Fixed-Eaglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$257

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,903

lifetime

Volume

$133.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 08-10 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

61% 33% $-29

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

14% 83% +$30

Tech

6% 0% $-8

Sports

2% 56% +$264

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 359 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
clf fccz lev 2026 08 01 total 0pt5	39	$4.2K	5,672	0	+5,672	open	—	07-31 16:23
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	20	$3.5K	3,115	600	+2,515	open	—	07-21 08:27
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	31	$1.8K	2,081	224	+1,857	open	—	08-03 11:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	9	$1.5K	785	785	+0	open	—	07-04 03:25
will graham platner drop out by july 31 281 424 921	14	$1.4K	1,494	0	+1,494	open	—	07-07 18:21
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	7	$1.2K	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	08-01 06:58
will krakens valuation hit high 14 by july 31 20260629184742671	9	$1.1K	651	631	+20	open	—	07-08 11:37
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	15	$845	603	287	+316	open	—	08-06 13:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	6	$762	437	436	+1	open	—	05-17 17:03
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	29	$759	654	654	+0	open	—	07-24 18:01
will onre launch a token by september 30 2027	5	$739	950	0	+950	open	—	07-01 08:59
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	10	$711	437	436	+1	open	—	05-22 21:16
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	20	$708	583	496	+87	open	—	07-17 13:47
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	19	$703	707	703	+4	open	—	08-01 16:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	18	$682	523	595	-72	open	—	05-26 00:38
DeepSeek V4 released by April 28?	13	$682	831	7	+824	open	—	04-24 04:28
will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	20	$664	695	522	+173	open	—	07-23 16:46
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	10	$652	271	475	-203	open	—	07-15 03:34
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	17	$631	835	427	+408	open	—	08-02 04:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	23	$627	939	301	+638	open	—	04-26 04:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	17	$610	1,004	322	+682	open	—	04-25 15:19
will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by december 31	18	$606	488	487	+2	open	—	08-05 20:00
will databricks valuation hit low 125b by december 31	11	$600	350	350	+0	open	—	07-16 21:08
laso finance fdv above 15m one day after launch	8	$596	463	365	+97	open	—	07-04 23:49
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	12	$595	811	116	+695	open	—	08-05 18:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$591	517	685	-168	open	—	05-25 19:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	19	$588	739	289	+450	open	—	04-25 15:28
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	12	$582	473	473	+0	open	—	04-28 15:25
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$569	617	309	+308	open	—	07-23 02:31
will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	15	$557	415	395	+20	open	—	08-09 16:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:31:07	APYX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x6f4528…
08-10 11:31:06	APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	94¢	$27	0x828c0e…
08-10 10:37:40	will stripes valuation hit high 215b by august 31 20260730184041310	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x85fbda…
08-10 10:27:54	tread fdv above 300m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xc9e69c…
08-10 10:27:54	tread fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x1bdfa0…
08-10 09:13:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xd08f0b…
08-10 09:13:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xce6a88…
08-10 09:12:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0xf70105…
08-10 09:12:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0x05d864…
08-10 08:46:21	Huddle FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	10¢	$3	0x115271…
08-10 08:01:55	APYX FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xd19624…
08-10 08:01:55	APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x95565f…
08-10 07:34:46	will andurils valuation hit low 70b by december 31	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x7a67f8…
08-10 07:34:46	will andurils valuation hit low 75b by december 31	Yes	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x04406a…
08-10 07:21:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	25	54¢	$13	0xd3f32b…
08-10 07:21:34	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	25	54¢	$13	0x3b78be…
08-10 01:58:06	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0x647328…
08-10 01:48:16	will ukraine target moscow by august 14 2026 20260807123536607	Yes	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0xdca21d…
08-10 01:48:16	will ukraine target moscow by august 10 2026 20260807123552989	No	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x62443c…
08-10 00:39:06	Will Slingshot launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0x943768…
08-10 00:39:04	Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb3987b…
08-10 00:00:40	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9170e4…
08-10 00:00:40	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x7598f6…
08-09 23:21:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xf35944…
08-09 21:50:19	will abstract launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xb0b00d…
08-09 21:50:19	will abstract launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9caa83…
08-09 21:50:19	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x6c224d…
08-09 19:40:10	will jio platforms ipo by september 30 2026 20260629175908108	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1f115c…
08-09 19:40:10	will jio platforms ipo by december 31 2026 20260629175908109	Yes	BUY	19	42¢	$8	0x0bcccf…
