Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
34.1%
Resolved
25
Trades
2,343
lifetime
Volume
$67.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$562
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 21:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
86% 100% +$1
Politics
13% 75% $-2
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -167 $-157 95¢ $-158 $-1 06-26 23:03
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +90 $89 100¢ $90 +$1 06-26 23:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -53 $-53 100¢ $-53 +$1 06-26 23:01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -60 $-51 86¢ $-52 $-2 06-26 23:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +54 $50 94¢ $50 +$0 06-25 18:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -38 $-38 100¢ $-38 +$0 06-26 22:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -36 $-37 100¢ $-36 +$0 06-26 23:01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -27 $-27 100¢ $-27 $-0 06-29 03:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -26 $-27 100¢ $-26 +$1 06-27 14:12
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? No -11 $-18 100¢ $-11 +$6 06-26 22:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-26 11:27
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-25 19:32
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +4 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 06-21 09:24
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? No +4 $3 77¢ $3 $-0 06-05 22:47
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 +$0 06-26 00:35
Another crypto hack over $100m by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-20 08:56
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-03 08:15