Realized P&L
-$99
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
225
Trades
889
lifetime
Volume
$1.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$35
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 09-18 11:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
65% 56% -$34
Politics
30% 36% -$34
Sports
3% 0% -$25
Crypto
1% 27% -$7
Tech
1% 75% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 05-19 08:03
Trump out as President before 2027? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 07-01 14:07
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 09-18 11:44
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$2 06-29 15:08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-19 08:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 08-11 21:08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-19 08:03
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-01 14:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 09-18 11:44
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-19 08:03
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-18 09:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-18 08:16
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-19 08:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-29 15:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-19 08:03
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 05-19 08:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-11 21:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-18 08:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4 $1 21¢ $1 $0 08-11 21:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4 $1 18¢ $1 $0 09-02 16:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +14 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 09-18 09:50
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +3 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-19 08:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $0 08-11 23:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-11 21:06
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +0 $0 89¢ $0 $0 08-11 21:06
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-11 20:14
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 08-11 20:36
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 09-18 08:15
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-07 00:14
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-07 04:52