Cheery-Preparation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.73K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

18,685

lifetime

Volume

$5.68M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$304

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% +$1,668

Politics

31% 67% +$1,063

Tech

9% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 170 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	469	$307.9K	147,662	166,154	-18,492	open	—	04-13 14:37
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	161	$191.8K	126,910	70,555	+56,356	open	—	03-18 17:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	258	$144.6K	78,653	71,545	+7,108	open	—	04-28 07:24
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	90	$140.8K	100,025	43,476	+56,549	open	—	03-04 18:21
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	307	$133.9K	72,595	63,179	+9,416	open	—	04-30 21:18
trump out as president by march 31	281	$122.4K	61,964	62,882	-917	open	—	03-27 16:25
Trump out as President by April 30?	87	$100.4K	58,286	43,278	+15,007	open	—	04-30 07:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	46	$90.5K	44,397	46,518	-2,121	open	—	03-16 14:26
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	484	$86.6K	45,441	41,555	+3,886	open	—	03-18 19:20
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	276	$85.4K	48,376	37,591	+10,785	open	—	03-08 21:08
will gta 6 cost 100	156	$79.4K	67,570	12,339	+55,231	open	—	03-01 01:14
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	421	$75.7K	36,150	40,686	-4,535	open	—	05-24 12:56
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	101	$68.9K	52,510	18,329	+34,181	open	—	04-01 00:47
netanyahu out by march 31 854	111	$59.5K	28,360	33,985	-5,624	open	—	04-01 16:33
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	43	$58.0K	34,671	30,670	+4,001	open	—	08-08 08:16
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	136	$56.7K	58,620	1,000	+57,620	open	—	01-22 19:22
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	27	$56.3K	27,000	30,000	-3,000	open	—	02-12 08:58
bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	127	$52.0K	46,337	5,911	+40,426	open	—	03-19 08:06
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	84	$51.3K	22,804	29,397	-6,593	open	—	05-06 15:46
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	66	$48.1K	23,281	25,054	-1,773	open	—	03-31 15:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	64	$48.0K	37,375	32,489	+4,885	open	—	08-09 16:28
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	159	$47.9K	45,595	2,571	+43,025	open	—	04-27 20:29
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	158	$46.7K	23,357	24,060	-703	No	+$209	04-27 02:09
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	119	$46.7K	37,532	11,615	+25,917	open	—	04-30 20:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	96	$46.0K	21,800	25,177	-3,377	open	—	03-21 16:48
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	86	$44.6K	28,683	16,000	+12,683	open	—	03-09 10:37
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	123	$43.2K	23,158	21,306	+1,852	open	—	03-06 16:03
will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	447	$42.4K	32,561	9,998	+22,563	open	—	02-04 02:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	171	$40.6K	32,501	10,021	+22,480	Yes	+$1,230	04-27 12:28
will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	268	$38.9K	29,083	10,013	+19,070	open	—	03-18 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 00:39:07	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x121b88…
08-10 00:07:13	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xfe55b0…
08-10 00:07:07	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x589fa5…
08-09 23:58:48	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x333252…
08-09 23:46:15	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	500	99¢	$494	0xa2ddc6…
08-09 23:18:28	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x18a508…
08-09 23:16:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	445	35¢	$156	0x48211f…
08-09 22:54:01	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0x80d29e…
08-09 22:49:51	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	92	32¢	$30	0xa65884…
08-09 22:14:54	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xb13338…
08-09 21:43:07	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x24015a…
08-09 21:26:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x8b8df2…
08-09 21:25:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	166	22¢	$37	0x9ba898…
08-09 21:23:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x1475ec…
08-09 21:12:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xd2614e…
08-09 21:04:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x8d9fd9…
08-09 21:04:25	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xf3ee24…
08-09 21:04:22	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x969bd9…
08-09 21:04:19	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0xf28b0e…
08-09 21:04:19	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x47a507…
08-09 21:04:15	Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x0bc731…
08-09 20:57:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	77	100¢	$76	0x214b23…
08-09 20:54:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x8adc3f…
08-09 20:53:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x366a75…
08-09 20:50:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	343	100¢	$342	0x64eb71…
08-09 20:40:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x1efd30…
08-09 20:40:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0xed197e…
08-09 20:35:54	will renan santos qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203623448	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xea10ca…
08-09 20:32:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x066588…
