Realized P&L
-$1.44K
Unrealized P&L
-$230
Hit rate
17.4%
Resolved
69
Trades
2,573
lifetime
Volume
$44.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$3.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-06 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
76% 35% -$1,415
Politics
14% 0% -$1
Tech
7% 0% -$3
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% 0% -$20
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2198 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump issue 15-19 vetoes by December 31, 2027? No +255 $197 89¢ $227 +$30 11-05 10:00
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +440 $244 47¢ $207 -$37 11-05 12:11
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? No +275 $246 69¢ $190 -$56 11-05 12:15
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings? No +330 $245 53¢ $175 -$70 11-05 12:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +204 $151 78¢ $160 +$9 11-05 22:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +204 $155 76¢ $155 +$0 11-06 07:25
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 6, 2026? No +156 $128 92¢ $145 +$17 11-05 14:12
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +202 $147 72¢ $144 -$3 11-05 18:46
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +440 $169 31¢ $136 -$32 11-06 00:56
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? No +159 $133 84¢ $134 +$1 11-05 22:25
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +204 $137 62¢ $128 -$9 11-06 00:04
Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31? No +146 $113 80¢ $117 +$4 11-05 07:33
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +150 $118 76¢ $114 -$4 11-06 07:42
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m? No +190 $128 60¢ $113 -$15 11-06 00:23
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026? Yes +215 $84 52¢ $113 +$29 11-06 03:57
Will there be exactly 1 government shutdown by December 31, 2027? No +165 $113 64¢ $106 -$6 11-05 06:39
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +113 $98 94¢ $106 +$8 11-05 10:56
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? No +145 $114 72¢ $104 -$10 11-06 05:13
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14? No +188 $91 54¢ $102 +$11 11-06 01:55
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +110 $96 91¢ $100 +$4 11-05 20:01
Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? No +110 $92 86¢ $95 +$3 11-05 09:44
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on December 31, 2026? Yes +165 $84 54¢ $88 +$5 11-05 11:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +160 $103 55¢ $88 -$15 11-06 02:50
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel? No +160 $111 55¢ $88 -$23 11-06 05:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +204 $84 42¢ $85 +$1 11-05 21:57
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings? Yes +155 $134 55¢ $84 -$49 11-05 11:39
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No +96 $83 87¢ $84 +$1 11-05 16:12
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? No +150 $105 56¢ $83 -$22 11-06 04:41
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? No +101 $86 82¢ $83 -$4 11-05 17:19
Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31? No +100 $79 82¢ $82 +$3 11-05 18:24