Realized P&L
+$10.3K
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
2,461
Trades
21,990
lifetime
Volume
$413.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$3.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 186 days
Categories
Other
66% 58% +$5,748
Crypto
17% 52% +$389
Politics
9% 63% +$1,374
Tech
5% 63% +$456
Sports
3% 55% +$2,313
Pop-Culture
0% 57% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +481 $443 96¢ $460 +$17 10-15 15:10
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +285 $274 97¢ $276 +$1 10-28 10:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes -582 -$167 47¢ $-271 -$104 10-27 14:02
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? No +241 $234 98¢ $236 +$2 09-03 21:05
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No +239 $230 93¢ $223 -$7 10-29 00:27
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +211 $204 98¢ $207 +$3 10-23 19:39
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes -514 -$130 34¢ $-172 -$42 10-03 04:55
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No -190 -$160 88¢ $-166 -$6 10-03 04:55
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -171 -$177 93¢ $-159 +$18 10-26 18:27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +142 $122 92¢ $131 +$9 10-29 17:54
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes -600 -$167 18¢ $-107 +$60 10-29 03:33
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -96 -$133 94¢ $-90 +$43 10-25 08:14
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No -190 -$41 46¢ $-88 -$47 10-23 08:32
ilhan omar federally charged by december 31 2026 Yes -190 -$27 43¢ $-82 -$55 10-13 17:14
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +80 $78 98¢ $79 +$1 07-27 15:24
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes -211 -$69 36¢ $-77 -$8 10-29 00:16
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes -117 -$75 60¢ $-71 +$4 10-11 02:42
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026 No -95 -$25 64¢ $-61 -$36 10-17 13:08
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +63 $48 96¢ $61 +$12 10-15 17:43
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? No -114 -$46 38¢ $-44 +$2 10-23 14:00
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $41 98¢ $44 +$2 05-29 13:42
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +45 -$33 95¢ $43 +$75 08-24 01:14
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -90 -$41 44¢ $-40 +$1 10-26 16:40
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No -46 -$52 82¢ $-38 +$14 10-14 07:37
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No -38 -$25 97¢ $-37 -$12 10-18 03:24
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$34 98¢ $-34 $0 09-19 02:06
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -190 -$52 18¢ $-33 +$19 10-18 03:59
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No -113 -$34 28¢ $-31 +$3 10-26 02:36
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes -169 -$28 18¢ $-31 -$4 10-23 14:13
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +31 $21 97¢ $31 +$10 10-08 17:39