Realized P&L
+$9.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$215
Hit rate
57.2%
Resolved
5,822
Trades
110,509
lifetime
Volume
$2.52M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 22:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Other
69% 39% +$6,641
Politics
16% 46% +$3,481
Sports
9% 43% +$309
Crypto
4% 32% -$478
Tech
2% 33% -$738
Pop-Culture
0% 41% +$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 489 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,085 -$79 33¢ $-358 -$278 10-27 22:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +901 $96 36¢ $320 +$224 09-29 13:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -330 -$261 92¢ $-302 -$40 05-12 18:13
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +269 $230 96¢ $260 +$30 10-05 08:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +284 $250 92¢ $260 +$10 08-23 13:35
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +288 $242 84¢ $244 +$1 10-07 08:21
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $45 99¢ $134 +$89 05-11 15:51
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -121 -$110 95¢ $-115 -$5 04-28 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +328 $131 32¢ $107 -$25 10-09 17:10
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1,250 -$290 6¢ $-81 +$209 07-20 09:52
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +300 $63 24¢ $73 +$10 10-27 23:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -81 -$85 68¢ $-54 +$31 10-20 23:40
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +100 $42 54¢ $54 +$12 10-20 07:55
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 Yes +300 $87 14¢ $40 -$46 09-30 07:17
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +300 $127 14¢ $40 -$87 10-01 12:45
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +99 $44 36¢ $35 -$9 10-20 02:46
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +171 $151 20¢ $34 -$117 10-27 23:32
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +222 $80 13¢ $28 -$52 10-05 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +423 $102 6¢ $25 -$76 08-31 11:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +285 $61 8¢ $24 -$36 09-08 03:07
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -296 -$207 8¢ $-24 +$183 09-24 13:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +303 $55 8¢ $23 -$32 07-30 02:36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -519 -$62 4¢ $-22 +$40 07-18 20:47
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +19 -$16 87¢ $16 +$32 10-05 13:12
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -472 -$82 3¢ $-13 +$69 05-25 13:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +209 -$47 6¢ $12 +$58 06-18 03:18
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +739 $292 2¢ $11 -$280 10-20 16:43
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -815 -$311 1¢ $-11 +$301 10-09 18:41
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -172 -$4 6¢ $-10 -$6 10-20 15:44
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No -56 -$16 16¢ $-9 +$7 10-18 14:45