Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
888
lifetime
Volume
$177.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$200
Open exposure
$155
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
38% 0% $-8
Other
31%
Crypto
18% 0% $-5
Tech
9%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +340 $71 21¢ $71 $-0 07-17 02:52
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +89 $29 38¢ $33 +$4 07-03 16:40
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -359 $-12 $-16 $-4 07-17 19:30
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +350 $16 $16 $-0 07-05 11:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -300 $-7 $-11 $-4 07-13 21:30
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -40 $-8 20¢ $-8 $-0 07-13 21:33