Outgoing-Bite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$996

Unrealized P&L

-$3.27K

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

203

Trades

3,061

lifetime

Volume

$621.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$203

Open exposure

$19.3K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-24 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

49% 65% -$556

Politics

32% 90% +$829

Crypto

19% 63% +$755

Sports

0% 50% +$23

Tech

0% 0% -$55

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-10,956	-$6,258	84¢	$-9149	-$2,891	07-10 12:20
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-4,661	-$2,838	73¢	$-3402	-$565	10-23 18:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	-1,642	-$1,728	97¢	$-1590	+$138	09-18 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+1,000	$910	94¢	$935	+$25	07-15 10:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,000	$815	84¢	$845	+$30	07-21 14:46
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	+841	$456	97¢	$814	+$357	10-20 22:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	-790	-$797	97¢	$-763	+$34	09-23 14:00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	-649	-$544	92¢	$-594	-$50	06-02 23:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-617	-$399	93¢	$-573	-$175	09-17 08:55
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-396	-$210	88¢	$-350	-$141	07-05 05:11
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	-200	-$162	93¢	$-186	-$24	07-05 11:15
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-1,868	-$141	6¢	$-108	+$33	10-24 16:42
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+100	$50	12¢	$12	-$38	05-01 14:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	674	$40.8K	25,721	15,238	+10,483	No	+$130	06-30 19:45
trump out as president by march 31	50	$38.9K	19,030	20,430	-1,400	No	+$228	03-29 23:35
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	83	$26.0K	21,079	5,299	+15,780	No	+$157	06-30 00:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	102	$25.4K	12,832	12,832	+0	No	+$207	06-17 22:52
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	31	$19.6K	9,932	9,932	+0	No	+$217	06-27 13:40
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?	117	$16.7K	7,978	8,885	-907	No	+$106	06-25 17:17
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	53	$15.0K	7,539	7,539	+0	No	+$105	06-30 19:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$13.3K	12,934	500	+12,434	No	+$75	03-29 23:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	19	$12.9K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$145	05-27 22:04
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	160	$12.6K	8,826	10,229	-1,403	No	-$2,879	04-30 21:28
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	18	$12.2K	7,100	5,500	+1,600	No	+$324	02-25 01:20
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	12	$12.0K	5,807	6,307	-500	No	+$37	01-18 12:28
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	22	$11.6K	11,742	0	+11,742	No	+$142	05-27 17:21
Trump out as President by April 30?	32	$11.3K	10,348	1,125	+9,223	No	+$194	04-29 10:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$11.2K	11,119	600	+10,519	No	+$391	04-18 13:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	41	$11.0K	7,824	3,261	+4,563	No	+$36	05-18 15:55
Trump out as President by June 30?	19	$10.9K	5,500	5,500	+0	No	+$33	06-25 01:13
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$10.3K	10,545	0	+10,545	No	+$197	03-24 23:54
will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$210	04-03 16:09
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	75	$9.5K	5,010	5,010	+0	open	—	09-07 13:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	52	$9.4K	9,487	0	+9,487	No	+$66	05-19 16:33
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	38	$9.0K	2,500	13,456	-10,956	open	—	07-10 12:20
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	26	$8.8K	5,148	4,307	+841	open	—	10-20 22:26
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	22	$8.2K	4,100	4,100	+0	No	+$17	06-27 13:41
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	17	$8.1K	3,712	4,800	-1,088	No	-$259	06-30 00:24
gta vi released before november 2026	33	$7.6K	3,525	4,391	-866	open	—	10-05 20:03
Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	22	$7.5K	3,786	3,786	+0	No	+$37	05-17 20:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	6	$7.5K	4,100	4,100	+0	open	—	09-20 07:15
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	13	$7.3K	2,295	5,094	-2,799	No	+$36	06-27 21:44
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	23	$7.2K	2,997	4,639	-1,642	open	—	09-18 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:42:27	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	744	7¢	$53	0x64322d…
10-24 16:42:23	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	219	7¢	$16	0xd4df19…
10-23 18:29:08	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	138	60¢	$83	0x7d9031…
10-23 18:13:20	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x0fd6d4…
10-23 18:09:05	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	61	60¢	$37	0x7689a8…
10-23 18:05:33	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x796627…
10-23 18:05:15	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x2b2776…
10-23 18:04:44	Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	838	7¢	$60	0x7df93b…
10-23 18:03:59	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	664	4¢	$25	0x2321c5…
10-20 22:26:48	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	1,499	97¢	$1,462	0x48dd3c…
10-17 18:14:45	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	94	97¢	$91	0xc6530a…
10-06 18:16:56	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xb22bb3…
10-05 20:03:26	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	808	100¢	$805	0x8824e4…
09-24 08:34:41	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1,141	97¢	$1,107	0x7f645d…
09-24 05:27:20	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$954	0xa230f0…
09-23 14:00:47	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	263	96¢	$253	0x13b0a1…
09-22 06:30:00	Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	2,990	95¢	$2,840	0xc4f14f…
09-21 07:14:24	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	SELL	381	87¢	$331	0x2b3940…
09-21 06:07:04	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$145	0x861070…
09-20 07:15:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,047	96¢	$1,005	0xebd9f5…
09-20 07:14:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,053	96¢	$2,931	0x041da2…
