Realized P&L
+$58
Unrealized P&L
-$31.8K
Hit rate
73.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
3,289
lifetime
Volume
$4.10M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1.25K
Open exposure
$65.2K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-17 13:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
68% 43% +$58
Politics
25%
Crypto
6%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -44,343 $-13,773 55¢ $-24167 $-10,394 07-01 14:13
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +25,060 $25,062 38¢ $9.6K $-15,414 07-17 13:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -11,187 $-6,243 80¢ $-8894 $-2,651 06-16 08:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -7,928 $-5,303 84¢ $-6699 $-1,396 06-16 22:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +5,941 $5,493 92¢ $5.5K $-27 06-26 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6,847 $-2,925 68¢ $-4690 $-1,765 07-01 10:51
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +1,645 $1,546 94¢ $1.6K +$8 06-24 11:08
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? No +1,525 $1,341 93¢ $1.4K +$76 07-02 10:38
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +1,289 $1,053 88¢ $1.1K +$76 07-02 10:42
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +828 $674 46¢ $385 $-289 06-15 12:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No -344 $-255 77¢ $-265 $-10 06-22 09:27
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? No -226 $-147 77¢ $-175 $-28 06-25 22:09
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,100 $263 16¢ $170 $-93 06-15 18:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No -177 $-140 83¢ $-147 $-7 07-03 23:21
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -255 $-110 48¢ $-124 $-14 06-26 11:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No +129 $113 90¢ $117 +$4 06-25 22:12
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? No -77 $-74 93¢ $-72 +$2 07-01 10:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No +30 $26 89¢ $27 +$1 07-04 17:16
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027? No +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$0 06-25 22:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +53 $22 18¢ $10 $-13 06-11 13:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -10 $-109 90¢ $-9 +$100 07-14 17:49