Accomplished-Refrigerator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

981

lifetime

Volume

$182.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

38% 0% $-8

Other

32% — —

Crypto

17% 0% $-5

Tech

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	26	$23.2K	23,000	28,080	-5,080	open	—	06-02 10:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$17.7K	14,210	13,210	+1,000	open	—	04-10 09:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	30	$15.9K	13,003	13,002	+0	open	—	06-19 00:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	25	$12.0K	14,000	14,000	+0	open	—	06-15 14:29
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	16	$10.4K	6,400	6,400	+0	open	—	06-15 09:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	46	$8.0K	7,414	7,413	+0	open	—	05-12 09:10
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	15	$4.9K	3,936	3,936	+0	open	—	07-07 18:08
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	38	$4.6K	3,346	3,346	+0	open	—	06-24 17:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	33	$4.4K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	open	—	06-29 10:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$4.1K	2,180	2,180	+0	open	—	04-04 13:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	18	$4.0K	5,437	0	+5,437	open	—	04-22 09:49
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$3.9K	31,015	31,015	+0	open	—	06-21 14:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$3.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-31 09:11
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	5	$2.9K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	06-24 20:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	11	$2.9K	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	07-05 09:58
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	9	$2.7K	3,550	1,550	+2,000	open	—	07-05 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$2.6K	2,850	2,850	+0	open	—	06-14 21:18
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	20	$2.1K	3,229	3,767	-538	open	—	06-24 15:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	3	$2.1K	1,088	1,088	+0	open	—	05-12 02:07
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-03 20:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-08 02:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	19	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-05 14:26
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total home 1pt5	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-02 20:32
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	24	$1.7K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	08-07 07:11
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-23 00:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	34	$1.7K	52,100	52,100	+0	open	—	04-26 23:14
will bitcoin dip to 65k in june 2026	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-03 20:46
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$1.4K	2,110	2,110	+0	open	—	07-14 20:20
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	4	$1.4K	1,125	820	+305	open	—	06-26 19:53
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	20	$1.4K	2,018	2,018	+0	open	—	06-30 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:04:28	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	800	2¢	$12	0x2c7406…
08-10 07:48:04	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xccf7ac…
08-10 07:19:09	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0e17ab…
08-10 07:14:19	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 4 10	Yes	SELL	273	3¢	$8	0x6a27ab…
08-09 13:48:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 4 10	Yes	BUY	273	15¢	$40	0xe755cd…
08-09 13:44:16	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	131	31¢	$40	0x8ed032…
08-09 13:43:25	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x4a6a36…
08-09 09:41:07	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 4 10	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xed2858…
08-08 09:14:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x98dffa…
08-07 08:43:13	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1520 by december 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0xfe51a1…
08-07 07:27:36	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x94b17d…
08-07 07:11:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1,110	86¢	$955	0xb72e34…
08-07 06:18:31	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	SELL	430	5¢	$21	0xbe415d…
08-05 11:40:06	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	430	7¢	$30	0xe6617d…
08-04 18:08:27	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	481	27¢	$130	0x15bbbb…
08-04 16:38:02	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	59	38¢	$22	0xb6f831…
08-04 16:37:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x671d3d…
08-04 16:36:41	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x261167…
08-04 16:36:14	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb323a9…
08-04 16:35:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4089c…
08-04 16:34:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x580b34…
08-04 16:33:21	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd6e943…
08-04 16:32:33	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7a5705…
08-04 16:31:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xea8bef…
08-04 16:31:32	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x933ff1…
08-04 16:30:41	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xae271c…
08-04 16:30:39	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x153e15…
08-04 16:30:38	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe49e14…
08-04 16:30:38	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x638a83…
08-04 16:30:21	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x3506bc…
08-04 16:29:27	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x028315…
08-04 16:29:26	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc3da04…
08-04 16:25:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xaf0b5a…
08-04 16:25:35	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7b2bf9…
08-04 16:24:15	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7f9666…
08-04 16:24:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7f7c61…
08-04 16:24:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x434635…
08-04 16:22:38	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xde88c6…
08-04 16:20:30	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	290	26¢	$75	0x357413…
08-04 15:40:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	131	17¢	$22	0xf0400b…
08-04 15:39:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	69	17¢	$12	0xe788b2…
08-04 14:32:14	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x18f038…
08-04 13:34:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xadd355…
08-04 13:27:12	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x96d83a…
08-03 01:22:09	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	198	70¢	$139	0xc51a91…
08-03 01:20:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x5495eb…
08-03 01:17:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6a43b5…
08-03 01:15:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x53bbc7…
08-03 01:07:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xf3e0ef…
08-03 01:03:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x49af73…
08-03 00:56:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x8197ae…
08-03 00:51:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x760a64…
08-03 00:50:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x095b93…
08-03 00:38:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xe39bf0…
08-03 00:00:36	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x999a55…
08-02 23:37:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9888d8…
08-02 22:44:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xd84f2d…
08-02 22:32:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	117	70¢	$82	0xd301b0…
08-02 22:14:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x37c3cc…
08-02 22:09:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x119256…
08-02 21:53:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7d0aa0…
08-02 21:23:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x495dc7…
08-02 21:23:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	135	70¢	$95	0x6c86cd…
08-02 19:42:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	167	70¢	$117	0x7a1331…
08-02 19:02:21	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xbbbe26…
08-02 18:53:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xa10fcd…
07-29 21:01:23	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$46	0x6dbeda…
07-29 14:02:39	will netanyahu wear a yarmulke at next meeting with trump 20260724180650962	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbd12df…
07-27 21:27:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0x7110c9…
07-27 16:26:36	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	150	27¢	$40	0xc48057…
07-27 15:02:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	650	3¢	$19	0x42dea2…
07-26 20:20:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x062d7d…
07-26 12:23:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$12	0x7f9ed5…
07-26 12:22:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x154d5d…
07-23 13:13:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x901080…
07-23 13:01:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x32010c…
07-23 13:01:12	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xe3d376…
07-23 11:27:00	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x40c9dc…
07-23 11:23:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$1	0xbadaa3…
07-23 11:23:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	493	7¢	$36	0xaf7e22…
07-23 09:49:24	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	65	13¢	$8	0x842b23…
07-22 12:27:03	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	105	18¢	$18	0xc71903…
07-22 12:20:58	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xba8d30…
07-22 12:18:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$9	0x13fadb…
07-22 11:36:06	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x337ff2…
07-22 11:35:36	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	182	18¢	$32	0x773a87…
07-22 11:12:54	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	59	18¢	$10	0xb2d219…
07-22 11:02:54	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x9e4a3c…
07-22 10:56:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	193	18¢	$34	0x5654b9…
07-22 08:22:33	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0x231204…
07-22 05:25:01	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x26590c…
07-22 05:24:57	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	SELL	336	100¢	$335	0xe33ed4…
07-21 14:25:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x65d3f8…
07-20 16:23:06	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb21723…
07-20 16:07:25	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x003849…
07-20 16:03:46	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x1b3f1e…
07-20 16:02:22	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xdd1b49…
07-20 11:07:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	650	7¢	$46	0xf3f332…
07-20 08:11:46	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	537	93¢	$499	0xeab9ff…
07-17 19:30:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	545	2¢	$12	0xf2d22c…