Thrifty-Screwup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$328

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

444

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$5.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 11-06 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

78% 33% +$24

Sports

11% 28% +$13

Crypto

10% 7% -$352

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	+143	$34	26¢	$36	+$2	11-05 21:24
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?	Yes	+100	$17	16¢	$16	$0	11-02 00:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	-100	-$9	2¢	$-2	+$7	06-19 11:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	3	$302	244	244	+0	AS Roma	+$106	10-31 18:37
Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	3	$256	158	158	+0	Yes	+$60	10-27 21:47
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	3	$206	176	176	+0	Yes	+$146	10-27 21:47
epl che mac 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	2	$162	130	127	+3	Manchester City FC	+$95	04-12 17:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	6	$146	363	220	+143	open	—	11-05 21:24
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	9	$106	70	69	+1	Yes	+$34	04-19 17:30
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)	4	$96	66	66	+0	Molde FK	+$36	10-25 20:10
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	3	$92	256	256	+0	No	-$92	11-01 09:55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	4	$82	75	75	+0	BetBoom Team	-$18	11-06 11:36
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)	2	$72	62	62	+0	FC Twente	+$52	10-25 20:51
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	2	$64	50	49	+1	Paulo Costa	+$34	04-12 03:27
sea par nap 2026 04 12 nap	11	$61	145	0	+145	No	-$61	04-12 14:24
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	+$40	10-25 13:36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	1	$59	97	0	+97	Yes	+$38	11-04 18:09
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	2	$58	107	0	+107	Yes	+$49	11-01 14:38
Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Elite Klan (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	3	$51	31	31	+0	Vitality Academy	+$11	10-12 14:43
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	7	$51	494	494	+0	No	-$43	10-18 15:14
es2 rrc alm 2026 04 12 btts	2	$49	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	04-12 19:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	6	$42	601	601	+0	No	-$34	10-18 15:14
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	1	$42	67	0	+67	No	-$42	10-30 20:28
Will Tanner Boser win by KO or TKO?	2	$38	33	33	+0	Yes	+$28	10-17 23:57
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	2	$37	29	29	+0	Panathinaikós AO	+$17	10-22 15:40
Will FC Twente win on 2026-10-25?	2	$37	32	32	+0	Yes	+$17	10-25 20:47
Will FK Haugesund win on 2026-11-01?	2	$36	32	32	+0	Yes	+$22	11-01 17:41
epl cry wes 2026 04 20 wes	1	$35	103	0	+103	No	-$35	04-20 18:12
lal mal ray 2026 04 12 spread home 1pt5	2	$35	30	29	+1	RCD Mallorca	+$25	04-12 16:41
Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?	2	$33	26	26	+0	Yes	+$7	11-05 21:28
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	4	$33	228	228	+0	No	-$33	11-01 09:55
es2 mal leo 2026 02 08 mal	4	$32	23	23	+0	Yes	+$14	02-08 22:11
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 ags michael olise	4	$31	23	22	+0	Yes	+$14	04-16 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 21:27:36	Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa6f200…
11-06 20:46:48	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0xfabff2…
11-06 11:36:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	75	42¢	$32	0x235222…
11-06 11:16:40	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x4c1df3…
11-06 11:14:42	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd0ce45…
11-06 11:14:03	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4b7571…
11-06 09:37:45	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x2da46e…
11-05 21:28:34	Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x183466…
11-05 21:24:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0xd6ea6b…
11-05 21:10:51	Will FC Twente win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x0c2c4f…
11-05 20:55:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	SELL	220	25¢	$56	0x614e31…
11-05 19:52:54	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x041b55…
11-05 18:25:09	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6dcf13…
11-04 18:09:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x25728c…
11-03 14:48:52	Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x248b63…
11-02 17:45:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x378aa9…
11-02 00:00:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in November?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x39c721…
11-01 23:56:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	41	20¢	$8	0xd069d1…
11-01 23:46:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x15bfd4…
11-01 23:41:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xd18601…
11-01 20:42:27	Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xc42299…
11-01 20:07:51	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x52a5c9…
11-01 17:43:55	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x2fb364…
11-01 17:41:36	Will FK Haugesund win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0x9ef1bd…
11-01 17:22:21	Will FK Haugesund win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x2c36e2…
11-01 14:38:37	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xc5ee86…
11-01 14:23:00	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x23b7c0…
11-01 13:55:07	Will Molde FK win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x0c512b…
11-01 12:03:00	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xcf70eb…
11-01 12:01:46	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x69e23d…
11-01 12:00:42	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0xbb818b…
11-01 12:00:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$0	0xe03a9c…
11-01 09:55:22	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$0	0x9d04fc…
