Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,669
$50 in 24h
Trades
78
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$3,155
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-08 01:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.9¢
(top1%: 8% YES on $700
vs crowd: 3% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $645 | $645 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $55 | $943 | $888 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $1 | $120 | $120 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $4 | $306 | $302 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $55 | $645 | $591 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $583 | $582 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 9 | — | $537 | $537 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 14 | $4 | $241 | $237 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +1,493 | $49 | $60 | 23 | 07-08 01:44 |
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +667 | $645 | $645 | 2 | 07-08 01:42 |
| Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | +603 | $583 | $583 | 1 | 06-30 18:11 |
| Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | +340 | $329 | $386 | 5 | 06-29 10:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xca4d…f59a | No | +123 | $118 | $118 | 3 | 06-25 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3811…b304 | No | +88 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 07-02 11:21 |
| White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | +81 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-31 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-06 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x425b…b6c4 | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-12 06:52 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 01:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9772…e752 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:37 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 01:50:47 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0dea79… |
| 07-08 01:50:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0dea79… |
| 07-08 01:44:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3ae894… |
| 07-08 01:44:46 | Unsung-Climb 0xcf37…993f | Yes | SELL | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3ae894… |
| 07-08 01:42:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 289 | 3¢ | $9 | 0xc31b13… |
| 07-08 01:42:55 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 490 | 97¢ | $474 | 0xc31b13… |
| 07-02 11:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x3811…b304 | No | BUY | 88 | 97¢ | $85 | 0xd70f8a… |
| 07-02 11:21:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 88 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd70f8a… |
| 06-30 18:11:04 | Growing-Way 0x832b…5c91 | No | BUY | 603 | 97¢ | $583 | 0x1ee71f… |
| 06-30 18:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 22 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x1ee71f… |
| 06-30 18:11:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 289 | 3¢ | $10 | 0x1ee71f… |
| 06-30 18:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x745c…40d9 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x1ee71f… |
| 06-29 10:16:05 | (anonymous) 0x745c…40d9 | No | SELL | 47 | 96¢ | $45 | 0x6027c5… |
| 06-29 10:16:05 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x6027c5… |
| 06-29 10:16:05 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 56 | 96¢ | $54 | 0x6027c5… |
| 06-25 02:40:01 | Trivial-Shopper 0x385f…bcd5 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x04e969… |
| 06-25 02:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xca4d…f59a | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x04e969… |
| 06-20 14:00:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 153 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x07fe3c… |
| 06-20 14:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x07fe3c… |
| 06-20 14:00:41 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 194 | 96¢ | $187 | 0x07fe3c… |
| 06-19 05:25:52 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 65 | 96¢ | $63 | 0x574d3d… |
| 06-19 05:25:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 65 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x574d3d… |
| 06-19 00:44:38 | Trivial-Shopper 0x385f…bcd5 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x37a93e… |
| 06-19 00:44:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x37a93e… |
| 06-18 15:27:26 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | BUY | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0xcd9fbd… |
| 06-18 15:27:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 55 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcd9fbd… |
| 06-18 12:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xca4d…f59a | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xae0b64… |
| 06-18 12:42:55 | Quick-Shape 0x0c6e…6a35 | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xae0b64… |
| 06-17 13:02:26 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 115 | 96¢ | $111 | 0x0d9a67… |
| 06-17 13:02:26 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0d9a67… |
| 06-17 13:02:26 | (anonymous) 0xca4d…f59a | No | BUY | 107 | 96¢ | $103 | 0x0d9a67… |
| 06-17 10:15:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2a4394… |
| 06-17 10:15:41 | Quick-Shape 0x0c6e…6a35 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x2a4394… |
| 06-12 07:34:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x571ce7… |
| 06-12 07:34:24 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x571ce7… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x5e6f…5d02 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x425b…b6c4 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-11 15:18:31 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x96f6ff… |
| 06-11 15:18:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x96f6ff… |
| 06-09 00:42:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x161498… |
| 06-09 00:42:01 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x161498… |
| 06-08 23:25:22 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4d6b76… |
| 06-08 23:25:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4d6b76… |
| 06-08 14:51:12 | Icy-Storyboard 0xc8c6…fdd0 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x44e61c… |
| 06-08 14:51:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44e61c… |
| 06-08 14:24:03 | Jaded-Ox 0xa382…ce7d | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x1ab895… |
| 06-08 14:24:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1ab895… |
| 06-08 02:14:03 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xad41bb… |
| 06-08 02:14:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xad41bb… |
| 06-08 02:12:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab7669… |
| 06-08 02:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab7669… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-03 13:48:38 | Serene-Boot 0x092b…bc0a | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8727e0… |
| 06-03 13:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8727e0… |
| 06-01 13:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcfbeba… |
| 06-01 13:15:46 | Serene-Boot 0x092b…bc0a | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcfbeba… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba0b66… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xba0b66… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | Necessary-Den 0x2ce4…d707 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xba0b66… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | BUY | 81 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 07:47:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x90876d… |
| 05-31 07:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x9772…e752 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x90876d… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x14fe…910c | No | SELL | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x681f…e1f3 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 82 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 178 | 96¢ | $171 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-28 22:37:36 | (anonymous) 0x69a8…97bd | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x012e53… |
| 05-28 22:37:36 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x012e53… |
| 05-28 22:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x561b09… |
| 05-28 22:37:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x561b09… |