Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$291
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved (7d)
99
Trades (7d)
1,282
111,536 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$32.4K
$2.55M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 277 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% +$6,728
Politics
17% 46% +$3,377
Sports
9% 42% -$683
Crypto
4% 33% -$474
Tech
2% 33% -$738
Pop-Culture
0% 41% +$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,248 -$167 44¢ $-552 -$384 10-29 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -477 -$359 72¢ $-341 +$18 10-29 19:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -330 -$261 94¢ $-308 -$47 05-12 18:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +284 $250 94¢ $266 +$16 08-23 13:35
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +269 $230 98¢ $263 +$33 10-05 08:01
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +256 $218 86¢ $220 +$3 10-31 01:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,098 $147 14¢ $148 +$1 10-29 13:01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +163 $125 87¢ $142 +$17 10-30 15:03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $45 99¢ $134 +$89 05-11 15:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -288 -$369 46¢ $-134 +$235 10-30 17:34
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -121 -$110 95¢ $-115 -$5 04-28 13:54
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +183 $144 56¢ $102 -$42 10-29 21:13
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +239 $80 35¢ $85 +$5 10-30 13:49
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +77 $74 99¢ $76 +$2 10-04 21:01
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1,250 -$290 6¢ $-75 +$215 07-20 09:52
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +101 $90 74¢ $75 -$15 10-30 10:18
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +284 $49 22¢ $64 +$14 10-30 11:47
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 Yes +300 $87 16¢ $46 -$40 09-30 07:17
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +181 $47 26¢ $46 -$1 10-29 15:58
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +100 $42 44¢ $44 +$2 10-20 07:55
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +99 $44 39¢ $39 -$5 10-20 02:46
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +303 $55 8¢ $26 -$29 07-30 02:36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -519 -$62 5¢ $-25 +$37 07-18 20:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +423 $102 6¢ $23 -$78 08-31 11:36
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +222 $80 10¢ $23 -$56 10-05 17:01
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +285 $61 6¢ $19 -$42 09-08 03:07
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +19 -$16 90¢ $17 +$32 10-05 13:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -296 -$207 6¢ $-16 +$190 09-24 13:07
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -472 -$82 3¢ $-13 +$69 05-25 13:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +209 -$47 6¢ $12 +$58 06-18 03:18