Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
42.3%
Resolved
17
Trades
3,250
lifetime
Volume
$1.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$29
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-29 20:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
60% 8% $-2
Politics
23% 50% $-0
Crypto
6%
Sports
6%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 746 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $1 66¢ $4 +$3 06-19 07:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 06-18 00:58
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes +6 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 06-29 05:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 $-0 06-21 23:58
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-23 08:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 06-14 15:06
UK Recession in 2026? Yes +5 $2 28¢ $1 $-1 06-14 03:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +17 $1 $1 +$0 06-29 17:46
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Yes +37 $1 $1 $-0 06-22 22:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 15:06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +52 $2 $1 $-0 06-26 04:51
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-22 14:20
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-2 06-18 19:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 06-12 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-12 15:21
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-14 09:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 14¢ $1 +$0 06-27 04:46
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +47 $1 $1 $-1 06-24 09:14
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-14 22:41
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 +$1 06-19 22:57
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +3 $0 15¢ $0 $-0 06-23 23:46
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +2 $0 17¢ $0 +$0 06-23 00:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? Yes +62 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 09:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-13 12:43
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +3 $0 $0 +$0 06-23 14:02
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $0 $0 +$0 06-12 15:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? Yes +32 $0 $0 $-0 06-24 00:07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June? Yes +38 $2 $0 $-2 06-17 21:23
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? Yes +28 $0 $0 $-0 06-29 00:53
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +12 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 19:31