Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
17
Trades
4,321
lifetime
Volume
$2.92K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$21
26 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-20 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
54% 8% $-2
Politics
29% 50% $-0
Crypto
8%
Sports
5%
Tech
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 206 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $1 99¢ $6 +$5 06-19 07:16
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +13 $4 42¢ $6 +$1 07-20 13:03
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? Yes +126 $3 $1 $-1 07-17 21:39
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 21:10
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? Yes +18 $1 $1 +$0 07-13 07:08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -21 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-02 10:59
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-19 22:57
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +18 $0 $1 +$0 07-12 01:55
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? Yes +60 $1 $1 $-1 07-01 09:54
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +9 $3 $1 $-2 07-14 12:30
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 07-10 03:29
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $0 $0 +$0 07-15 23:40
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 37¢ $0 +$0 07-10 21:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -8 $-1 $-0 +$0 07-06 16:27
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +16 $3 $0 $-2 07-13 05:38
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +3 $0 $0 +$0 07-08 11:46
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 Yes +1 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 07-04 07:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 $0 $-1 06-14 15:06
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 07-10 07:21
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? No +1 $-0 $0 +$0 07-06 15:57
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 07-12 02:55
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 07-05 01:40
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-05 18:28
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 07-05 07:31
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-01 21:10
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 07-05 01:44