Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,853

lifetime

Volume

$62.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$84

8 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-27 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

69% 2% -$103

Politics

24% 0% -$13

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

2% 0% $0

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 544 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+72	$59	75¢	$54	-$5	10-12 20:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+72	$22	25¢	$18	-$4	10-10 11:00
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	+57	$17	18¢	$10	-$7	10-27 05:41
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	10¢	$2	-$1	10-13 05:57
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?	No	+0	$0	90¢	$0	+$0	10-13 21:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+0	$1	50¢	$0	-$1	10-11 05:51
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	+0	$0	64¢	$0	$0	10-12 17:32
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	22¢	$0	+$0	10-11 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	21	$935	861	861	+0	open	—	10-11 18:43
Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	14	$925	580	580	+0	open	—	10-26 11:21
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	25	$741	801	800	+0	open	—	10-11 10:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	14	$524	573	573	+0	open	—	10-11 15:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	10	$510	550	550	+0	open	—	10-11 20:06
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	10	$488	474	474	+0	open	—	10-11 09:45
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?	12	$484	276	276	+0	open	—	10-11 22:18
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	19	$428	404	347	+57	open	—	10-27 05:41
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	10-20 18:57
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	10-20 18:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	16	$387	352	352	+0	No	-$9	10-13 04:43
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	12	$383	356	356	+0	open	—	10-12 00:01
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	2	$360	200	200	+0	open	—	10-20 18:57
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	8	$347	341	341	+0	open	—	10-11 04:36
Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	24	$337	314	314	+0	open	—	10-27 01:52
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	8	$334	200	200	+0	open	—	10-12 05:52
Will the official close price for the Nikkei 225 on the final trading day of December 2026 be between 75,000 and 80,000?	4	$312	179	179	+0	open	—	10-25 11:55
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	6	$292	208	208	+0	open	—	10-11 20:34
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?	6	$283	191	191	+0	No	-$1	10-11 14:30
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	8	$283	219	219	+0	open	—	10-10 12:46
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	17	$278	338	338	+0	open	—	10-11 20:24
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	8	$277	171	171	+0	open	—	10-27 20:43
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	10	$274	241	241	+0	open	—	10-27 12:03
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	21	$259	265	265	+0	open	—	10-12 20:08
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	6	$259	140	140	+0	open	—	10-11 23:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?	18	$253	244	244	+0	open	—	10-09 14:01
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	6	$246	185	185	+0	open	—	10-21 03:15
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	8	$243	199	199	+0	open	—	10-22 11:17
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election?	8	$237	194	194	+0	open	—	10-20 06:00
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	8	$237	180	180	+0	open	—	10-21 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:01:21	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb283fa…
10-27 20:43:09	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x9a3db2…
10-27 20:43:06	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x4a27d5…
10-27 20:21:32	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x16d83a…
10-27 20:21:29	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x69a31d…
10-27 20:11:29	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xb1e80d…
10-27 20:03:26	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x92ba60…
10-27 19:59:36	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	32¢	$24	0x696375…
10-27 19:59:11	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	34¢	$15	0xa98c7e…
10-27 19:59:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	35¢	$42	0x7a090f…
10-27 19:34:09	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x1963c6…
10-27 19:33:36	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x5f8c7e…
10-27 19:33:35	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xe7d58f…
10-27 19:33:33	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc11b94…
10-27 19:25:57	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0xb49afa…
10-27 19:25:51	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x869ca1…
10-27 19:25:48	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x8341f5…
10-27 19:07:24	Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 18?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x03cd3e…
10-27 18:43:39	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x292b4d…
10-27 18:42:56	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	SELL	225	9¢	$19	0x9e6a53…
10-27 18:42:26	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x007606…
10-27 18:42:23	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	BUY	197	10¢	$19	0xade7b2…
10-27 18:42:21	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x66c4da…
10-27 18:08:54	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x053788…
10-27 18:08:53	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3d88f8…
10-27 18:08:17	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x380968…
10-27 18:08:14	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x433e2b…
