Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
open
Total volume
$308,580
$8,886 in 24h
Trades
7,894
Unique wallets
1,332
Liquidity
$54,963
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 00:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10.6K
vs crowd: 0% YES on $181.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $40 | $18.3K | $18.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $176 | $75.5K | $75.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 637 | $48 | $74.1K | $74.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 636 | $402 | $12.9K | $12.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | — | $10.6K | $10.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $82 | $722 | $640 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 20 | $24 | $48.7K | $48.7K |
| Median | 163 | $22 | $37.1K | $37.1K |
| Below median | 555 | $126 | $62.3K | $62.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $5 | $52 | $47 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $27 | $124 | $97 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $36 | $655 | $618 |
| unranked | 554 | $342 | $20.6K | $20.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | +23,866 | $23,692 | $72,116 | 520 | 07-01 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e86…cbb5 | Yes | +15,442 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-21 02:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x77f4…4410 | Yes | +13,628 | $54 | $54 | 58 | 06-29 13:39 |
| Bite-Sized-Princess 0x6ede…97a2 | No | +10,000 | $9,990 | $9,990 | 1 | 06-27 04:51 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +7,722 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 06-29 13:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +5,009 | $5,002 | $5,002 | 3 | 06-30 00:04 |
| Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | +4,924 | $4,863 | $32,069 | 622 | 06-30 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xd802…60e3 | Yes | +2,770 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-25 13:17 |
| Surprised-Tuber 0x2589…5e0f | Yes | +2,500 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-05 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb552…24e2 | Yes | +2,357 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 21:50 |
| Powerless-Documentary 0x497a…89fd | Yes | +2,254 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-31 17:12 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | Yes | +2,054 | $-21 | $196 | 631 | 06-16 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9dfc…bbd6 | Yes | +1,509 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-30 19:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f97…d3c3 | No | +1,443 | $1,437 | $1,437 | 12 | 06-24 13:39 |
| Skeletal-Cheetah 0x975a…359a | No | +1,263 | $1,255 | $1,255 | 10 | 06-17 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x79dc…51b2 | Yes | +1,250 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x90f0…9526 | Yes | +1,225 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 01:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa850…3d52 | Yes | +1,215 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-10 21:53 |
| Outstanding-Panic 0x5a7f…7043 | Yes | +1,176 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-01 16:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,009 | $2 | $2 | 25 | 06-24 22:16 |
| Austere-Vernacular 0x482b…3266 | No | +1,000 | $996 | $996 | 17 | 06-06 10:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x89d9…92d3 | Yes | +1,000 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-27 21:28 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia 0x07d4…8991 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 19 | 06-25 07:01 |
| Personal-Singular 0x8d30…c338 | Yes | +929 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-27 23:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf4bf…43f6 | Yes | +750 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-16 10:13 |
| Soulful-Hydroxyl 0x8829…37d9 | Yes | +746 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 21:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xafcf…9964 | Yes | +632 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 02:40 |
| Arid-Province 0x3de6…e560 | Yes | +572 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 06-24 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3af…c794 | Yes | +571 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:19 |
| Nice-Perennial 0xcdb1…276c | No | +571 | $567 | $567 | 2 | 06-21 20:48 |
| Amusing-Fabric 0x9010…d06f | Yes | +519 | $1 | $6 | 23 | 06-23 18:40 |
| Superior-Format 0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xa691…4735 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 19:14 |
| All-Hearthside 0x0775…bf06 | Yes | +500 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 15:46 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | No | +500 | $498 | $498 | 4 | 06-10 15:22 |
| Sunny-Course 0x63cc…eec5 | Yes | +486 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-01 09:21 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +450 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-27 04:51 |
| Reflecting-Candidate 0x29d6…1388 | Yes | +413 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-13 15:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cad…3f51 | Yes | +400 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 18:14 |
