Realized P&L
-$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
70
Trades
81,476
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$1.20K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
69% 37% $-861
Politics
15% 50% $-237
Sports
10% 67% +$86
Crypto
5%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 712 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -860 $-581 86¢ $-744 $-163 06-18 19:43
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1,216 $-281 14¢ $-164 +$116 07-20 09:52
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -97 $-84 95¢ $-92 $-8 06-10 22:30
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +299 $124 30¢ $91 $-33 07-16 23:59
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +54 $5 75¢ $40 +$35 07-16 21:41
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -519 $-62 $-26 +$37 07-18 20:47
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -227 $-18 $-17 +$1 06-18 15:46
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? Yes -60 $-22 16¢ $-9 +$13 06-22 12:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +40 $4 14¢ $5 +$1 06-30 19:05
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -6 $-3 79¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 06:36
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes +150 $3 $3 +$0 06-25 09:52
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes -251 $-12 $-3 +$9 06-23 10:48
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 08:27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $-14 70¢ $0 +$15 07-08 13:14
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $6 21¢ $0 $-6 07-16 17:28
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +0 $-46 77¢ $0 +$47 07-01 13:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-28 14¢ $0 +$28 06-18 03:18
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +1 $-0 $0 +$0 06-17 12:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 77¢ $0 +$0 06-25 22:41
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +0 $44 23¢ $0 $-44 07-07 20:54