Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$367
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved (90d)
1,306
Trades (90d)
16,332
112,341 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$282.3K
$2.57M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.55K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 19:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 280 days
Categories
Other
68% 39% +$8,028
Politics
17% 46% +$3,316
Sports
9% 42% -$735
Crypto
4% 33% -$474
Tech
2% 32% -$791
Pop-Culture
0% 41% +$513
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -1,248 -$167 35¢ $-442 -$275 10-29 20:09
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No -477 -$362 74¢ $-355 +$7 11-02 01:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -330 -$261 94¢ $-311 -$50 05-12 18:13
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +284 $250 94¢ $268 +$18 08-23 13:35
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +269 $230 98¢ $263 +$33 10-05 08:01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +280 $230 88¢ $248 +$18 11-03 16:38
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +433 $232 56¢ $245 +$13 11-03 17:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +135 $45 99¢ $134 +$89 05-11 15:51
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? No +288 $105 42¢ $123 +$18 11-03 17:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -121 -$110 97¢ $-117 -$7 04-28 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +432 $137 26¢ $110 -$26 11-02 09:02
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +227 $176 46¢ $104 -$73 11-03 11:33
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +159 $105 65¢ $103 -$2 11-03 12:12
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +978 $113 11¢ $103 -$10 11-03 17:10
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +77 $74 99¢ $76 +$2 10-04 21:01
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -1,250 -$290 6¢ $-75 +$215 07-20 09:52
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +222 $80 33¢ $72 -$7 10-05 17:01
No one announced as next James Bond? No +73 -$8 88¢ $64 +$72 11-03 14:33
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +257 $97 23¢ $59 -$38 11-02 19:34
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +124 -$179 36¢ $45 +$224 11-02 16:08
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +100 $42 44¢ $44 +$2 10-20 07:55
will missouri enact a data center moratorium by june 30 2027 Yes +300 $87 13¢ $39 -$48 09-30 07:17
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +99 $44 36¢ $36 -$8 10-20 02:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +423 $102 6¢ $23 -$78 08-31 11:36
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -296 -$207 6¢ $-19 +$187 09-24 13:07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes -519 -$62 3¢ $-16 +$46 07-18 20:47
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +285 $61 6¢ $16 -$45 09-08 03:07
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -472 -$82 3¢ $-13 +$70 05-25 13:12
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +19 -$16 67¢ $13 +$28 10-05 13:12
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -172 -$4 6¢ $-10 -$6 10-20 15:44