Realized P&L
+$2.38K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,013
lifetime
Volume
$6.69M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6.60K
Open exposure
$380.2K
27 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-30 12:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
52% 100% +$795
Other
38% 100% +$1,587
Crypto
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +56,784 $56,727 100¢ $56.7K $-0 06-27 21:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +50,000 $49,950 100¢ $50.0K +$0 06-27 04:08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +50,000 $49,900 100¢ $50.0K +$50 06-27 15:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? No +45,600 $45,539 100¢ $45.6K +$16 06-27 15:10
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No +30,000 $29,970 100¢ $30.0K +$0 06-28 19:49
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +25,017 $24,991 100¢ $25.0K +$1 06-26 08:23
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30? No +18,259 $18,241 100¢ $18.2K +$0 06-27 04:25
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +15,000 $14,985 100¢ $15.0K +$0 06-27 13:42
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump? No +14,155 $14,141 100¢ $14.1K $-14 06-27 03:59
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +13,520 $13,493 100¢ $13.5K +$14 06-27 03:43
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +10,364 $10,351 100¢ $10.4K +$2 06-26 08:24
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? No +10,000 $9,990 100¢ $10.0K +$0 06-27 05:04
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No +10,000 $9,990 100¢ $10.0K $-10 06-27 04:51
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? No +10,000 $9,990 100¢ $10.0K $-10 06-27 14:03
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? No +5,872 $5,867 100¢ $5.9K +$0 06-30 12:57
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +4,535 $4,530 100¢ $4.5K +$1 06-26 08:23
Over $20M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +3,990 $3,986 100¢ $4.0K $-12 06-27 03:53
Over $30M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,409 $1,408 100¢ $1.4K $-4 06-27 03:52
Over $15M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,358 $1,357 100¢ $1.4K $-2 06-27 03:53
Over $8M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +1,107 $1,105 99¢ $1.1K $-11 06-27 03:53
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? No +802 $797 100¢ $801 +$4 06-28 19:54
Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +776 $775 100¢ $773 $-2 06-27 03:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +632 $630 99¢ $628 $-1 06-27 15:28
Over $50M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +601 $600 100¢ $598 $-2 06-27 03:52
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30? No +470 $467 100¢ $469 +$1 06-28 14:42
Over $80M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +353 $352 100¢ $352 $-1 06-27 03:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-29 03:50