Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

3,545

Trades

6,082

lifetime

Volume

$7.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 10-27 04:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

88% 27% -$208

Politics

7% 37% +$25

Sports

4% 36% +$13

Crypto

1% 35% +$3

Tech

1% 45% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 40% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 725 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+2	-$1	24¢	$1	+$1	10-25 08:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 5?	11	$47	55	55	+0	No	-$1	09-04 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 5?	11	$43	56	56	+0	Yes	-$2	09-04 16:45
xauusd up or down on september 4 2026	6	$39	42	40	+2	Down	-$2	09-04 12:23
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	9	$37	38	38	+0	Yes	+$6	09-12 08:22
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 5?	7	$36	32	32	+0	Yes	+$8	09-05 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	11	$34	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-05 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5?	9	$32	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	8	$29	40	40	+0	No	-$2	09-04 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 5?	9	$28	35	35	+0	No	-$2	09-05 05:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 4?	5	$28	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	09-04 19:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 4?	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$9	09-04 13:51
Games Total: O/U 2.5	7	$26	20	20	+0	Under	+$6	09-04 00:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5?	8	$25	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	09-04 16:32
Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Team Novaq (+1.5)	2	$25	20	20	+0	Rune Eaters	+$7	09-03 15:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 4?	5	$24	60	40	+20	Yes	-$7	09-04 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 5?	4	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	09-05 10:10
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	4	$23	40	40	+0	No	-$7	09-05 09:50
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?	5	$23	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	10-14 03:43
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)	4	$23	40	40	+0	Contingent Esports	$0	09-03 23:56
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-14 09:25
will ewy reach 185 by august 31 2026	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	09-04 13:38
Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG - Map 1 Winner	2	$22	20	20	+0	magic	+$3	09-03 12:08
will xauusd dip to 4400 by august 31 2026 from september 3	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	09-04 12:30
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-08-30?	8	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	09-14 12:35
Sher-E-Punjab T20: Jalandhar Warriors vs Amritsar Soormas	9	$22	23	23	+0	Amritsar Soormas	+$4	09-08 10:44
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	6	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	09-19 10:38
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	3	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	10-26 22:31
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?	6	$21	33	33	+0	Yes	+$11	10-16 19:00
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner	3	$20	20	20	+0	Lavked	+$0	09-03 14:40
meta up or down on september 4 2026	3	$20	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	09-04 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:03:57	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars	Yokohama BayStars	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x160e38…
10-27 04:00:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x764b72…
10-27 03:54:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x133d0c…
10-27 02:55:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe4507f…
10-27 02:42:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9b32cf…
10-27 02:06:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x51a652…
10-27 02:06:15	Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x96f916…
10-27 00:15:05	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xf68f79…
10-26 23:59:17	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x8c513f…
10-26 23:19:15	Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd853be…
10-26 23:00:57	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9c9890…
10-26 22:55:44	por gui por 2026 11 08 por	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x39ab7d…
10-26 22:42:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xca2be6…
10-26 22:36:39	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6bb812…
10-26 22:31:39	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x028c47…
10-26 21:51:50	Will UKMTO publish fewer than 4 notices between October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x36a20d…
10-26 21:36:56	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x460a1e…
10-26 21:23:12	Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x86a679…
10-26 20:51:24	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2ee0c2…
10-26 20:50:32	Will Unai Simon win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf49f95…
10-26 20:22:09	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xae63f4…
10-26 20:20:50	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe5edc1…
10-26 20:13:32	Will David Raya win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc92fee…
10-26 20:11:30	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Young Talent of the Year award?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x03850c…
10-26 19:18:38	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x325afa…
10-26 19:15:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6b72cf…
10-26 19:03:38	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 VA-01 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x7b1aa2…
10-26 18:56:23	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3ad35b…
10-26 18:09:51	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x340bfa…
10-26 17:50:32	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xfe2222…
10-26 17:45:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win 3.25-4% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xe8fb9d…
10-26 17:40:50	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6f5d32…
10-26 17:35:59	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xa8b3f2…
10-26 17:21:02	Curitiba: Justina Gonzalez vs Solana Sierra	Justina Gonzalez	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xd137dc…
10-26 17:17:50	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Carlota Garibay	Carlota Garibay	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x84797b…
