Realized P&L
-$399
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
7
Trades
701
lifetime
Volume
$32.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$710
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 06-09 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
76% 67% $-67
Other
16% 0% $-296
Tech
6% 100% +$24
Crypto
2%
Sports
0% 0% $-60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-327 84¢ $-334 $-7 06-07 22:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +400 $208 70¢ $280 +$72 06-01 12:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $48 32¢ $65 +$17 05-29 23:47
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -129 $-26 18¢ $-23 +$3 05-28 17:17
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? Yes +1,000 $9 $6 $-3 06-06 22:35
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +1,038 $3 $3 $-1 06-08 02:15