(anonymous) 0xd89ab0…263fc0
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$825
Unrealized P&L
+$47
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved (7d)
105
Trades (7d)
1,907
3,108 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$29.5K
$45.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-19
last 11-01 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
73% 19% -$691
Politics
14% 33% -$37
Tech
8% 36% -$97
Sports
3% 0% -$22
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$18
Crypto
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +159 $116 98¢ $155 +$39 10-24 08:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +200 $156 74¢ $147 -$9 10-30 03:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +265 $134 54¢ $142 +$8 10-22 23:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +265 $128 46¢ $123 -$5 10-22 20:24
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No +159 $86 62¢ $99 +$14 10-26 17:09
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +106 $92 88¢ $93 +$1 10-22 12:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +106 $77 87¢ $92 +$15 10-31 01:48
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +153 $89 58¢ $89 -$1 10-28 23:30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +105 $86 82¢ $86 +$0 10-30 23:24
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +105 $79 80¢ $83 +$4 11-01 15:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +106 $66 72¢ $76 +$10 10-28 20:07
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +109 $78 70¢ $76 -$2 10-29 23:56
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +100 $65 72¢ $72 +$7 10-31 07:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +103 $62 66¢ $68 +$6 10-23 23:28
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $68 42¢ $67 -$2 10-31 10:34
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +108 $77 61¢ $66 -$11 10-29 13:00
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +106 $73 62¢ $66 -$7 10-29 02:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +100 $58 62¢ $62 +$4 10-30 22:40
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +160 $58 38¢ $61 +$3 10-30 18:55
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +86 $53 70¢ $60 +$7 10-23 12:30
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes +159 $81 38¢ $60 -$21 10-23 08:10
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +102 $62 54¢ $55 -$7 10-26 14:16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +200 $62 28¢ $55 -$7 10-31 12:44
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +104 $62 50¢ $53 -$9 10-28 20:50
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +104 $34 50¢ $51 +$18 10-30 17:00
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +53 $44 92¢ $49 +$5 10-24 02:50
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +58 $42 80¢ $46 +$4 10-23 23:49
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +135 $51 34¢ $45 -$6 10-29 16:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +102 $52 44¢ $45 -$7 10-30 14:21
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $140 +72 $47 59¢ $43 -$4 10-26 14:21