Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$4,468
$310 in 24h
Trades
152
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$1,700
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-01-10
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-11 03:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.3¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $376
vs crowd: 4% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $9 | $744 | $735 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $15 | $500 | $485 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $43 | $991 | $948 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $45 | $213 | $168 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $4 | $371 | $367 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $368 | $367 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $6 | $158 | $152 |
| Median | 3 | $11 | $91 | $79 |
| Below median | 9 | $41 | $238 | $197 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | $37 | $33 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $2 | $191 | $189 |
| unranked | 18 | $43 | $993 | $951 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | +836 | $791 | $791 | 1 | 08-09 00:51 |
| Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | +400 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-11 14:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | +393 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 08-06 04:33 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +261 | $245 | $245 | 3 | 08-06 04:33 |
| Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | +140 | $129 | $214 | 15 | 08-09 00:56 |
| Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | +134 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 08-05 17:29 |
| Pepe1234567 0xa894…53da | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | +84 | $79 | $133 | 5 | 08-09 00:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | +60 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 08-06 01:43 |
| Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-09 00:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $-0 | $8 | 9 | 08-11 03:07 |
| Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-09 00:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 15:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-05 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8170…45a7 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-01 10:12 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-24 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:24 |
| Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | +10 | $9 | $28 | 2 | 08-05 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x37cd…f05f | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 08:25 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-06 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-05 17:29 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-09 15:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-06 09:46 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 03:07:00 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf7d6d0… |
| 08-11 03:07:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf7d6d0… |
| 08-09 00:56:46 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa92239… |
| 08-09 00:56:46 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xa92239… |
| 08-09 00:52:37 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | SELL | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xc17634… |
| 08-09 00:52:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xc17634… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | SELL | 400 | 95¢ | $378 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 177 | 95¢ | $168 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | Smart-Cork 0x8494…814a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x753226… |
| 08-09 00:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xf80e…2af8 | No | BUY | 836 | 95¢ | $791 | 0x753226… |
| 08-06 19:17:35 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x907044… |
| 08-06 19:17:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x907044… |
| 08-06 18:48:20 | Acceptable-Alteration 0x4ab2…aa6c | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x8af967… |
| 08-06 18:48:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8af967… |
| 08-06 18:19:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xab26ff… |
| 08-06 18:19:12 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0xab26ff… |
| 08-06 18:19:12 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xab26ff… |
| 08-06 12:26:15 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | SELL | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xd897b7… |
| 08-06 12:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 25 | 93¢ | $23 | 0xd897b7… |
| 08-06 12:11:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 44 | 92¢ | $41 | 0x3bd8fb… |
| 08-06 12:11:23 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 44 | 92¢ | $41 | 0x3bd8fb… |
| 08-06 11:37:50 | (anonymous) 0x2ef8…b0f4 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x12c811… |
| 08-06 11:37:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x12c811… |
| 08-06 04:33:42 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 16 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xe41568… |
| 08-06 04:33:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xe41568… |
| 08-06 04:33:42 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 9¢ | $10 | 0xe41568… |
| 08-06 04:33:42 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0xe41568… |
| 08-06 04:33:42 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xe41568… |
| 08-06 01:43:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x549fac… |
| 08-06 01:43:23 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x549fac… |
| 08-06 01:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 40 | 91¢ | $37 | 0x549fac… |
| 08-06 00:50:32 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x68dba8… |
| 08-06 00:50:32 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x68dba8… |
| 08-06 00:00:11 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4db023… |
| 08-06 00:00:11 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4db023… |
| 08-05 17:29:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc6da72… |
| 08-05 17:29:56 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xc6da72… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 8¢ | $11 | 0x732c80… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 24 | 92¢ | $22 | 0x732c80… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Virtual-Ear 0x36b6…e523 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x732c80… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 65 | 91¢ | $59 | 0x732c80… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x732c80… |
| 08-05 17:29:51 | (anonymous) 0xfe91…4cd3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x732c80… |
| 07-21 05:24:24 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x298f47… |
| 07-21 05:24:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x298f47… |
| 07-11 15:37:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6e1512… |
| 07-11 15:37:52 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6e1512… |
| 07-11 15:37:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x6e1512… |
| 07-11 14:42:46 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 70 | 94¢ | $65 | 0x26ba0e… |
| 07-11 14:42:46 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x26ba0e… |
| 07-11 14:42:46 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x26ba0e… |
| 07-11 14:42:32 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xdfdb8e… |
| 07-11 14:42:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0xdfdb8e… |
| 07-11 14:42:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x4d4045… |
| 07-11 14:42:16 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 110 | 93¢ | $102 | 0x4d4045… |
| 07-11 14:42:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 60 | 93¢ | $56 | 0x4d4045… |
| 07-11 14:42:16 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $18 | 0x4d4045… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 92¢ | $74 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | (anonymous) 0x5287…3a16 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | NoSteinNoGate 0xff7c…b233 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $185 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-11 14:37:23 | Witty-Teriyaki 0xacb1…1b1d | Yes | BUY | 400 | 8¢ | $30 | 0xaa6edc… |
| 07-07 22:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0ae698… |
| 07-07 22:01:04 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0ae698… |
| 07-06 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x85c748… |
| 07-06 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…630c | No | SELL | 14 | 92¢ | $13 | 0x85c748… |
| 07-05 18:31:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xb16686… |
| 07-05 18:31:55 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb16686… |
| 07-05 18:31:55 | (anonymous) 0x8f0c…a98f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xb16686… |
| 07-01 10:12:41 | (anonymous) 0x8170…45a7 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x11d6e1… |
| 07-01 10:12:41 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x11d6e1… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Profitable-Means 0xe6b5…d5c6 | No | SELL | 63 | 94¢ | $59 | 0x874947… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x874947… |
| 07-01 10:12:14 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 42 | 94¢ | $39 | 0x874947… |
| 06-28 00:23:01 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa38341… |
| 06-28 00:23:01 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | SELL | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xa38341… |
| 06-25 14:54:13 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x78272e… |
| 06-25 14:54:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 3 | 94¢ | $3 | 0x78272e… |
| 06-24 21:30:44 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x8a2c32… |
| 06-24 21:30:44 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 13 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x8a2c32… |
| 06-24 12:41:38 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1ef547… |
| 06-24 12:41:38 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0x1ef547… |
| 06-24 12:39:58 | Evergreen-Wifi 0x71ed…d338 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x73a212… |
| 06-24 12:39:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0x73a212… |
| 06-24 12:39:46 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1c3251… |
| 06-24 12:39:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x1c3251… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | Golden-Chivalry 0x2762…2cf6 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x0377…1833 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 39 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-23 07:17:07 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x4c9d07… |
| 06-21 11:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x59ad…630c | No | BUY | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x577d6d… |
| 06-21 11:51:43 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 14 | 95¢ | $13 | 0x577d6d… |
| 06-20 12:40:50 | Empty-Blowgun 0xb082…5138 | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x953bd4… |