Realized P&L
-$1.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
48.3%
Resolved
70
Trades
80,160
lifetime
Volume
$1.85M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.46K
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 06:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
69% 37% $-861
Politics
16% 50% $-237
Sports
10% 67% +$86
Crypto
5%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 712 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -795 $-783 100¢ $-791 $-9 06-18 05:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -860 $-581 80¢ $-692 $-111 06-18 19:43
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +323 $200 64¢ $207 +$6 06-24 18:57
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -917 $-235 18¢ $-160 +$75 06-26 08:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -159 $-144 100¢ $-159 $-14 06-05 10:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +299 $121 45¢ $135 +$14 06-27 02:43
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +299 $115 31¢ $93 $-21 06-29 23:15
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -97 $-84 92¢ $-89 $-5 06-10 22:30
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -518 $-67 $-44 +$23 06-12 06:48
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +40 $-20 65¢ $26 +$46 06-29 23:18
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -227 $-18 10¢ $-22 $-3 06-18 15:46
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? Yes -60 $-22 34¢ $-20 +$2 06-22 12:39
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? Yes -251 $-12 $-9 +$3 06-23 10:48
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +38 $4 12¢ $4 +$0 06-30 08:39
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -6 $-3 66¢ $-4 $-1 06-15 06:36
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes +150 $3 $3 +$0 06-25 09:52
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 06-02 08:27
Chirayu Rana divorced? Yes -286 $-4 $-0 +$4 05-28 02:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +156 $28 $0 $-28 06-30 06:23
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +1 $-11 55¢ $0 +$11 06-24 19:12
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? Yes +300 $5 $0 $-5 05-30 15:30
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Yes -27 $-4 $-0 +$4 05-31 03:56
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes +77 $1 $0 $-1 06-13 09:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $-28 20¢ $0 +$28 06-18 03:18
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +1 $-0 $0 +$0 06-17 12:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +0 $-0 69¢ $0 +$0 06-25 22:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +0 $11 $0 $-11 06-29 13:55