Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$217

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-15 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$5

Other

21% — —

Crypto

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+34	$10	27¢	$9	$-1	06-15 17:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+125	$5	6¢	$7	+$2	06-15 17:20
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	+1,225	$5	0¢	$6	+$1	06-16 01:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	+36	$5	14¢	$5	$-0	06-15 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+21	$5	18¢	$4	$-1	06-15 17:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 01:46:49	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	Yes	BUY	1,225	0¢	$5	0xe2a48f…
06-15 17:31:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfa6687…
06-15 17:31:27	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x66995e…
06-15 17:20:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xeeb30b…
06-15 17:19:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x027d20…
06-15 17:19:49	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xb33622…
06-15 17:19:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8a4962…
03-17 11:50:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x32b5a8…
03-06 06:30:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf308e7…
03-03 07:32:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d00bd…
03-03 07:32:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe3ff4b…
03-03 07:32:43	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x428dc6…
03-01 10:40:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xae8f6e…
03-01 02:03:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x49bd0d…
03-01 02:03:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb1e572…
03-01 02:03:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1a25b6…
03-01 02:02:51	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x0e7ec9…
03-01 02:01:55	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd66bb3…
03-01 02:00:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x84f3e3…
03-01 01:58:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x049848…
01-22 11:34:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x8e4e36…
01-22 11:34:46	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x6b4ef6…
01-22 11:34:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x853663…
01-18 06:11:32	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x57f077…
01-18 02:17:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x448317…
01-16 07:29:16	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7dff3f…
01-16 07:28:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x474134…
01-16 07:25:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe82300…
01-16 07:25:40	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x7bfab1…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	01-16 07:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	03-01 02:00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	01-22 11:34
ice shooter charged by march 31	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	01-22 11:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$13	25	3	+22	open	—	03-17 11:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	01-22 11:34
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$10	143	0	+143	open	—	06-15 17:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	06-15 17:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-01 01:58
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	1	$5	1,225	0	+1,225	open	—	06-16 01:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	125	0	+125	open	—	06-15 17:20
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	03-01 10:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	06-15 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5	21	0	+21	open	—	06-15 17:19
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	06-15 17:31
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-03 07:32
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	03-01 02:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	03-01 02:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-03 07:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	03-01 02:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$1	21	0	+21	open	—	03-01 02:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	03-01 02:03