10-26 17:13:20	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $154 in October?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6dcd33…
10-26 17:05:38	Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Yokohama BayStars	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x7d1ca8…
10-26 16:53:09	Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xd297ee…
10-26 16:24:33	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb8504e…
10-26 16:15:00	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xb59016…
10-26 11:49:21	Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x11e864…
10-26 11:10:35	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xacba35…
10-26 09:16:51	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xe9dced…
10-26 09:01:26	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x447658…
10-26 07:49:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x72fe62…
10-26 07:01:39	atp fritz hijikat 2026 10 27	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x7bdc7e…
10-26 06:53:38	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x87a327…
10-26 06:38:06	M25 Sheffield: Vladislav Melnic vs Ivan Dorokhov	Ivan Dorokhov	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x59471b…
10-26 06:31:17	wta vergara gomez 2026 10 26	Eduarda Gomes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x51223b…
10-26 06:15:59	McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 2% to 3%?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd9196a…
10-26 06:07:06	Curitiba: Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Victoria Bosio	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xae840b…
10-26 05:46:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x466a8f…
10-26 05:24:15	Guangzhou Open (Doubles): Kozyreva/Lumsden vs Bhosale/Plipuech	Bhosale/Plipuech	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5aad8a…
10-26 05:23:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Delaware Senate election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x39d7df…
10-26 05:20:17	Moyuka Uchijima vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa53431…
10-26 04:51:11	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in October?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x953895…
10-26 04:35:18	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xcc70ae…
10-26 04:24:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb7b067…
10-26 04:18:00	Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xf3b782…
10-26 04:03:24	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x96181d…
10-26 03:59:26	Will Shannon Weber win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x180228…
10-26 03:57:36	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6ae70a…
10-26 03:48:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 in October?	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xcd3bb4…
10-26 03:23:23	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Staqued (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group B	Staqued	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xcd6f3a…
10-26 02:18:00	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x1f21bd…
10-26 01:43:36	Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x65d1dc…
10-26 01:09:24	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	TYLOO	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc8f7f6…
10-26 00:59:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x15cd2a…
10-26 00:53:11	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	Yes	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x62a698…
10-26 00:53:11	Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 44% to 46%?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x0c6862…
10-25 22:32:50	Will Yashar win 30 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe1f518…
10-25 21:01:32	Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xb92ecb…
10-25 20:05:24	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2fd266…
10-25 18:26:38	Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xe25aad…
10-25 15:16:45	Will Amcha Yisrael win 2.5-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xdf4bb3…
10-25 14:59:18	Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x189900…
10-25 13:57:29	Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x2c526f…
10-25 10:50:08	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x12dc0b…
10-25 10:34:35	Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Sichuan Blue Whales	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xedd54a…
10-25 10:28:15	Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x3d511c…
10-25 08:37:00	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xea8c87…
10-25 08:32:41	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8142d1…
10-25 07:15:42	Will Coca-Cola say "Growth" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5f4ba5…
10-25 05:34:12	M15 Singapore: Ren Nakamura vs Allen Leong	Allen Leong	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x08a075…
10-25 05:26:02	Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x256f9b…
10-25 05:12:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb5f9e1…
10-25 04:01:00	Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Staqued (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group B	Staqued	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x6d5663…
10-25 03:51:48	Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe344c1…
10-25 03:48:29	Will Coca-Cola say "Consumer" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9ec611…
10-25 02:51:02	Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x65a0e7…
10-25 02:44:47	itf turkme1 snigir1 2026 10 25	Doga Turkmen	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7ccf67…
10-25 02:31:48	M15 Singapore: Ren Nakamura vs Allen Leong	Allen Leong	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1b1d9f…
10-25 02:13:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xb2dc70…
10-25 02:13:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb03e28…
10-25 01:07:02	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,000,000 and 12,500,000?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x179ec8…
10-25 00:56:38	M15 Singapore: Tanakorn Srirat vs Alexander Watanabe Eriksson	Tanakorn Srirat	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x23352d…
10-25 00:56:20	Brest: Moez Echargui vs Mickael Kaouk	Mickael Kaouk	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x34f994…
10-25 00:31:23	Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x230747…
10-24 21:22:41	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by 10% or more?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xabb165…
10-24 21:11:53	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xaf08bf…