Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
open
Total volume
$851
$2,375 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$11,418
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-10 23:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $11 | $343 | $332 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 15 | $1 | $343 | $342 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Half-Estimate 0xf36d…b212 | Yes | +684 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 18:04 |
| Respectful-Unblinking 0x8bba…9724 | No | +97 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 05-10 14:01 |
| Bubbly-Silver 0x8928…0dc5 | Yes | +91 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:13 |
| Mixed-Injustice 0x7930…45e4 | No | +84 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-10 13:27 |
| Astonishing-Employer 0xc008…a33f | No | +84 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Self-Reliant-Proceedings 0xd832…19b7 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-06 09:56 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-06 22:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 23:26:48 | Robust-Archaeologist 0xada5…65cd | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x76827b… |
| 05-10 15:32:19 | Joint-Fiberglass 0xa93b…ce26 | No | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $79 | 0xaa63fd… |
| 05-10 14:01:35 | Respectful-Unblinking 0x8bba…9724 | No | BUY | 97 | 99¢ | $96 | 0xb3f61c… |
| 05-10 13:27:01 | Mixed-Injustice 0x7930…45e4 | No | BUY | 84 | 99¢ | $84 | 0x04b489… |
| 05-10 10:58:11 | New-Cheque 0x8827…b8bb | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x46d2ee… |
| 05-10 08:54:50 | New-Cheque 0x8827…b8bb | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xfd7242… |
| 05-10 06:47:11 | New-Cheque 0x8827…b8bb | No | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $70 | 0x30a0de… |
| 05-10 02:15:35 | Well-To-Do-Bankruptcy 0x9398…427c | No | SELL | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x1d8f2f… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Zephyr 0xc8c6…299c | No | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x06dea9… |
| 05-10 01:46:58 | Humongous-Organ 0x494e…565e | No | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x49bece… |
| 05-09 04:34:32 | Narrow-Kite 0xbd62…aec3 | No | SELL | 78 | 99¢ | $77 | 0x9ba44c… |
| 05-09 03:59:36 | Astonishing-Employer 0xc008…a33f | No | BUY | 84 | 99¢ | $83 | 0x34e6dd… |
| 05-07 07:08:08 | bebe 0x7d6d…6c50 | No | SELL | 52 | 99¢ | $52 | 0xd67f90… |
| 05-07 06:03:16 | Sparse-Purchase-Future 0x8ff2…330f | Yes | SELL | 688 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xa30fb5… |
| 05-07 03:43:04 | Colossal-Boom 0x5eea…0054 | Yes | SELL | 536 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x34f9ca… |
| 05-06 22:21:25 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe7ea15… |
| 05-06 18:54:32 | Jaded-Judgment 0x4aca…34fc | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4f1b57… |
| 05-06 18:04:40 | Half-Estimate 0xf36d…b212 | Yes | BUY | 684 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x3dbadb… |
| 05-06 17:28:05 | (anonymous) 0x3be0…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf8cecc… |
| 05-06 17:12:20 | Jaded-Judgment 0x4aca…34fc | No | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x3a5608… |
| 05-06 09:56:42 | Self-Reliant-Proceedings 0xd832…19b7 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe09b8b… |
| 05-05 20:13:32 | Bubbly-Silver 0x8928…0dc5 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xee46d7… |
| 05-05 07:10:30 | Oblong-Offence 0x2a9b…cc27 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb0c816… |