Realized P&L
-$148
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
7.7%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,701
lifetime
Volume
$22.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$1.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 10-27 10:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
77% 0% -$66
Politics
11% 0% -$13
Tech
6% 25% -$47
Sports
4% 0% -$22
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +159 $116 99¢ $158 +$42 10-24 08:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +265 $134 56¢ $150 +$16 10-22 23:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +265 $128 44¢ $115 -$13 10-22 20:24
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +106 $92 87¢ $92 $0 10-22 12:16
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +159 $81 54¢ $86 +$5 10-23 08:10
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +159 $86 46¢ $73 -$13 10-26 17:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +103 $62 68¢ $71 +$8 10-23 23:28
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +102 $62 57¢ $58 -$4 10-26 14:16
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +53 $44 91¢ $48 +$5 10-24 02:50
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +58 $42 80¢ $46 +$4 10-23 23:49
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +78 $45 56¢ $44 -$1 10-25 21:21
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +72 $47 60¢ $43 -$4 10-26 14:21
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +55 $41 78¢ $43 +$2 10-23 17:41
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? Yes +67 $31 61¢ $41 +$10 10-23 23:45
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +52 $43 78¢ $41 -$2 10-24 18:05
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +48 $37 80¢ $38 +$1 10-26 22:32
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +40 $28 87¢ $35 +$7 10-21 23:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +103 $40 32¢ $32 -$7 10-24 00:50
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +54 $37 59¢ $32 -$5 10-20 14:56
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +53 $26 60¢ $32 +$5 10-22 07:14
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +52 $24 60¢ $31 +$7 10-22 07:44
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +74 $36 40¢ $29 -$7 10-27 11:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +50 $30 58¢ $29 -$1 10-26 12:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +54 $27 54¢ $29 +$2 10-25 20:32
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +54 $31 53¢ $29 -$3 10-27 01:19
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? No +72 $40 39¢ $28 -$12 10-23 22:02
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $29 52¢ $28 -$1 10-23 03:36
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +54 $31 48¢ $26 -$5 10-24 16:01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +106 $29 24¢ $26 -$3 10-27 01:39
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $28 24¢ $26 -$2 10-26 04:56