| Blank-Initialize 0x151a…0ece | No | +383 | $381 | $381 | 2 | 06-17 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4c5…b9a3 | No | +368 | $367 | $367 | 8 | 06-24 22:36 |
| Wide-Adobe 0x8672…c684 | No | +338 | $337 | $337 | 8 | 06-25 16:03 |
| Insidious-Hourglass 0xdf57…9bf3 | No | +173 | $173 | $173 | 1 | 06-25 12:47 |
| Villainous-Housing 0x7b75…08a1 | No | +167 | $167 | $167 | 1 | 06-25 12:57 |
| Standard-Seashore 0x0de1…bf2f | No | +166 | $166 | $166 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Vibrant-Seaside 0x108c…48bf | No | +161 | $161 | $161 | 1 | 05-31 10:40 |
| Interesting-Premium 0xf2ba…14df | No | +154 | $154 | $154 | 1 | 06-24 15:24 |
| Well-Documented-Today 0xf297…1e83 | No | +147 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 06-25 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa55a…d9ad | No | +142 | $142 | $142 | 1 | 06-25 12:47 |
| Immaterial-Footprint 0x4869…9584 | No | +131 | $131 | $131 | 1 | 06-25 12:21 |
| Menacing-Max 0x67e8…3f16 | No | +125 | $125 | $125 | 1 | 06-25 12:56 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 00:55:56 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x436ab6… |
| 07-01 00:55:56 | Hungry-Shootdown 0x4e10…e6ce | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x436ab6… |
| 06-30 23:46:34 | Hungry-Shootdown 0x4e10…e6ce | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x807931… |
| 06-30 23:46:34 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0x807931… |
| 06-30 19:45:13 | (anonymous) 0x0d95…afc9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde8ca8… |
| 06-30 19:45:13 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xde8ca8… |
| 06-30 19:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x0d95…afc9 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x326ded… |
| 06-30 19:44:34 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x326ded… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 310 | 99¢ | $307 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x9dfc…bbd6 | Yes | BUY | 1,509 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $993 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 169 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 19:17:13 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x19bf90… |
| 06-30 12:34:26 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa84529… |
| 06-30 12:34:26 | (anonymous) 0x1399…84f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa84529… |
| 06-30 12:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfdcd8a… |
| 06-30 12:32:22 | Keen-Detainee 0xb8fc…fbea | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xfdcd8a… |
| 06-30 12:24:40 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc04404… |
| 06-30 12:24:40 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc04404… |
| 06-30 12:15:20 | Greedy-Cultivar 0x8338…2ea3 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf12a41… |
| 06-30 12:15:20 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf12a41… |
| 06-30 12:10:26 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5449b8… |
| 06-30 12:10:26 | Meek-Beancurd 0x2719…2a89 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5449b8… |
| 06-30 09:40:04 | Lost-Locket 0xc2b4…9549 | No | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x0bc8ea… |
| 06-30 09:40:04 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0bc8ea… |
| 06-30 09:33:01 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc3262e… |
| 06-30 09:33:01 | Potable-Motorboat 0x4e30…da8b | No | SELL | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0xc3262e… |
| 06-30 09:17:53 | Extra-Small-Domain 0x4c7a…356a | No | SELL | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0xe49df5… |
| 06-30 09:17:53 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 48 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe49df5… |
| 06-30 09:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe8d587… |
| 06-30 09:12:08 | Drafty-Gravy 0xc705…b71a | No | SELL | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xe8d587… |
| 06-30 09:03:16 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 49 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc55f8d… |
| 06-30 09:03:16 | Probable-Bandwidth 0x08d0…7155 | No | SELL | 49 | 100¢ | $48 | 0xc55f8d… |
| 06-30 09:01:59 | Humming-Tip 0x70df…218c | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0xde7338… |
| 06-30 09:01:59 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde7338… |
| 06-30 08:27:41 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x4441c1… |
| 06-30 08:27:41 | Lost-Locket 0xc2b4…9549 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x4441c1… |
| 06-30 08:13:52 | (anonymous) 0x5615…3bb2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecfca6… |
| 06-30 08:13:52 | Busy-Alibi 0xe7b8…c60a | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xecfca6… |
| 06-30 08:11:59 | Potable-Motorboat 0x4e30…da8b | No | BUY | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x607aab… |
| 06-30 08:11:59 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 42 | 100¢ | $42 | 0x607aab… |
| 06-30 07:40:26 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x3d71a3… |
| 06-30 07:40:26 | Extra-Small-Domain 0x4c7a…356a | No | BUY | 48 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x3d71a3… |
| 06-30 07:27:41 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xfc5fcb… |
| 06-30 07:27:41 | Drafty-Gravy 0xc705…b71a | No | BUY | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xfc5fcb… |
