Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
open
Total volume
$58
$45 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$9,098
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-12 16:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | — | $57 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| unranked | 32 | — | $57 | $57 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-Supreme 0xbb99…e023 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Smug-Amenity 0x00ff…8efa | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 11:02 |
| Awesome-Virus 0x828a…8478 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Sparse-Rocket 0xfcab…f27d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Pitiful-Timing 0x89c9…5215 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Negligible-Coleslaw 0xa42c…e9bd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:17 |
| Fresh-Hail 0x7d64…f060 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:01 |
| Raw-Merit 0x7992…586c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Exotic-Capitulation 0x3d23…2d17 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:01 |
| Dependent-Musicmaking 0xba51…9b63 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Studious-Dark 0xa405…b518 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:17 |
| Lumbering-Ballpark 0x5b13…f33e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Kindly-Adaptation 0x3604…7254 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:08 |
| Canine-Crusader 0x750e…30fd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Worthwhile-Waiver 0x63d8…3d4f | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:00 |
| Gargantuan-Zoologist 0xb912…e43a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 06:45 |
| Acceptable-Spot 0x99be…7149 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Courageous-Preface 0xc9ba…4741 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Second-Sash 0x7f94…076e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:01 |
| Austere-Boolean 0x1d4f…e6c0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Serpentine-Riverbed 0x599c…703e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Reliable-Investment 0x2169…b2dc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 14:17 |
| Qualified-Gymnast 0x92ea…2d88 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Punctual-Acrylic 0xdce9…6363 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 11:02 |
| Shallow-Airfield 0x8e51…3948 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Loathsome-Decision 0xbbe1…08d3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:31 |
| Muddy-Guidance 0x9d3f…0a69 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 11:01 |
| Weary-Alias 0x32ec…36cd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 11:01 |
| Intentional-Controversy 0x87c3…359a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:17 |
| Well-Worn-Pug 0x5fd9…bffd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 11:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 16:31:34 | Austere-Boolean 0x1d4f…e6c0 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xde5c8c… |
| 05-12 16:31:32 | Courageous-Preface 0xc9ba…4741 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4a2976… |
| 05-12 16:31:30 | Loathsome-Decision 0xbbe1…08d3 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x57a60b… |
| 05-12 16:31:30 | Serpentine-Riverbed 0x599c…703e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x5aa676… |
| 05-12 16:31:29 | Lumbering-Ballpark 0x5b13…f33e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf0f0ec… |
| 05-12 16:31:29 | Shallow-Airfield 0x8e51…3948 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe865e9… |
| 05-12 16:31:27 | Daring-Supreme 0xbb99…e023 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x00df34… |
| 05-12 16:31:27 | Canine-Crusader 0x750e…30fd | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x1ab44a… |
| 05-12 11:17:40 | Sparse-Rocket 0xfcab…f27d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2c95b3… |
| 05-12 11:17:32 | Raw-Merit 0x7992…586c | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6636e9… |
| 05-12 11:17:30 | Dependent-Musicmaking 0xba51…9b63 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3f5dde… |
| 05-12 11:17:30 | Qualified-Gymnast 0x92ea…2d88 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xdb0d4a… |
| 05-12 11:17:30 | Awesome-Virus 0x828a…8478 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x70bef0… |
| 05-12 11:17:30 | Well-Worn-Pug 0x5fd9…bffd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x99034b… |
| 05-12 11:17:30 | Sparse-Rocket 0xfcab…f27d | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4c2d9f… |
| 05-12 11:17:28 | Acceptable-Spot 0x99be…7149 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b5213… |
| 05-12 11:17:26 | Pitiful-Timing 0x89c9…5215 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x9c2078… |
| 05-11 14:17:39 | Intentional-Controversy 0x87c3…359a | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3ed2b6… |
| 05-11 14:17:37 | Reliable-Investment 0x2169…b2dc | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xa33ff9… |
| 05-11 14:17:35 | Negligible-Coleslaw 0xa42c…e9bd | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x229fdf… |
| 05-11 14:17:35 | Studious-Dark 0xa405…b518 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe7b454… |
| 05-11 11:02:00 | Punctual-Acrylic 0xdce9…6363 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xfb5f25… |
| 05-11 11:02:00 | Smug-Amenity 0x00ff…8efa | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xd1083d… |
| 05-11 11:01:58 | Muddy-Guidance 0x9d3f…0a69 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe5b54a… |
| 05-11 11:01:56 | Exotic-Capitulation 0x3d23…2d17 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf92ac9… |
| 05-11 11:01:56 | Weary-Alias 0x32ec…36cd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x79d4e5… |
| 05-11 11:01:56 | Second-Sash 0x7f94…076e | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0a82d3… |
| 05-11 11:01:54 | Fresh-Hail 0x7d64…f060 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x361ac9… |
| 05-08 07:08:46 | Kindly-Adaptation 0x3604…7254 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x2d9f2b… |
| 05-08 07:00:06 | Worthwhile-Waiver 0x63d8…3d4f | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0e8814… |
| 05-08 06:45:24 | Gargantuan-Zoologist 0xb912…e43a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x8b52ac… |
| 05-06 17:04:21 | (anonymous) 0xaa68…7e44 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x837a3b… |
| 05-05 12:47:02 | Basic-Walker 0x37b3…062c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd63fb7… |