Skeletal-Cheetah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.89K

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$94.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$316

Open exposure

$16.2K

8 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-30 09:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$609

Other

30% 100% +$390

Politics

26% 89% +$288

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-9,500	-$5,419	88¢	$-8312	-$2,894	09-07 21:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	+4,419	$4,355	100¢	$4.4K	+$53	10-07 02:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	+1,525	$1,500	100¢	$1.5K	+$21	10-17 17:17
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	-959	-$920	93¢	$-892	+$28	10-29 20:10
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-700	-$402	76¢	$-528	-$127	10-23 18:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+400	$260	72¢	$290	+$30	09-08 04:42
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+300	$258	86¢	$257	-$1	10-22 03:29
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	+0	-$2	100¢	$0	+$2	10-25 00:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	9	$10.1K	10,200	0	+10,200	No	+$83	08-05 06:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	5	$7.2K	7,327	0	+7,327	No	+$127	09-17 19:08
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	9	$6.2K	6,387	0	+6,387	No	+$166	02-25 21:42
trump out as president by march 31	10	$6.0K	4,000	2,040	+1,960	No	+$66	03-21 20:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$5.4K	0	9,500	-9,500	open	—	09-07 21:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	7	$4.6K	4,666	0	+4,666	No	+$53	05-06 19:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	6	$4.4K	4,419	0	+4,419	open	—	10-07 02:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$26	06-14 21:42
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	41	$3.9K	4,024	0	+4,024	No	+$138	05-28 02:37
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?	16	$3.8K	3,843	0	+3,843	No	+$26	06-20 18:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	4	$3.5K	3,522	0	+3,522	No	+$39	09-14 14:37
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$78	04-09 23:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,290	1,290	+0	open	—	09-17 19:08
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$22	03-04 21:50
Trump out as President by May 31?	6	$1.9K	788	1,124	-336	No	+$12	05-23 15:47
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	11	$1.9K	1,900	0	+1,900	No	+$20	06-14 04:32
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	11	$1.8K	541	1,500	-959	open	—	10-29 20:10
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	13	$1.8K	1,408	554	+854	open	—	10-30 09:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	2	$1.5K	1,525	0	+1,525	open	—	10-17 17:17
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$1.4K	1,400	0	+1,400	No	+$14	03-21 20:17
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	12	$1.4K	1,371	0	+1,371	No	+$10	06-17 05:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	10-28 17:19
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$1.0K	300	800	-500	No	-$24	02-22 17:18
Netanyahu out by May 31?	1	$1000	1,034	0	+1,034	No	+$34	04-29 09:37
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$1000	1,005	0	+1,005	No	+$5	10-06 17:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$996	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$4	05-23 15:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$885	900	0	+900	No	+$15	04-07 20:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$856	800	800	+0	open	—	10-18 22:42
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	1	$811	844	0	+844	open	—	10-10 22:41
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	8	$659	1,118	0	+1,118	open	—	10-28 16:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:18:22	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	554	98¢	$541	0x092f80…
10-29 20:10:24	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	870	92¢	$800	0x877008…
10-29 16:17:19	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x843c48…
10-29 06:52:04	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x159ce5…
10-28 17:19:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	191	93¢	$177	0x9ef92d…
10-28 16:35:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf629c9…
10-28 16:35:23	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,108	93¢	$1,030	0xbd6f0d…
10-28 16:29:31	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0x68500e…
10-26 23:10:30	bill maher visits white house again in 2026	No	BUY	202	91¢	$184	0x077dc7…
10-25 19:15:56	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3c63c4…
10-25 00:00:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	255	98¢	$251	0x643104…
10-24 23:39:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6a2efd…
10-24 23:34:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x5ca24c…
10-24 23:32:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdc8ff2…
10-24 21:37:38	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x40efe2…
10-24 20:52:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0xd0defd…
10-24 20:45:09	Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$337	0x116d1c…
10-24 20:43:06	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	491	61¢	$300	0x50b44f…
10-23 23:23:02	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	153	55¢	$84	0x138170…
10-23 18:07:21	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	57¢	$86	0xfdae35…
10-23 03:54:38	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	385	92¢	$354	0x15aecf…
10-22 18:30:30	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	92¢	$102	0x10390b…
10-22 03:29:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x3cf49f…
10-21 17:22:50	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0f9d7f…
10-21 15:19:56	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xc130a5…
10-21 15:13:30	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x561987…
10-21 15:11:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xf44aae…