| 06-30 07:09:22 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 49 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x3fec6d… |
| 06-30 07:09:22 | Probable-Bandwidth 0x08d0…7155 | No | BUY | 49 | 100¢ | $48 | 0x3fec6d… |
| 06-30 07:06:52 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x911450… |
| 06-30 07:06:52 | Humming-Tip 0x70df…218c | No | BUY | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x911450… |
| 06-30 00:14:49 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x88850c… |
| 06-30 00:14:49 | Impossible-Spy 0x0ae3…8269 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x88850c… |
| 06-30 00:04:14 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 2,809 | 100¢ | $2,806 | 0x926f20… |
| 06-30 00:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x987e…c3bd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x926f20… |
| 06-30 00:04:14 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 3,009 | 100¢ | $3,006 | 0x926f20… |
| 06-29 23:36:28 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x752d41… |
| 06-29 23:36:28 | Yellow-Suppression 0x34a9…85f1 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x752d41… |
| 06-29 23:32:22 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 167 | 100¢ | $166 | 0x2a41e8… |
| 06-29 23:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x5fb2…2173 | Yes | SELL | 167 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a41e8… |
| 06-29 23:03:44 | Guilty-Ring 0xedb6…8221 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf85dc2… |
| 06-29 23:03:44 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf85dc2… |
| 06-29 15:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xdbee…2e2e | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x834e0c… |
| 06-29 15:59:46 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x834e0c… |
| 06-29 15:59:07 | (anonymous) 0xdbee…2e2e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x43f243… |
| 06-29 15:59:07 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x43f243… |
| 06-29 15:56:04 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5f765f… |
| 06-29 15:56:04 | (anonymous) 0xa39f…dce1 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5f765f… |
| 06-29 15:55:43 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcb39bf… |
| 06-29 15:55:43 | (anonymous) 0x403b…3f39 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcb39bf… |
| 06-29 15:55:26 | (anonymous) 0xa39f…dce1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe17247… |
| 06-29 15:55:26 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xe17247… |
| 06-29 15:55:04 | (anonymous) 0x403b…3f39 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2c08df… |
| 06-29 15:55:04 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2c08df… |
| 06-29 15:52:32 | (anonymous) 0x0f56…5810 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa07f9e… |
| 06-29 15:52:32 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa07f9e… |
| 06-29 15:52:13 | (anonymous) 0x0f56…5810 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2c4300… |
| 06-29 15:52:13 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2c4300… |
| 06-29 15:51:29 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0ed776… |
| 06-29 15:51:29 | (anonymous) 0xdbee…2e2e | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0ed776… |
| 06-29 15:51:13 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x42a1fa… |
| 06-29 15:51:13 | (anonymous) 0xdbee…2e2e | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x42a1fa… |
| 06-29 15:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x6ba6…251f | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3f6ab0… |
| 06-29 15:50:22 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3f6ab0… |
| 06-29 15:49:59 | (anonymous) 0x6ba6…251f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x029435… |
| 06-29 15:49:59 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x029435… |
| 06-29 15:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xc5e0…accb | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcd33b0… |
| 06-29 15:46:14 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xcd33b0… |
| 06-29 15:45:53 | (anonymous) 0x615b…876b | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x43eb44… |
| 06-29 15:45:53 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x43eb44… |
| 06-29 15:45:47 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x57136b… |
| 06-29 15:45:47 | (anonymous) 0xc5e0…accb | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x57136b… |
| 06-29 15:45:22 | (anonymous) 0x615b…876b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x828c1b… |
| 06-29 15:45:22 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x828c1b… |
| 06-29 15:44:07 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x628ca3… |
| 06-29 15:44:07 | (anonymous) 0x19a3…0254 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x628ca3… |
| 06-29 15:43:56 | (anonymous) 0xcd78…974c | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xda3ed2… |
| 06-29 15:43:56 | Thankful-Contention 0x4985…28bd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xda3ed2… |
| 06-29 15:43:49 | (anonymous) 0x19a3…0254 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8543f9… |
| 06-29 15:43:49 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8543f9… |
| 06-29 15:43:38 | (anonymous) 0xcd78…974c | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xd0f22d… |