08-09 19:23:34	will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by august 31 20260730182857555	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8f0063…
08-09 19:23:34	will lambdas valuation hit low 6pt5b by august 31 20260730182857556	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x75711a…
08-09 19:08:16	Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	44	17¢	$8	0xad4994…
08-09 19:08:16	Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	88¢	$39	0x3197cc…
08-09 17:15:42	will databricks valuation hit low 165b by august 31 20260730183108152	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xefe273…
08-09 16:56:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0xac5c9a…
08-09 16:56:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	19	82¢	$16	0x4b7d90…
08-09 16:55:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x58ca28…
08-09 16:55:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x34a5ec…
08-09 16:55:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	93	78¢	$72	0x37b4e0…
08-09 16:55:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	93	31¢	$29	0x26225b…
08-09 16:55:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	64	77¢	$49	0x74a26b…
08-09 16:55:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	64	32¢	$20	0x3961d0…
08-09 16:55:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	23	77¢	$18	0x26c79a…
08-09 16:55:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x18643d…
08-09 16:49:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	82	32¢	$26	0xdc77e7…
08-09 16:49:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	82	75¢	$61	0x30db1b…
08-09 16:45:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	95	33¢	$31	0xb99e38…
08-09 16:45:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	95	75¢	$71	0x24f1bf…
08-09 16:21:42	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x975c2f…
08-09 14:41:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xfef1d6…
08-09 14:41:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0xe94367…
08-09 14:41:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xbd57bf…
08-09 14:41:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x32c1d0…
08-09 14:41:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x83c2e2…
08-09 14:41:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0de008…
08-09 14:41:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	19	33¢	$6	0x81ed7c…
08-09 14:41:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x2f3aa1…
08-09 14:39:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	93	62¢	$57	0x98fc19…
08-09 14:39:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0xc86713…
08-09 14:39:04	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	93	33¢	$31	0x1d92f3…
08-09 14:39:03	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x895229…
08-09 14:32:48	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xacff15…
08-09 14:32:46	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xdd9a22…
08-09 14:30:15	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x929477…
08-09 14:30:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0x30778f…
08-09 14:30:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	95	30¢	$28	0xed84e7…
08-09 14:30:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xc653f1…
08-09 14:30:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6f4778…
08-09 14:30:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	95	61¢	$58	0x4b6055…
08-09 10:40:31	ukr1 pol met 2026 08 10 spread away 2pt5	FK Polissia	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x6c784f…
08-09 10:40:31	ukr1 pol met 2026 08 10 spread away 1pt5	FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5e0ab1…
08-09 08:15:57	Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x28a64c…
08-09 08:04:18	Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xa2b46b…
08-09 06:02:03	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0xd39392…
08-09 05:22:45	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x4470a8…
08-09 04:59:55	Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0xb0dfc7…
08-09 04:59:55	Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x51992e…
08-09 03:05:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x730077…
08-09 03:05:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x6c59a2…
08-09 01:10:37	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc6fa86…
08-09 01:10:37	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$49	0xb09d1b…
08-09 01:07:49	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xdafa1b…
08-09 01:07:49	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6dd572…
08-09 00:02:12	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xfe304d…
08-09 00:02:12	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x15296a…
08-08 23:34:10	Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xb9fa6d…
08-08 23:34:10	Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	3¢	$2	0x88d944…
08-08 22:55:03	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xdc118a…
08-08 22:55:03	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xa37f75…
08-08 21:59:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$3	0x26bf89…
08-08 21:53:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xf2ebb5…
08-08 21:48:51	uslc lex pho 2026 08 08 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x0d9d87…
08-08 21:48:49	uslc lex pho 2026 08 08 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2196ce…
08-08 21:27:28	nwsl spi cou 2026 08 08 corners total 13pt5	Under	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6ef318…
08-08 21:27:27	nwsl spi cou 2026 08 08 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x1e21db…
08-08 21:22:28	will canvas valuation hit high 75b by december 31	No	SELL	30	91¢	$28	0x5c34b0…
08-08 21:22:28	will canvas valuation hit high 60b by december 31	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x586a88…
08-08 20:28:30	iran successfully targets shipping by august 9 2026	No	SELL	27	14¢	$4	0x755365…
08-08 20:28:30	iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	Yes	SELL	27	91¢	$25	0x48c2c1…
08-08 18:45:51	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd7936d…