Accomplished-Refrigerator 0xe38ee6…6850c8
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$11.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$965
Hit rate
60.6%
Resolved
288
Trades
2,612
lifetime
Volume
$382.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
$12.1K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
33% 48% -$7,177
Politics
30% 30% -$7,542
Tech
25% 67% +$8,079
Crypto
9% 38% -$1,649
Sports
3% 0% -$3,359
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +16,564 $9,820 56¢ $9.2K -$627 10-19 14:38
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128 Yes +1,000 $850 94¢ $935 +$85 10-22 20:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +1,000 $390 44¢ $440 +$50 10-22 12:59
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? Yes +1,108 $500 37¢ $410 -$90 10-26 16:43
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,700 $353 12¢ $323 -$30 10-27 14:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $252 68¢ $270 +$18 10-26 20:53
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? Yes +1,714 $120 8¢ $129 +$9 09-28 11:13
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,267 $90 1¢ $91 +$0 09-19 20:18
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher? No +241 $99 36¢ $86 -$13 10-12 16:43
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,000 $285 5¢ $50 -$235 10-19 13:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -55 -$31 86¢ $-47 -$16 05-06 16:20
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,000 $26 2¢ $31 +$5 10-27 01:22
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +500 $47 5¢ $23 -$24 05-21 10:31
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,800 $35 1¢ $15 -$19 07-22 12:29
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +400 $96 2¢ $9 -$87 10-26 13:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +350 $16 2¢ $9 -$7 07-05 11:28
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$0 10-23 16:52
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -59 $15 2¢ $-1 -$17 07-17 19:30
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$8 3¢ $-1 +$6 07-13 21:33
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -60 -$1 2¢ $-1 +$0 07-02 07:57
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -80 -$8 0¢ $-0 +$8 06-15 07:02
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -10 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-02 07:56
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 -$18 17¢ $0 +$18 10-24 13:09