(anonymous) 0xbceb50…c30049
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$460
Unrealized P&L
+$520
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
264
Trades
5,647
lifetime
Volume
$75.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-27 08:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
62% 38% +$487
Politics
34% 56% -$46
Sports
1% — —
Tech
1% 50% +$19
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,236 $928 91¢ $1.1K +$197 10-26 16:08
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +770 $653 92¢ $711 +$58 10-19 22:01
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +699 $642 97¢ $675 +$33 10-03 22:05
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? Yes +769 $651 86¢ $661 +$10 10-26 23:07
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +698 $671 94¢ $659 -$12 10-16 12:19
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,012 $491 62¢ $632 +$141 10-02 09:06
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +855 $311 60¢ $513 +$202 10-15 10:09
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +855 $335 55¢ $470 +$135 10-15 13:34
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,220 $371 32¢ $385 +$14 10-23 05:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +855 $501 45¢ $385 -$117 10-15 10:09
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No +1,011 $448 38¢ $379 -$69 10-22 07:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +611 $363 60¢ $370 +$7 10-26 20:53
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +451 $348 81¢ $365 +$18 10-25 15:47
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +855 $492 40¢ $342 -$150 10-15 13:34
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +370 $322 86¢ $316 -$6 10-21 00:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +369 $279 74¢ $275 -$5 10-26 18:31
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +370 $280 73¢ $270 -$9 10-26 09:54
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +265 $229 96¢ $254 +$26 10-25 17:09
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +211 $205 95¢ $201 -$4 10-13 17:09
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +200 $148 98¢ $196 +$48 10-23 15:46
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +252 $199 78¢ $196 -$3 10-26 14:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +276 $205 68¢ $189 -$16 10-24 12:04
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $182 90¢ $181 -$1 10-19 18:40
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +309 $183 55¢ $171 -$12 10-27 09:46
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +210 $162 75¢ $158 -$3 10-05 12:15
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +200 $148 76¢ $153 +$5 10-24 19:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $150 76¢ $151 +$1 10-26 18:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +226 $126 60¢ $134 +$9 10-19 17:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +326 $113 40¢ $132 +$19 10-27 09:46
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +138 $123 91¢ $126 +$3 10-14 12:35