09-18 21:02:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	3,439	96¢	$3,295	0xa22703…
09-18 15:53:27	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	SELL	150	87¢	$131	0xa19a3e…
09-17 15:31:58	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x927c1f…
09-17 08:55:01	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	62	84¢	$52	0x366549…
09-17 01:11:40	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xf2a720…
09-16 21:28:19	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x852da5…
09-16 21:26:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	96¢	$1,147	0xe4e9c4…
09-11 09:06:31	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	559	27¢	$150	0x3993e4…
09-07 16:10:54	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9324a9…
09-07 13:09:58	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	3,170	96¢	$3,046	0x71fb61…
09-05 23:43:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	1,529	98¢	$1,500	0x60eeaf…
09-05 23:43:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	586	95¢	$560	0xc3d2a9…
09-05 19:03:10	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	509	96¢	$487	0x03e9bb…
08-27 01:01:31	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x851b44…
08-27 01:00:49	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x48d2c0…
08-27 01:00:06	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x8f2ff9…
08-27 00:46:49	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x01ac5c…
08-27 00:46:07	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x7faf3c…
08-27 00:45:21	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc8f9a2…
08-27 00:44:39	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x80f4c2…
08-27 00:39:28	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x4e1fab…
08-27 00:38:42	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x400239…
08-27 00:32:48	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x552a19…
08-27 00:32:04	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xd6e0dd…
08-27 00:31:19	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xa1593c…
08-27 00:14:40	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x07f99d…
08-27 00:13:52	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfe0ec9…
08-27 00:00:25	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x788612…
08-26 13:11:54	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	855	98¢	$842	0x682e9f…
08-26 12:08:54	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x933b1e…
08-26 10:50:27	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x195d7c…
08-26 10:48:09	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	862	98¢	$850	0x45fc86…
08-26 10:47:42	GTA VI released by October 31?	No	SELL	1,692	99¢	$1,668	0x6ab440…
08-26 10:46:25	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	191	96¢	$183	0xf174e1…
08-25 14:19:54	Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?	No	SELL	95	90¢	$86	0xd4ffca…
08-25 07:12:07	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0xea65bd…
08-21 13:47:10	Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x54102d…
08-21 13:43:57	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xa0a893…
08-15 13:21:30	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd1b7e2…
08-08 13:33:52	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	342	97¢	$332	0x978621…
08-07 03:50:42	Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x100001…
08-07 00:50:51	Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x14e3d8…
08-06 21:53:36	Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x38ab24…
08-05 18:26:48	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x6eead6…
08-05 10:17:12	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0xa5e198…
08-05 08:48:36	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x47b187…
08-05 06:10:57	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	158	97¢	$153	0xc645e4…
08-04 21:44:09	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	129	96¢	$124	0xb7e221…
08-04 14:44:42	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x881a5a…
08-04 14:16:29	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x60a0fb…
08-02 10:30:42	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x1d5826…
08-02 03:07:24	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	1,239	95¢	$1,177	0x1a4f1a…
07-30 19:54:14	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$870	0xba4903…
07-30 19:53:08	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x6e1c08…
07-29 19:34:48	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	400	60¢	$240	0xb1c41f…
07-28 02:27:42	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xb6d06c…
07-27 11:05:07	gta vi released before november 2026	No	BUY	135	96¢	$129	0x5605ab…
07-26 10:03:31	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x742432…
07-21 14:46:09	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0xd1dee0…
07-20 22:19:06	Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	652	92¢	$600	0x464faf…
07-20 22:18:04	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x81d9f7…
07-18 03:12:03	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	900	98¢	$880	0xafb96f…
07-17 19:13:34	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x227331…
07-17 13:51:31	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x0b9208…
07-17 13:04:21	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x381c42…
07-17 05:50:28	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	174	98¢	$170	0xbdde86…
07-16 23:49:04	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	900	99¢	$894	0x24bbd9…
07-16 22:36:29	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb72c19…
07-16 20:22:28	gta vi released before november 2026	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x9fa0f9…
07-16 18:32:37	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x066a3f…
07-16 18:29:46	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	215	62¢	$133	0x93c5c6…
07-16 04:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	600	96¢	$578	0xc9c3ff…
07-15 21:50:34	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0xe0c99f…
07-15 18:15:56	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xc88340…
07-15 16:22:56	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x2a0617…
07-15 14:43:38	nicusor dan out as president of romania in 2026 20260622232316805	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0x4763da…
07-15 11:18:05	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	155	96¢	$149	0x3cb124…
07-15 10:52:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x8ddbcd…
07-15 05:03:59	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x315bf4…