Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
open
Total volume
$774
$50 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$3,155
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 07:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.7¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $176
vs crowd: 2% YES on $388)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $171 | $171 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $5 | $2 | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $3 | $172 | $169 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $5 | $171 | $166 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | — | $61 | $61 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $3 | $3 |
| unranked | 10 | $3 | $146 | $143 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | +178 | $171 | $171 | 1 | 05-29 05:06 |
| White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | +81 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-31 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-31 08:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 06-06 23:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 06-06 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x425b…b6c4 | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-12 06:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9772…e752 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-31 07:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:37 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 22:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 07:34:24 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x571ce7… |
| 06-12 07:34:24 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x571ce7… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x5e6f…5d02 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0x425b…b6c4 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-12 06:52:15 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x99ea3c… |
| 06-11 15:18:31 | Grizzled-Strudel 0xb980…73b0 | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x96f6ff… |
| 06-11 15:18:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x96f6ff… |
| 06-09 00:42:01 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x161498… |
| 06-09 00:42:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x161498… |
| 06-08 23:25:22 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x4d6b76… |
| 06-08 23:25:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4d6b76… |
| 06-08 14:51:12 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x44e61c… |
| 06-08 14:51:12 | Icy-Storyboard 0xc8c6…fdd0 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x44e61c… |
| 06-08 14:24:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1ab895… |
| 06-08 14:24:03 | Jaded-Ox 0xa382…ce7d | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x1ab895… |
| 06-08 02:14:03 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xad41bb… |
| 06-08 02:14:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xad41bb… |
| 06-08 02:12:42 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab7669… |
| 06-08 02:12:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xab7669… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 23:37:13 | Fixed-Eaglet 0xe53c…e569 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x58eed9… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | (anonymous) 0xffb8…c079 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-06 13:12:09 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | No | SELL | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xd0261a… |
| 06-03 13:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8727e0… |
| 06-03 13:48:38 | Serene-Boot 0x092b…bc0a | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8727e0… |
| 06-01 13:15:46 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcfbeba… |
| 06-01 13:15:46 | Serene-Boot 0x092b…bc0a | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xcfbeba… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | (anonymous) 0xf2f7…57ad | No | SELL | 26 | 96¢ | $25 | 0xba0b66… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xba0b66… |
| 06-01 02:40:01 | Necessary-Den 0x2ce4…d707 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xba0b66… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x6569…6fe7 | No | BUY | 29 | 96¢ | $28 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 08:07:40 | White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | BUY | 81 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x34bc95… |
| 05-31 07:47:58 | (anonymous) 0x9772…e752 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x90876d… |
| 05-31 07:47:58 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x90876d… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 82 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x681f…e1f3 | No | SELL | 35 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x14fe…910c | No | SELL | 61 | 96¢ | $59 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-29 05:06:44 | Fluid-Deadline 0xdc4f…4652 | No | BUY | 178 | 96¢ | $171 | 0x6cb3fa… |
| 05-28 22:37:36 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x012e53… |
| 05-28 22:37:36 | (anonymous) 0x69a8…97bd | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x012e53… |
| 05-28 22:37:22 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x561b09… |
| 05-28 22:37:22 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x561b09… |