Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$3.71K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,241
lifetime
Volume
$3.98M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.23K
Open exposure
$262.0K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 06-29 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$58
Politics
26%
Crypto
7%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +116,000 $104,300 90¢ $105.0K +$680 06-27 09:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -98,550 $-97,347 100¢ $-98451 $-1,104 06-15 14:08
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +59,968 $36,073 48¢ $28.5K $-7,588 06-22 13:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -31,471 $-11,345 22¢ $-6766 +$4,579 06-15 23:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11,187 $-6,243 56¢ $-6209 +$34 06-16 08:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7,928 $-5,303 70¢ $-5510 $-207 06-16 22:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +5,941 $5,493 90¢ $5.3K $-176 06-26 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4,943 $-2,246 39¢ $-1928 +$318 06-16 09:00
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,645 $1,546 94¢ $1.6K +$8 06-24 11:08
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +964 $841 87¢ $841 +$1 06-26 22:36
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +828 $674 64¢ $534 $-140 06-15 12:28
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +522 $426 77¢ $404 $-22 06-15 18:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No -344 $-255 77¢ $-267 $-12 06-22 09:27
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,100 $263 18¢ $198 $-65 06-15 18:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -226 $-147 66¢ $-148 $-1 06-25 22:09
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -255 $-110 49¢ $-125 $-15 06-26 11:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No +129 $113 93¢ $120 +$7 06-25 22:12
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -119 $-114 94¢ $-113 +$1 06-24 12:39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$1 06-25 22:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +53 $22 24¢ $13 $-10 06-11 13:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No +7 $6 89¢ $6 +$0 06-25 22:13