Thankful-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,268

lifetime

Volume

$603.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$476

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-25 22:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Politics

68% 89% -$2,839

Other

28% 60% +$27,267

Sports

3% 100% +$112

Tech

1% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	630	$94.0K	52,107	42,303	+9,804	No	+$148	07-01 00:55
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$65.8K	33,000	33,000	+0	No	+$165	02-24 04:42
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	16	$49.6K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$50	02-22 00:37
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	12	$48.3K	48,601	0	+48,601	Yes	+$260	09-20 23:38
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	24	$37.1K	37,270	0	+37,270	Yes	+$146	10-25 22:31
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	14	$34.2K	34,500	0	+34,500	No	+$310	02-25 16:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	16	$33.8K	34,220	0	+34,220	No	+$454	02-24 22:04
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$32.9K	33,000	0	+33,000	No	+$132	02-23 01:22
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	29	$31.3K	34,010	0	+34,010	No	+$2,742	02-20 11:56
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	42	$21.7K	16,513	14,350	+2,163	Yes	+$1,164	09-20 21:36
will china record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 113	28	$17.7K	8,942	8,942	+0	Yes	+$112	02-18 11:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	9	$15.3K	15,350	0	+15,350	No	+$58	10-25 22:49
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	4	$11.4K	11,519	0	+11,519	No	+$85	01-18 01:49
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	72	$10.9K	20,890	0	+20,890	No	+$9,968	05-30 18:25
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	8	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$155	01-13 00:38
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	7	$9.7K	9,850	0	+9,850	No	+$108	02-19 15:47
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$6.9K	7,102	0	+7,102	No	+$199	01-23 23:12
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	4	$5.6K	4,368	2,500	+1,868	No	+$1,221	05-15 23:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$5.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	Yes	-$4,976	02-28 19:41
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	4	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$31	02-27 23:26
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	11	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$24	05-12 23:53
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	8	$4.2K	3,089	3,089	+0	Virtus.pro	+$0	05-14 15:19
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	38	$4.1K	4,901	2,000	+2,901	Rajasthan Royals	-$903	05-19 17:52
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	3	$3.9K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$102	02-18 16:33
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$3.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	Yes	+$14	01-18 23:46
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	11	$3.7K	9,577	0	+9,577	Finland	+$5,863	05-30 15:45
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	39	$3.3K	13,685	0	+13,685	No	-$3,284	04-11 07:32
will two people exchanging saliva win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	8	$2.7K	5,255	0	+5,255	No	+$2,575	03-15 22:31
ucl bvb int 2026 01 28 int	3	$2.7K	6,683	0	+6,683	Yes	+$4,010	01-28 19:29
will slovakia pass the 2026 referendum question cancelling the lifetime annuity for politicians 20260623184301114	5	$2.2K	2,179	0	+2,179	No	+$24	07-05 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:49:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x57be84…
10-25 22:38:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,790	100¢	$1,783	0x8ea1ac…
10-25 22:35:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f96da…
10-25 22:35:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,194	100¢	$6,170	0x35eb45…
10-25 22:31:41	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	8,178	100¢	$8,145	0x899ea5…
10-25 22:31:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xdde439…
10-25 22:29:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfede44…
10-25 22:28:29	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3f4f33…
10-25 22:26:11	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,651	100¢	$1,645	0x67e4ec…
10-25 22:25:41	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,800	100¢	$3,785	0xc2286f…
10-25 22:25:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	899	100¢	$895	0x0c796b…
10-25 22:24:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x92b871…
10-25 22:22:00	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,976	0xd67905…
10-25 22:21:50	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xeb085d…
10-25 22:20:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	989	100¢	$985	0x6afd8b…
10-25 22:19:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0bf4cd…
10-25 22:18:57	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd63fe3…
10-25 22:18:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfa456f…
10-25 22:18:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	556	100¢	$554	0x287cd1…
10-25 22:18:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3,419	100¢	$3,406	0x6ed850…
10-25 22:15:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0xdb64b8…
10-25 22:14:12	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,980	0x7ab9bc…
10-25 22:12:51	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa1a29a…
10-25 22:11:17	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	2,812	100¢	$2,804	0xe9f49e…
10-25 22:10:51	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd5755e…
10-25 22:10:48	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x494eec…
10-25 22:10:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd87522…
10-25 22:09:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0x7cce52…
10-25 22:09:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,759	100¢	$1,754	0x67a114…
