Realized P&L
+$257
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
22
Trades
4,200
lifetime
Volume
$94.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$5.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-21 00:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
61% 33% $-29
Politics
16% 83% +$30
Crypto
14%
Tech
7% 0% $-8
Sports
2% 56% +$264
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +1,795 $1,395 81¢ $1.5K +$61 07-21 05:44
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +536 $521 98¢ $526 +$5 07-01 08:17
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1,973 $362 18¢ $355 $-7 07-21 06:13
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No -265 $-255 97¢ $-258 $-3 06-17 13:02
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +285 $254 90¢ $255 +$1 07-20 06:42
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +259 $245 98¢ $254 +$9 07-07 18:01
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +279 $215 81¢ $226 +$11 07-21 04:49
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +187 $168 90¢ $169 +$1 07-19 03:57
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +190 $164 86¢ $164 $-0 07-20 14:22
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No -172 $-163 94¢ $-161 +$2 07-04 21:56
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -203 $-164 76¢ $-154 +$9 07-15 03:34
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? No +204 $166 74¢ $151 $-14 07-18 08:11
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +140 $131 98¢ $137 +$6 07-06 02:58
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -135 $-126 97¢ $-131 $-5 06-28 18:00
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +167 $124 74¢ $124 +$1 07-20 08:18
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -127 $-122 96¢ $-122 +$0 07-09 09:56
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +133 $120 90¢ $121 +$0 07-19 07:27
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No +112 $109 97¢ $109 $-0 05-28 07:17
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -215 $-64 44¢ $-94 $-30 07-15 03:34
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -104 $-96 87¢ $-91 +$5 06-03 05:16
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No -80 $-76 95¢ $-76 +$0 06-08 10:15
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes -113 $-68 65¢ $-73 $-5 06-17 01:08
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +76 $68 93¢ $71 +$3 07-17 22:53
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? No +110 $68 64¢ $70 +$3 07-06 06:38
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -70 $-69 99¢ $-69 +$0 06-14 12:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +71 $67 97¢ $69 +$2 05-31 08:07
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No -113 $-51 61¢ $-69 $-17 06-17 01:08
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -70 $-61 87¢ $-61 +$0 06-25 08:22
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +63 $57 92¢ $58 +$2 07-16 18:25
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No -56 $-51 96¢ $-53 $-3 06-24 09:32