Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
199
lifetime
Volume
$194
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$14
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 07-07 04:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
45%
Politics
42%
Crypto
9%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $1 40¢ $1 +$1 07-06 00:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$1 07-01 06:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 07-02 06:48
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-01 06:48
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-27 13:17
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 14:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-01 14:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 06-22 12:00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-07 04:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-16 11:30
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 07-05 15:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-22 12:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $-0 92¢ $0 +$0 07-01 14:07