11-01 09:55:18	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	SELL	228	0¢	$0	0x07bdbe…
10-31 22:22:04	Will Zach Reese win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4500ee…
10-31 18:40:12	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x3831b3…
10-31 18:37:30	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	SELL	244	84¢	$204	0xab3f22…
10-31 17:52:36	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xfb3ee5…
10-31 16:57:33	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	178	41¢	$73	0x35f85d…
10-31 15:26:18	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x1c6de1…
10-30 20:46:57	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4a0156…
10-30 20:45:09	Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)	Villarreal CF	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe2a29d…
10-30 20:28:36	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	67	63¢	$42	0xefdf67…
10-28 20:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	131	36¢	$47	0xd5fbc1…
10-28 19:56:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	125	36¢	$45	0xef20c4…
10-28 19:51:22	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbe4fdb…
10-27 22:19:33	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xc02afd…
10-27 22:17:24	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0x2b442c…
10-27 21:50:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0xccb7a0…
10-27 21:50:03	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xafbef7…
10-27 21:49:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x394db4…
10-27 21:47:48	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xe11160…
10-27 21:47:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0xdc1969…
10-27 21:28:33	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x36b747…
10-27 20:49:12	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x0b5822…
10-27 20:03:48	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	107	68¢	$73	0x32b16d…
10-27 19:57:59	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xa8b259…
10-27 18:39:38	Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf5516c…
10-27 18:33:54	Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7f3ebd…
10-25 21:10:06	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x64a13c…
10-25 20:53:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x2f6925…
10-25 20:51:47	Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)	FC Twente	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x31dc2a…
10-25 20:47:26	Will FC Twente win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	32	83¢	$27	0x515369…
10-25 20:18:27	Will FC Twente win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x0d4dae…
10-25 20:10:36	Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)	Molde FK	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xa508a7…
10-25 19:49:00	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0x3b1026…
10-25 19:23:29	Spread: AZ (-1.5)	AZ	SELL	56	17¢	$9	0x86f265…
10-25 19:22:47	Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)	FC Twente	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x99da10…
10-25 19:22:15	Spread: AZ (-1.5)	AZ	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x2bc582…
10-25 18:28:29	Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)	Molde FK	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf7fd3c…
10-25 18:28:23	Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)	Molde FK	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x22b804…
10-25 18:03:27	Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)	Molde FK	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdbd5a3…
10-25 13:36:06	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x904823…
10-25 13:01:00	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x057120…
10-24 20:28:35	Will Movsar Evloev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xa4c99e…
10-24 19:30:23	Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0xd026b3…
10-24 19:28:38	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x6e2aca…
10-24 19:28:27	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x318056…
10-24 19:16:11	Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x8a6c2e…
10-24 19:14:48	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xff1b32…
10-24 19:05:06	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x693764…
10-24 19:04:48	Will Lone'er Kavanagh win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xec5c67…
10-24 18:59:21	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x33232d…
10-24 18:02:59	Will Losene Keita win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x46a7d6…
10-24 17:23:30	Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb673db…
10-22 15:40:36	Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	Panathinaikós AO	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x4dc595…
10-22 12:01:53	Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)	Panathinaikós AO	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x0c75e0…
10-22 11:39:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xa0d959…
10-22 11:38:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x0c2274…
10-22 11:10:18	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0x262228…
10-22 11:06:59	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x4b70d8…
10-19 21:25:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x37287b…
10-19 21:22:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xb47f61…
10-18 21:13:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x534b8b…
10-18 15:14:57	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	494	1¢	$4	0xa4cebe…
10-18 15:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	Yes	SELL	601	1¢	$4	0x3b18ca…
10-18 01:34:33	Will Cristian Pérez win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x57c9c6…
10-18 01:13:17	Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xb8e5ec…
10-18 00:58:27	Will Marc-Andre Barriault win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x570eb2…
10-18 00:04:15	Will Cristian Pérez win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x386964…