Realized P&L
-$383
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
2,091
Trades
11,147
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$25
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-26 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 163 days
Categories
Other
47% 39% -$282
Politics
38% 55% -$41
Crypto
7% 34% -$42
Sports
5% 60% +$3
Tech
3% 43% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +21 $2 8¢ $2 +$0 10-26 12:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5 $2 34¢ $2 -$1 09-08 05:44
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +27 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 08-01 20:21
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 Yes +47 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 07-29 03:45
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +73 $2 2¢ $2 -$1 09-14 05:22
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 07-08 08:25
will ethereum dip to 1250 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +15 $4 10¢ $1 -$2 08-05 03:12
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +93 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-22 03:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $4 12¢ $1 -$2 08-19 21:48
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 10-23 12:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +27 $2 3¢ $1 -$2 08-19 21:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-20 16:39
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +17 $0 4¢ $1 +$0 09-26 04:08
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 09-18 12:16
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +51 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 09-12 00:03
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 08-22 00:57
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +131 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-12 14:14
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +107 $3 1¢ $1 -$3 07-27 23:38
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +89 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 08-29 18:49
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +98 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 07-28 10:45
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +5 $0 10¢ $1 +$0 10-26 15:24
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +120 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-25 12:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +22 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 09-07 15:46
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 $0 09-26 17:47
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +3 $0 13¢ $0 $0 09-13 11:59
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +28 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-21 12:12
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-06 14:33
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -208 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 07-06 16:27
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +14 $0 2¢ $0 $0 09-27 08:59
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-01 05:23