10-25 22:09:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4,720	100¢	$4,705	0x0b51c7…
10-25 22:07:50	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,915	100¢	$1,906	0xb45f98…
10-25 22:07:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	700	99¢	$696	0xf78b38…
10-25 22:06:45	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xf43d45…
10-25 11:57:41	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	367	100¢	$367	0x7ec1b6…
10-25 11:41:26	Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xbf4d8f…
10-25 11:41:26	Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$138	0x06dcbf…
10-25 11:34:18	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xab4b65…
10-25 11:27:26	Will Jozef Králik win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0xe48c70…
10-25 11:25:29	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfbadd4…
10-25 11:25:20	Will Ján Nosko win the 2026 Banská Bystrica mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x29990b…
10-25 11:22:21	Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	722	100¢	$721	0x29d2ca…
10-25 11:20:59	Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,190	100¢	$1,188	0x918623…
10-25 11:19:47	Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1,591	100¢	$1,590	0x448b2f…
10-25 00:51:27	Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xafaeb0…
10-25 00:43:15	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x363c6e…
10-25 00:34:36	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	180	0¢	$0	0x885112…
10-25 00:28:14	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	319	0¢	$0	0x268eb3…
10-25 00:21:50	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x68609d…
10-25 00:18:50	Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	490	100¢	$488	0xd8a87f…
10-25 00:03:24	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x59b934…
10-24 23:58:41	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x56030a…
10-24 23:58:30	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0x19b1dd…
10-24 23:57:06	Will Miloš Mičega win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x208901…
10-24 23:55:27	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x994b18…
10-24 23:55:26	Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xf69fc9…
10-24 23:38:17	Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	662	100¢	$661	0xf63d56…
10-24 23:35:11	Will József Berényi win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	509	100¢	$508	0x10f8a0…
10-24 23:18:29	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe7bb0c…
10-24 23:18:27	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd493b…
10-24 23:18:26	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe1632d…
10-24 23:18:18	Will Jaroslav Baška win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	486	100¢	$485	0xb2c4a5…
10-24 22:52:15	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xadf75e…
10-24 22:51:56	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4bc7b…
10-24 22:06:06	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x5fce4a…
10-24 22:05:06	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xeb9212…
10-24 19:15:18	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	144	9¢	$13	0xde0ff0…
10-24 19:15:18	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	125	9¢	$11	0xd5d409…
10-24 18:02:29	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x44bcd5…
10-24 18:02:27	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0x6709cc…
10-24 17:54:24	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x6e9006…
10-24 14:06:29	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xf1371e…
10-24 14:01:38	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe9e7d5…
10-24 11:35:53	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x3a8aff…
10-24 11:35:21	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	92	9¢	$8	0x78bacb…
10-24 07:36:02	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xb8ecf9…
10-23 20:48:35	Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	299	9¢	$27	0xf8a623…
10-23 20:44:27	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	936	99¢	$927	0xe80658…
10-23 20:44:27	Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x30fe81…
10-23 20:40:00	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0c1ecd…
10-23 20:38:54	Will Igor Choma win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x61e48c…
10-10 15:12:57	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	179	44¢	$79	0x6076b4…
10-10 15:11:42	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	225	47¢	$106	0xe0690e…
10-10 14:56:21	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfff5b2…
10-10 14:56:21	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf7c98b…
10-10 14:56:21	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x9048ab…
10-10 14:53:42	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xfd8046…
10-10 14:51:16	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8077f6…
10-10 14:08:12	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x83cf25…
10-10 07:14:12	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4ed272…
10-10 02:53:44	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc2d561…
10-10 02:53:44	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x245e2e…
10-09 22:49:02	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0xdc6711…
10-09 22:45:26	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	152	44¢	$67	0x4e05be…
10-09 22:27:34	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	87	43¢	$37	0xce0758…
10-09 18:53:20	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x3e4c9a…
10-09 18:53:07	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xded616…
10-09 18:53:07	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-09?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4e72fe…
10-09 18:35:14	Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x4e59d4…
09-24 15:58:33	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	1,148	22¢	$253	0x244647…
09-24 15:55:47	Will Andorra win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0x610127…