10-27 17:45:35	Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4f4dbb…
10-27 17:40:47	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x9c4a72…
10-27 17:40:45	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x77f712…
10-27 17:40:45	Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x3d7488…
10-27 16:40:53	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x15cfcb…
10-27 16:40:48	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x70272b…
10-27 15:49:53	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	SELL	19	86¢	$16	0xe72307…
10-27 15:49:20	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	SELL	41	86¢	$35	0x2b03bb…
10-27 15:49:18	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	41	87¢	$36	0x67cb1c…
10-27 15:49:18	Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?	No	BUY	19	87¢	$16	0x1555c7…
10-27 15:08:38	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xbbad6d…
10-27 15:08:35	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x364dfe…
10-27 14:25:02	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0xb869b8…
10-27 14:25:02	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x1001c5…
10-27 14:24:59	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x49d6b6…
10-27 14:24:57	Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x860027…
10-27 13:49:47	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x7a5ef3…
10-27 13:49:45	Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	37	31¢	$11	0x9dc537…
10-27 13:16:08	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	SELL	40	37¢	$15	0x934b24…
10-27 13:16:03	Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x1cb3bb…
10-27 12:48:36	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xdcbaaa…
10-27 12:48:33	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0xa13188…
10-27 12:40:54	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x1177e2…
10-27 12:40:53	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x1f9036…
10-27 12:07:23	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x18998f…
10-27 12:06:48	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd5bd77…
10-27 12:06:48	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2522ea…
10-27 12:06:45	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe2109f…
10-27 12:06:45	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x741df9…
10-27 12:06:45	Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x2f5660…
10-27 12:03:20	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x053de8…
10-27 12:03:15	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xfbee8a…
10-27 12:03:15	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xe7365d…
10-27 12:03:14	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x8b071f…
10-27 12:00:18	Will Michael rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x697bd2…
10-27 11:54:53	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xf41480…
10-27 11:54:51	Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe5a948…
10-27 11:39:33	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	SELL	40	69¢	$28	0x9c5ace…
10-27 11:39:29	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xc0a994…
10-27 11:39:29	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x5e88cd…
10-27 11:39:29	Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?	No	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x01532c…
10-27 11:23:23	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xcf073d…
10-27 11:23:20	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x877865…
10-27 11:07:41	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x5ab9dd…
10-27 11:06:59	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xaa3a55…
10-27 10:42:45	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x33aada…
10-27 10:42:27	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	61¢	$0	0xb238da…
10-27 10:42:27	Will a UK social media ban take effect by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x7faefb…
10-27 10:24:18	US bank failure by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0xfc3fd1…
10-27 09:55:30	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	SELL	79	29¢	$23	0xda607b…
10-27 09:55:26	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	No	BUY	79	30¢	$24	0xa8faac…
10-27 09:39:45	Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x39e565…
10-27 09:39:42	Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xe3d5a5…
10-27 07:22:56	Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x65eb31…
10-27 07:08:18	Will Derke play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$13	0xecdf3e…
10-27 06:19:32	Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0xfab1af…
10-27 05:41:15	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x8f9e8f…
10-27 05:41:14	Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xbbebf3…
10-27 05:39:02	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x318c28…
10-27 05:38:47	Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7c0a1b…
10-27 05:34:17	Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	SELL	76	19¢	$15	0x537f82…
10-27 05:34:14	Will Masyn Winn win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	76	20¢	$15	0x438755…
10-27 05:18:29	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	13¢	$10	0x75a883…
10-27 05:07:38	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xb69df1…
10-27 05:07:35	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x7eb782…
10-27 05:01:24	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x19cbb1…
10-27 05:01:21	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd70691…
10-27 04:58:27	Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xfb154d…
10-27 04:39:36	Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x247b41…
10-27 04:39:33	Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x171e9a…
10-27 03:55:53	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xa2cb99…
10-27 03:55:48	Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 75m?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x01a16a…
10-27 03:50:44	Will valyn play for Cloud9 in 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x401286…