10-21 00:37:15	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x991a86…
10-20 23:37:05	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xcb59ab…
10-20 23:28:35	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x618118…
10-20 23:27:27	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0xb2b381…
10-20 23:27:23	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x18a292…
10-20 23:27:15	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x545a52…
10-20 23:27:12	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x319870…
10-20 23:27:08	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x53de6f…
10-18 22:42:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	160	59¢	$94	0x02ee86…
10-18 18:15:15	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0xa3765c…
10-18 18:14:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	640	59¢	$378	0xca6b0e…
10-18 14:58:41	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x90de1f…
10-17 20:32:00	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x3aff8a…
10-17 17:23:59	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	255	64¢	$164	0x2036ce…
10-17 17:22:57	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x44c4e6…
10-17 17:20:32	Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2ff20c…
10-17 17:20:03	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xfa678b…
10-17 17:18:11	Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x4a29ce…
10-17 17:17:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x90a521…
10-15 07:56:44	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	250	30¢	$74	0x02de58…
10-13 06:59:20	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x44187b…
10-12 02:32:51	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	62¢	$87	0x6680ae…
10-11 03:11:45	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	62¢	$33	0x4a0bd1…
10-11 03:01:14	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xa22754…
10-10 22:41:37	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	No	BUY	844	96¢	$811	0xb7eaec…
10-10 22:41:04	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	249	96¢	$239	0x10d6d1…
10-10 22:40:13	Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0xd838ef…
10-10 22:33:46	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	510	62¢	$315	0xe75ea6…
10-10 22:30:16	Will Axis launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	212	76¢	$161	0xdb0fc6…
10-10 22:13:25	Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x6d8d99…
10-10 22:11:58	Will Neutrl launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	504	79¢	$400	0x9aa13d…
10-10 22:08:37	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xf6999e…
10-10 22:06:10	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x16c7c8…
10-10 22:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0xbe33bb…
10-08 14:25:54	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0xdbdb1f…
10-08 14:25:44	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xe16fb6…
10-07 02:14:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	277	99¢	$274	0x9c600f…
10-06 20:50:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	832	99¢	$821	0x9b7c6e…
10-06 18:37:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	885	99¢	$874	0x435ff5…
10-06 17:09:05	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,005	100¢	$1,000	0xf9275f…
10-06 17:07:30	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	371	30¢	$113	0xd5ddfb…
10-06 17:06:38	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	233	98¢	$227	0xc88e65…
10-06 17:04:47	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xae762f…
10-06 17:04:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd2732…
10-06 15:39:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x2550ba…
10-06 15:39:00	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	34¢	$29	0x7511a8…
10-06 14:57:26	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	127	22¢	$28	0x7b5b81…
10-06 14:31:24	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xeef654…
10-06 14:28:30	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	168	51¢	$86	0xa32d1b…
10-06 14:17:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xb6acf1…
10-06 14:17:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa3a421…
10-06 14:17:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	311	34¢	$106	0x76fd82…
10-05 22:36:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,200	98¢	$1,181	0xdbd68d…
10-05 19:55:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,219	98¢	$1,200	0x96e4cc…
10-05 19:55:02	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x2ba8e6…
10-05 19:54:53	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	283	85¢	$240	0xb76067…
09-29 13:39:03	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	74	35¢	$26	0xfc8fbc…
09-28 14:11:24	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x5e08da…
09-28 14:11:05	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	39	50¢	$19	0x8b196a…
09-28 12:58:20	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	72	43¢	$31	0xd8e7a7…
09-28 12:57:23	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xb45a17…
09-28 12:51:12	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xa14ffd…
09-28 12:36:36	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xd933cf…
09-28 12:26:03	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	138	51¢	$70	0x069d7c…
09-28 12:25:39	jumper fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	BUY	127	17¢	$22	0x8fca69…
09-28 12:25:27	Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	235	37¢	$87	0xf19095…
09-24 19:58:41	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5,317	2¢	$90	0x48c1fa…
09-24 15:54:20	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xcfb76f…
09-24 08:42:51	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xc046a7…
09-24 08:42:51	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0x5bf771…
09-24 06:10:02	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x4fff30…
09-20 10:21:07	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x25d667…
09-19 11:51:36	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xe4472b…