08-09 20:26:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0x88c563…
08-09 20:22:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	320	100¢	$319	0xced07a…
08-09 20:20:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0x4cdd25…
08-09 19:58:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	52	35¢	$18	0x367198…
08-09 19:53:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xaf7d4f…
08-09 18:58:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7fa51a…
08-09 18:58:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xc0f988…
08-09 18:57:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xfa476d…
08-09 18:38:27	Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x52ea2f…
08-09 18:31:25	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x812a8c…
08-09 17:45:31	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xf93945…
08-09 17:38:22	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xb80953…
08-09 17:34:39	us charges hormuz fees by august 31 2026 20260713151243234	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb9608c…
08-09 17:16:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	436	34¢	$148	0xb8ada6…
08-09 17:08:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	64	34¢	$22	0xe86d67…
08-09 17:03:40	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x02fb95…
08-09 16:45:22	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe5a290…
08-09 16:36:42	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	455	2¢	$9	0x31651c…
08-09 16:28:03	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0xea68f9…
08-09 16:28:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	56¢	$34	0xe3c0b9…
08-09 16:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	116	56¢	$65	0x937f9b…
08-09 16:00:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	263	2¢	$5	0xda7b16…
08-09 15:38:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb925d7…
08-09 14:03:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0xb58001…
08-09 14:02:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x812bd0…
08-09 14:00:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	500	32¢	$160	0x39890f…
08-09 13:39:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe30d80…
08-09 13:38:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	88	56¢	$49	0x571c0c…
08-09 13:34:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x89aec5…
08-09 13:32:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	1,330	98¢	$1,302	0xd0f001…
08-09 13:19:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	169	98¢	$165	0x7c69d9…
08-09 13:16:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0xfa5ef3…
08-09 13:10:30	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdfe36b…
08-09 13:10:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x10b5b2…
08-09 13:10:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xca756a…
08-09 13:08:19	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	SELL	484	99¢	$477	0xc355dc…
08-09 12:57:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	275	11¢	$30	0x8fe8a9…
08-09 12:56:51	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	985	11¢	$108	0x4a99f9…
08-09 12:53:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,315	56¢	$736	0x493557…
08-09 12:48:03	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x13799d…
08-09 12:47:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x32e25a…
08-09 12:47:33	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xc044ad…
08-09 12:41:06	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xb1aad7…
08-09 12:34:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x13935f…
08-09 12:28:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x2c8f8e…
08-09 12:28:12	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x61e3e6…
08-09 12:27:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x9b8b80…
08-09 12:21:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8ad5ba…
08-09 12:20:43	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb9fc26…
08-09 12:18:42	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	742	98¢	$723	0xf2c457…
08-09 12:11:46	will townsquare launch a token by november 30 2026 20260720193329912	No	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0x8abe62…
08-09 12:10:01	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd41b48…
08-09 12:09:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	500	35¢	$175	0x304b0f…
08-09 12:09:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xe528c6…
08-09 12:07:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	No	SELL	490	34¢	$167	0x26fb8b…
08-09 12:03:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	44	32¢	$14	0xb13d24…
08-09 12:01:31	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	Yes	SELL	73	32¢	$23	0x7e3abb…
08-09 11:54:24	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0x83f365…
08-09 10:24:25	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	SELL	202	5¢	$9	0xf41d09…
08-09 09:20:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xd16057…
08-09 08:31:16	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x3b3bef…
08-09 07:53:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	SELL	324	97¢	$314	0x3030cc…
08-09 07:06:03	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0x91f105…
08-09 05:48:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	105	43¢	$45	0xad786f…
08-09 05:46:16	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	170	77¢	$131	0x200ffc…
08-09 05:40:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	49	43¢	$21	0xa7e895…
08-09 05:38:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	233	43¢	$100	0x62534d…
08-09 05:38:01	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x814a2a…
08-09 05:36:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa3c6bd…
08-09 05:28:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	172	43¢	$74	0xde26a0…
08-09 05:10:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xbf050d…