Realized P&L
-$1.06K
Unrealized P&L
+$285
Hit rate
52.8%
Resolved
236
Trades
1,355
lifetime
Volume
$54.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$1.31K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 10-28 08:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Politics
66% 28% +$844
Other
22% 21% -$980
Sports
6% 10% -$112
Tech
5% 26% -$699
Crypto
1% 25% -$118
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -464 -$370 97¢ $-451 -$81 07-06 18:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,500 $398 20¢ $292 -$105 08-27 07:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -200 -$88 68¢ $-137 -$49 06-15 12:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +200 $9 61¢ $121 +$112 08-05 21:10
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,639 -$375 7¢ $-115 +$260 06-10 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +100 -$51 88¢ $88 +$140 09-24 20:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $51 40¢ $40 -$10 10-28 08:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +100 $9 26¢ $26 +$17 09-14 02:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +300 $27 8¢ $23 -$4 10-28 08:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +100 $7 10¢ $10 +$3 09-20 23:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +100 $6 10¢ $10 +$4 09-07 17:35