Realized P&L
+$257
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
68.0%
Resolved
22
Trades
1,905
lifetime
Volume
$44.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.89K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-01 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
47% 33% $-29
Politics
28% 83% +$30
Tech
12% 0% $-8
Crypto
9%
Sports
4% 56% +$264
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No -381 $-376 100¢ $-381 $-5 06-10 17:38
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +385 $374 97¢ $374 +$0 07-01 00:52
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? No -265 $-255 97¢ $-256 $-1 06-17 13:02
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? No -153 $-151 100¢ $-152 $-1 06-22 02:09
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No -206 $-173 71¢ $-146 +$27 06-29 17:06
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No -135 $-126 95¢ $-129 $-3 06-28 18:00
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? No +112 $109 97¢ $109 $-0 05-28 07:17
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30? No -94 $-93 100¢ $-93 $-0 06-10 18:33
Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No -104 $-96 86¢ $-90 +$6 06-03 05:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -85 $-84 100¢ $-85 $-1 06-25 09:25
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No -113 $-51 73¢ $-83 $-32 06-17 01:08
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -206 $-45 38¢ $-77 $-32 06-29 17:06
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? No -80 $-76 94¢ $-75 +$1 06-08 10:15
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? Yes -113 $-68 62¢ $-70 $-3 06-17 01:08
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -70 $-69 99¢ $-69 $-0 06-14 12:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No +71 $67 96¢ $68 +$1 05-31 08:07
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -70 $-61 86¢ $-60 +$1 06-25 08:22
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -59 $-56 94¢ $-55 +$0 06-21 01:27
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? No -56 $-51 97¢ $-54 $-3 06-24 09:32
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +52 $47 98¢ $51 +$4 06-30 16:33
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +49 $12 100¢ $49 +$37 06-03 15:05
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +50 $35 95¢ $47 +$12 06-03 15:05
Tuyo FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -51 $-45 90¢ $-46 $-0 06-04 03:26
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes -48 $-39 93¢ $-45 $-6 06-20 17:09
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No -45 $-44 98¢ $-44 $-0 06-02 03:02
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $41 96¢ $43 +$1 05-29 13:42
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -53 $-34 70¢ $-37 $-3 06-25 13:41
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? Yes -328 $-31 11¢ $-36 $-5 06-28 18:00
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -47 $-43 72¢ $-34 +$9 06-23 22:17
Tuyo FDV above $700M one day after launch? No -48 $-40 69¢ $-33 +$7 06-07 07:52