Trivial-Shopper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

Trades

193

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-20 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

47% 55% +$3

Crypto

23% 59% $-12

Politics

15% 50% +$1

Tech

9% 25% $-0

Sports

6% 22% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$129	187	187	+0	No	$-3	04-10 08:54
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$121	62	62	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 14:58
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$109	55	55	+0	No	$-0	03-10 11:08
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	$-0	04-17 05:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$80	41	41	+0	No	$-0	04-17 05:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-29 15:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	04-08 06:15
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	03-14 05:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$64	34	34	+0	No	+$0	03-13 03:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	03-09 02:55
will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-30 11:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	03-30 12:53
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$60	48	48	+0	No	$-0	04-17 05:29
will ethereum reach 3800 in march 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$-0	03-17 01:24
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	03-19 02:11
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$57	31	31	+0	Yes	$-1	03-22 00:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	08-20 03:48
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	03-24 01:59
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-31 23:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-25 15:36
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	$-0	06-25 04:39
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	4	$49	26	26	+0	No	$-0	05-22 14:22
will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	$-0	07-18 04:27
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$46	23	23	+0	No	$-0	03-10 11:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	$-0	07-10 12:33
btc updown 5m 1775106300	2	$45	43	42	+2	Down	+$5	04-02 05:06
will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	$-0	02-23 03:11
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$42	23	22	+0	Yes	$-0	02-23 03:14
btc updown 5m 1774999500	5	$41	39	37	+2	Up	+$15	03-31 23:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-13 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 03:50:58	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x042cc5…
08-20 03:48:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xb0f957…
08-18 02:34:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x114886…
07-31 23:59:56	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x63e8fc…
07-30 03:47:51	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9dcc1f…
07-30 03:47:35	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xf48984…
07-30 03:47:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x890404…
07-29 09:38:33	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xef68c3…
07-29 09:38:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x543307…
07-28 08:20:49	btc updown 5m 1785226800	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x8dff33…
07-20 07:40:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8db5ce…
07-18 04:27:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb53af8…
07-18 04:27:16	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x66817f…
07-17 00:17:14	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$23	0xc202ce…
07-17 00:16:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x0d6c8b…
07-17 00:16:46	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc6440a…
07-16 14:00:14	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xd06988…
07-16 13:59:59	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf42f7c…
07-14 02:36:50	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xc38075…
07-12 13:13:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf15b9f…
07-12 10:35:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb56387…
07-12 10:34:04	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xf595ac…
07-12 10:33:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x7de60f…
07-12 07:48:04	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x6a96ed…
07-12 07:47:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8dd17e…
07-10 12:33:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x28871a…
07-10 06:00:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe6f555…
07-10 01:11:19	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0981cd…
07-10 01:11:11	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x77f21c…
07-05 01:53:38	will nflx reach 100 in july 2026	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x388cb0…
07-05 01:53:20	will australia send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952746	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x346d22…
07-04 00:32:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0xf39a9f…
06-30 09:14:53	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x714b97…
06-29 00:50:49	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1aa748…
06-25 07:17:25	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd8eb50…
06-25 04:40:11	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf60247…
06-25 04:39:34	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x4c2026…
06-25 02:41:10	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x71b55d…
06-25 02:40:01	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x04e969…
06-25 02:39:50	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xab1e24…
06-19 00:44:38	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x37a93e…
06-19 00:44:16	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x229fe9…
06-17 00:48:19	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39db25…
06-17 00:47:44	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xab7205…
06-16 03:25:21	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0xb92e94…
06-16 03:24:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x691f21…
06-16 03:23:58	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xab1a9d…
06-11 05:30:06	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb3ea1f…
06-11 05:29:39	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x43655b…
06-11 05:29:19	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x695567…
05-29 15:29:18	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4b9f7f…
05-29 15:29:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x032448…
05-29 15:27:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9b9825…
05-24 13:27:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x077ac0…
05-22 14:22:17	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xe5736c…
05-22 03:30:25	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb5cafe…
05-19 00:57:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe12c9b…
05-18 13:52:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1b3cae…
05-18 08:59:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x44fb3d…
05-18 08:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xf74e83…
05-18 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x629e56…
05-18 08:04:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd06fe1…
05-13 01:33:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x491841…
05-09 00:21:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x15a095…
05-09 00:20:09	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x9810a7…
05-09 00:19:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x1efddd…
05-05 11:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x223e24…
05-05 11:06:52	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9b3f61…
04-25 15:36:26	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xb90f99…
04-25 15:36:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x88a2e6…
04-22 13:58:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x270b43…
04-22 13:54:22	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4c890c…
04-19 11:19:46	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5e338e…
04-17 05:29:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	48	62¢	$30	0x4e08cc…
04-17 05:28:52	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xf2ce09…
04-17 05:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x6fa36f…
04-17 05:28:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xab8b1f…
04-17 05:27:44	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0x44cf97…
04-15 05:12:26	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x6849d0…
04-12 15:03:43	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	Nets	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x74e08c…
04-12 15:02:55	nba mem hou 2026 04 12	Grizzlies	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x326e62…
04-12 15:01:23	nba det ind 2026 04 12	Pacers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1761b5…
04-12 14:59:41	nba was cle 2026 04 12	Wizards	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x87dc27…
04-12 14:58:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x396f56…
04-10 08:55:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x0b3710…
04-10 08:55:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc69e0c…
04-10 08:54:59	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	70¢	$34	0xbba750…
04-08 06:15:57	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x993d16…
04-08 06:15:29	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x8f84e2…
04-05 15:25:31	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xfb63c4…
04-05 15:25:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa93feb…
04-02 05:06:29	btc updown 5m 1775106300	Up	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0xc08d48…
04-02 05:05:33	btc updown 5m 1775106300	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xfedb1d…
03-31 23:45:37	btc updown 5m 1775000700	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x946862…
03-31 23:45:31	btc updown 5m 1775000700	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9c5475…
03-31 23:45:23	btc updown 5m 1775000700	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x35191c…
03-31 23:45:15	btc updown 5m 1775000700	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xcd77ff…
03-31 23:43:13	btc updown 5m 1775000400	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x028f14…
03-31 23:42:11	btc updown 5m 1775000400	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x5e85e1…
03-31 23:41:59	btc updown 5m 1775000400	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x206fdd…