Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$48
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 06-15 01:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
65%
Crypto
19%
Other
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +4 $1 39¢ $2 +$1 06-01 06:48
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +5 $1 24¢ $1 +$0 06-01 05:55
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-01 05:55
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-01 05:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Trump out as President by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-03 09:34
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-01 05:55
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-01 05:55