Rate Hike by June 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	545	2¢	$10	0xf0e38c…
04-24 07:37:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xe8522d…
04-24 07:35:38	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e3721…
04-24 07:35:34	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd5a9f8…
04-23 16:21:38	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	836	1¢	$10	0xc33374…
04-23 16:21:08	Will three people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	153	7¢	$10	0xef5837…
04-23 16:20:56	Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	1,714	1¢	$10	0x7da57f…
04-23 16:17:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa0dfb5…
04-23 16:17:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcaa312…
04-23 16:17:02	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdf05f8…
04-20 14:45:18	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xd51560…
04-20 14:45:16	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	976	0¢	$2	0x5bf997…
04-19 10:43:44	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	180	6¢	$10	0xd6f91c…
04-19 10:43:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	322	3¢	$10	0x31ebe1…
04-19 10:43:32	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xa0261e…
04-19 10:43:24	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be less than 4 on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	126	8¢	$10	0x34b863…
04-19 10:42:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcec2d1…
04-19 10:41:08	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	1,710	1¢	$10	0xe50523…
04-19 10:41:02	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	257	4¢	$10	0x4316e1…
04-19 10:40:56	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	280	4¢	$10	0x49f4ff…
04-19 10:40:16	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$10	0x1d490a…
04-19 10:40:12	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,386	1¢	$10	0x2a8dc9…
04-19 10:39:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x3706ff…
04-19 10:38:56	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xf334df…
04-19 10:36:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xf0c779…
04-19 10:36:48	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x362a87…
04-19 10:36:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x90877e…
04-19 10:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xebc46a…