Realized P&L (90d)
+$491
Unrealized P&L
-$3.62K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
15
Trades (90d)
72
3,038 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$28.5K
$612.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$202
Open exposure
$19.8K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-29 19:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
49% 65% -$391
Politics
32% 90% +$829
Crypto
19% 63% +$755
Sports
0% 50% +$23
Tech
0% 0% -$55
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10,956 -$6,258 90¢ $-9806 -$3,548 07-10 12:20
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -4,661 -$2,838 67¢ $-3123 -$285 10-23 18:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -1,642 -$1,728 97¢ $-1597 +$131 09-18 21:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $910 96¢ $955 +$45 07-15 10:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $815 88¢ $875 +$60 07-21 14:46
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? No +841 $456 97¢ $813 +$357 10-20 22:26
Major CEX insolvent in 2026? No -790 -$797 96¢ $-760 +$37 09-23 14:00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No -649 -$544 94¢ $-610 -$66 06-02 23:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -617 -$399 94¢ $-580 -$181 09-17 08:55
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -396 -$210 88¢ $-346 -$137 07-05 05:11
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -200 -$162 92¢ $-183 -$21 07-05 11:15
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1,868 -$141 6¢ $-117 +$25 10-24 16:42
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +100 $50 12¢ $12 -$38 05-01 14:46