Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$111
Hit rate
45.2%
Resolved (30d)
331
Trades (30d)
3,699
112,111 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$80.7K
$2.56M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% +$7,289
Politics
17% 46% +$3,377
Sports
9% 42% -$735
Crypto
4% 33% -$474
Tech
2% 32% -$791
Pop-Culture
0% 41% +$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,248 -$167 44¢ $-549 -$381 10-29 20:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -330 -$261 94¢ $-311 -$50 05-12 18:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +284 $250 94¢ $268 +$18 08-23 13:35
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +269 $230 98¢ $263 +$33 10-05 08:01
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +403 $245 58¢ $235 -$9 11-01 21:41
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +163 $125 86¢ $140 +$15 10-30 15:03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $45 99¢ $134 +$89 05-11 15:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +212 $160 56¢ $119 -$41 11-01 15:09
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -121 -$110 96¢ $-116 -$6 04-28 13:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +251 -$128 44¢ $112 +$239 11-01 22:47
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +687 $85 14¢ $93 +$8 10-31 22:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -121 -$109 70¢ $-85 +$24 11-01 19:20
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +77 $74 99¢ $76 +$2 10-04 21:01
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1,250 -$290 6¢ $-75 +$215 07-20 09:52
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +263 $65 25¢ $67 +$2 11-01 19:41
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +222 $80 28¢ $63 -$17 10-05 17:01
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +100 $42 46¢ $46 +$4 10-20 07:55
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 Yes +300 $87 14¢ $42 -$45 09-30 07:17
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +99 $44 40¢ $39 -$5 10-20 02:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +423 $102 6¢ $23 -$78 08-31 11:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +303 $55 8¢ $23 -$32 07-30 02:36
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -519 -$62 4¢ $-19 +$44 07-18 20:47
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -472 -$82 4¢ $-18 +$64 05-25 13:12
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -296 -$207 6¢ $-16 +$190 09-24 13:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +285 $61 6¢ $16 -$45 09-08 03:07
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +19 -$16 72¢ $13 +$29 10-05 13:12
No one announced as next James Bond? No +12 -$51 86¢ $11 +$62 11-01 16:52
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +359 $283 3¢ $10 -$273 10-30 02:42
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -172 -$4 6¢ $-9 -$5 10-20 15:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -90 -$68 8¢ $-8 +$60 10-31 13:27