Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,691
$310 in 24h
Trades
78
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$1,700
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-01 10:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+93.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 6% YES on $737)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $1 | $116 | $115 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $11 | $235 | $225 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | — | $307 | $307 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $34 | $32 | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $313 | $312 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $85 | $83 |
| Median | 2 | — | $73 | $73 |
| Below median | 6 | $30 | $111 | $81 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | $19 | $14 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $36 | $36 |
| unranked | 9 | $4 | $55 | $51 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +286 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-23 07:17 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +220 | $208 | $208 | 2 | 06-23 07:17 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +120 | $111 | $111 | 8 | 07-01 10:12 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x8170…45a7 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-01 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x59ad…630c | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-21 11:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 21:30 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-20 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:25 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-23 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +5 | $4 | $32 | 2 | 07-01 10:12 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-09 15:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 10:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x8170…45a7 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x11d6e1… |
| 07-01 10:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x11d6e1… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x874947… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x874947… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | No | SELL | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0x874947… |
| 06-28 00:23:01 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa38341… |
| 06-28 00:23:01 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa38341… |
| 06-25 14:54:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x78272e… |
| 06-25 14:54:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x78272e… |
| 06-24 21:30:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x8a2c32… |
| 06-24 21:30:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x8a2c32… |
| 06-24 12:41:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1ef547… |
| 06-24 12:41:38 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1ef547… |
| 06-24 12:39:58 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x73a212… |
| 06-24 12:39:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x73a212… |
| 06-24 12:39:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1c3251… |
| 06-24 12:39:46 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1c3251… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 39 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-21 11:51:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x577d6d… |
| 06-21 11:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…630c | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x577d6d… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 106 | 91¢ | $97 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x953bd4… |
| 06-19 06:55:19 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb33d91… |
| 06-19 06:55:19 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | Yes | SELL | 282 | 5¢ | $14 | 0xb33d91… |
| 06-19 06:55:19 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 272 | 95¢ | $258 | 0xb33d91… |
| 06-19 06:44:28 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x2ebd5a… |
| 06-19 06:44:28 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x2ebd5a… |
| 06-17 07:25:38 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | No | BUY | 63 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x5a9199… |
| 06-17 07:25:38 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 63 | 95¢ | $60 | 0x5a9199… |
| 06-15 21:50:58 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x451642… |
| 06-15 21:50:58 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x451642… |
| 06-15 13:16:54 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3f2350… |
| 06-15 13:16:54 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x3f2350… |
| 06-15 13:16:54 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3f2350… |
| 06-15 13:16:54 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | SELL | 76 | 95¢ | $72 | 0x3f2350… |
| 06-13 18:38:49 | (anonymous) 0x14af…0b97 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xb0f7f0… |
| 06-13 18:38:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb0f7f0… |
| 06-10 12:52:09 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd9f627… |
| 06-10 12:52:09 | Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd9f627… |
| 06-09 15:24:06 | (anonymous) 0xbecc…f560 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xbbe19e… |
| 06-09 15:24:06 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xbbe19e… |
| 06-08 09:34:33 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x12f44a… |
| 06-08 09:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x12f44a… |
| 06-06 15:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x315da8… |
| 06-06 15:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x315da8… |
| 06-06 15:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x315da8… |
| 06-06 15:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x315da8… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 46 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 14:58:25 | Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0xa66dae… |
| 06-06 00:14:48 | Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x67c2ab… |
| 06-06 00:14:48 | Stingy-Sushi 0x8487…c1db | No | SELL | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x67c2ab… |
| 06-06 00:14:48 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x67c2ab… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | (anonymous) 0x1192…a9f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf2e30f… |
| 06-05 11:34:15 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | SELL | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xf2e30f… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7cea18… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x7cea18… |
| 06-03 08:25:39 | (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7cea18… |
| 06-01 04:50:24 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa6145f… |
| 06-01 04:50:24 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa6145f… |
| 06-01 04:50:24 | Composed-Embellishment 0xa4bc…026c | Yes | SELL | 171 | 11¢ | $19 | 0xa6145f… |
| 06-01 04:50:24 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 182 | 11¢ | $20 | 0xa6145f… |
| 05-27 22:50:04 | Grim-Fishnet 0x2be6…e054 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5bd8b6… |
| 05-27 22:50:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5bd8b6… |
| 05-27 22:50:04 | Rewarding-Alto 0xd3ba…33b9 | No | SELL | 40 | 89¢ | $36 | 0x5bd8b6… |