Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
open
Total volume
$9,536
$798 in 24h
Trades
596
Unique wallets
112
Liquidity
$1,060
End date
2027-01-01
First seen
2026-07-24
last 10-27 04:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.4¢
(top1%: 7% YES on $2.4K
vs crowd: 12% YES on $6.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 25 | $330 | $4.2K | $3.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 45 | $245 | $800 | $556 |
| 🐟 Fish | 37 | $125 | $498 | $373 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $28 | $4 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 13 | $175 | $2.2K | $2.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $58 | $332 | $274 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $4 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 8 | $23 | $169 | $146 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $54 | $180 | $126 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 23 | $87 | $575 | $488 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 37 | $309 | $2.0K | $1.7K |
| unranked | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | +1,049 | $899 | $1,519 | 28 | 10-26 14:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +630 | $78 | $78 | 26 | 10-26 14:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +408 | $21 | $21 | 8 | 10-26 14:16 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +396 | $313 | $347 | 17 | 10-10 20:19 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | +298 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 09-24 13:55 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | No | +298 | $241 | $419 | 2 | 10-05 21:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xee82…fd8c | Yes | +284 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-12 07:44 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +190 | $168 | $168 | 9 | 09-29 03:27 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +188 | $171 | $1,276 | 24 | 10-10 20:19 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +188 | $28 | $49 | 10 | 10-10 04:49 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +124 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 09-29 02:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | No | +121 | $107 | $107 | 7 | 09-29 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | +121 | $17 | $17 | 9 | 09-29 03:27 |
| Warm-Habitat 0x0049…6034 | No | +116 | $105 | $105 | 2 | 08-30 22:23 |
| Melodic-Cria 0xf971…0a57 | Yes | +83 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-29 06:43 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +75 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 08-31 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +68 | $9 | $19 | 7 | 10-26 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +68 | $62 | $62 | 3 | 10-26 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | Yes | +60 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 09-29 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x90c5…45e6 | No | +60 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 09-29 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x9765…a019 | Yes | +59 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-25 19:27 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | +53 | $9 | $26 | 3 | 10-12 14:03 |
| Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | +53 | $48 | $82 | 4 | 10-12 14:01 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 10-11 14:47 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +40 | $36 | $37 | 3 | 10-10 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 10-19 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 10-19 05:32 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +37 | $0 | $28 | 16 | 10-27 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b34…b202 | No | +30 | $27 | $157 | 4 | 08-15 14:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-10 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-10 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-26 02:44 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-03 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 16:36 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-29 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbc8…4f5b | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-26 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-19 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-25 07:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 09-25 07:19 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 08-03 14:41 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-29 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-07 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa01…800a | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-27 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-07 15:41 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-29 14:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-19 05:32 |
| Amusing-Fabric 0x9010…d06f | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-24 16:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-19 05:32 |
| Unfinished-Precedence 0x8031…c84c | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-29 02:34 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-26 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-05 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | +5 | $5 | $14 | 4 | 10-27 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-27 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d7c…ef17 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-23 12:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-07 16:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | +1 | $0 | $26 | 2 | 10-20 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x734b…2a2c | No | +1 | $2 | $55 | 6 | 08-14 19:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 04:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x15bd6f… |
| 10-27 04:34:29 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x15bd6f… |
| 10-27 04:34:29 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x15bd6f… |
| 10-27 04:34:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 62 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x15bd6f… |
| 10-27 04:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x214246… |
| 10-27 04:33:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x214246… |
| 10-27 04:32:59 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 78 | 93¢ | $73 | 0x811c9b… |
| 10-27 04:32:59 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 78 | 93¢ | $73 | 0x811c9b… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xbdf9…7083 | No | BUY | 22 | 93¢ | $20 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | Complex-Formation 0xda91…9ffd | No | SELL | 131 | 93¢ | $122 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 79 | 93¢ | $73 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-27 04:32:57 | (anonymous) 0xfa01…800a | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x1b2844… |
| 10-26 14:17:35 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbec08d… |
| 10-26 14:17:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xbec08d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | SELL | 71 | 96¢ | $68 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0xf07dac… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 280 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf07dac… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Cheerful-Nucleotidase 0x8df9…468c | Yes | SELL | 455 | 3¢ | $16 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 0 | 92¢ | $0 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-26 14:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x0faf3d… |
| 10-23 12:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xb5bb51… |
| 10-23 12:09:12 | (anonymous) 0x1d7c…ef17 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0xb5bb51… |
| 10-20 14:33:53 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | SELL | 14 | 91¢ | $13 | 0x65e7d1… |
| 10-20 14:33:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x65e7d1… |
| 10-19 16:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x37195f… |
| 10-19 16:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x37195f… |
| 10-19 14:54:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x4a3a66… |
| 10-19 14:54:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x4a3a66… |
| 10-19 05:33:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x45db29… |
| 10-19 05:33:11 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x45db29… |
| 10-19 05:33:06 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x93f0a3… |
| 10-19 05:33:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x93f0a3… |
| 10-19 05:33:05 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xb0b43a… |
| 10-19 05:33:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb0b43a… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | Complex-Formation 0xda91…9ffd | No | BUY | 131 | 87¢ | $114 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x24f9f2… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x851c19… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9903a0… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 88¢ | $21 | 0x595485… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $16 | 0x48cfc2… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x9903a0… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x48cfc2… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x595485… |
| 10-19 05:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x851c19… |
| 10-18 02:50:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x5d891c… |
| 10-18 02:50:41 | (anonymous) 0x033b…5fd4 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x5d891c… |
| 10-12 14:03:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xe75f7a… |
| 10-12 14:03:18 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xe75f7a… |
| 10-12 14:01:21 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xdcfb1d… |
| 10-12 14:01:21 | Flamboyant-Merit 0xb431…82ec | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xdcfb1d… |
| 10-11 14:47:21 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb2991a… |
| 10-11 14:47:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb2991a… |
| 10-10 20:19:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 49 | 86¢ | $42 | 0x76dac5… |
| 10-10 20:19:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 49 | 86¢ | $42 | 0x76dac5… |
| 10-10 04:49:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x386e51… |
| 10-10 04:49:06 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x386e51… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 209 | 10¢ | $21 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x40ae54… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb4df4e… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | BUY | 40 | 90¢ | $36 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 81 | 90¢ | $73 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x40ae54… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5bae3c… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb4df4e… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x5bae3c… |
| 10-10 04:49:04 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x50f046… |
| 10-08 10:16:38 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9d798f… |
| 10-08 10:16:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x9d798f… |
| 10-07 17:22:47 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa24925… |
| 10-07 17:22:47 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xa24925… |
| 10-07 16:36:04 | (anonymous) 0xa1cc…fa62 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x9b0f01… |
| 10-07 16:36:04 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x9b0f01… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | SELL | 30 | 84¢ | $25 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0xd6f39e… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0xc47e04… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | No | BUY | 264 | 84¢ | $223 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc47e04… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x2ccf…5f6a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xd6f39e… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x42351b… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc47e04… |
| 10-07 16:36:01 | (anonymous) 0x8467…d3ed | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x42351b… |