Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$379
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$84
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 05-31 15:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
42%
Other
42%
Crypto
8%
Sports
4%
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? No -4 $-4 99¢ $-4 +$0 05-31 15:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -24 $-11 16¢ $-4 +$7 05-28 17:21
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 05-31 08:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +45 $3 $3 +$0 05-31 07:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +40 $3 $3 +$0 05-31 08:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $3 15¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:57
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 05-31 08:02
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:42
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 05-31 07:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? Yes +81 $3 $3 $-0 05-31 08:07
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +4 $3 66¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +16 $3 18¢ $3 $-0 05-31 07:53
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 $-0 05-31 07:44
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +8 $3 34¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:09
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +10 $3 26¢ $3 $-0 05-31 07:48
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 36¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +27 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:08
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +6 $3 40¢ $3 $-0 05-31 07:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +13 $3 20¢ $3 $-0 05-31 08:05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $3 $-0 05-31 07:52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $3 $2 $-1 05-31 07:57
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +6 $3 33¢ $2 $-1 05-31 08:03
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +65 $3 $2 $-1 05-31 08:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +13 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 05-31 08:00
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? Yes +214 $3 $1 $-2 05-31 08:07